Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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I realise I haven't said what my max odds are again for a while although in the past I have been very clear it's up to 11.00 with variable staking as per a very old and famous horse laying thread where £3,000 was turned into £100k in a year.
Max odds 11.00
Ranges are up to 3.5
3.55-7.40
7.60-11.00Staking for each range is worked out as per the formula on my sheet. Pertaining to bank balance, s/r and the expected longest losing streak x5.
All this is to say anyone laying Ross County for 20.0 has rocks in their head!
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Not gonna jinx it by saying anything. Here's tomorrows:
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Todays home lays:
Currently no market in Chile and no liquidity in the Inter W game.
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bugger....it's as you were at the beginning of Oct after that. Malta still good and 6/7 now.
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@mick-mcmahon I'm still in early stages at moment but confident it's coming together not just from this but in a complete portfolio.
If I could offer one piece of advice. Leave the averages. They get skewed and while they may illustrate capability I don't think it's as accurate as simply looking at percentages of how often things happen.
Track between 14-16 different stats on one filter and only really tighten one or two up at the beginning. It's easy to filter each down then and look at what the p/l yield is for each. Some will make no difference. Some will make a huge difference.
Some will hardly happen so when it loses its a question of do you really want that in your system??
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@Richard-Latimer Just wanted to say love what you're doing with this thread. I'm more of a lurker than a poster but thought I should. I've been at this about a year and half and never really got a strategy from breaking even into profitability so having a few months off. But sitting back and watching this thread go by has given me some encouragement and some ideas to chew on when I get back to it.
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Nothing for tomorrow
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@Fraser-cord Interesting. I would say that the mutual ground takes away any advantage the home team would normally have. So if anything it's better.
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@Richard-Latimer hopefully this won't jinx things, but home advantage not really a thing in Malta as only 2 or 3 stadiums used for all league games. Home or away, your often playing at the same ground. So fingers crossed it works to your advantage.
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2 more selections tomorrow from Malta. You would think this would be one of those leagues where you don't get too many and the results are inconsistent. Not so currently.
6/7 wins on the raw data and 5/5 on the refined:
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@Richard-Latimer Watching the news now, think they have alot more to worry about than footie
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This post is deleted!
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Israel game postponed
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Next home lay is in the States:
MLS has been profitable but not by much. Average odds are 2.6.
It's been an issue with pretty much all summer leagues. Much lower odds and much more inconsistency.
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@Akiva-Anderson tell me they're not going to lose then
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
First home lay of a new month:
Maccabi Haifa is my Israeli team!
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First home lay of a new month: