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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.5k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #2621

    Seeing as it was a sizeable odds loss I just want to address a couple of things that are likely to come up straight off the bat.

    1. It is the first LCS loss in that division and there have been 9 selections before tonight so it remains profitable.
    2. It is only the 3rd LCS from 31 selections @ ave odds over 0.5 H2 1.10 to lose so again assuming those are mostly around 8.0 to lay on betfair it is again very defintely still profitable at this time.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2622

    Week starts off poor. Nothing else for today so should be able to get my update finished fairly soon now.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2623

    Still updating. A weekend takes a while when you've been away.

    Laid under 1.5 Valerenga II @ 8.0
    .95p stake

    Another £10 into the bank today as well as it's been 2 weeks since my last deposit.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2624

    Well I'm lying in bed watching the Brazilian game in bet365 through the inplay stats and that was just ridiculous.

    2 goals ruled out through VAR and a missed pen. What more could have been done to get a single goal haha! Disappointing end but it's not so bad. At least the Bolivian one came through.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2625

    Off to bed now but will update properly tomorrow. It's been a good weekend up until a high priced FHG which I'm still ok with even though it remained 0-0 typically enough. Bank is creeping up and I've decided that the price I took going on how many are actually that price, was too high so it bodes well for the future.

    There's a couple in play now as I head for the stairs.

    Same game in Bolivia laying 0-0 @ 11.00 and Fortaleza laying 1-1 for only 3.7.

    0_1629065826200_fba32f50-149d-41f5-9537-0277ac8e7eeb-image.png

    This is what's on the cards for tomorrow although I'm highly unlikely to be awake for the overnighters.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2626

    Not updating now as just got back but currently on a streak of 6 which had the games been at a mores reasonable time would have been a streak of 9.

    Missed a FHG and SHG in Louisville and a SHG in Sacramento. I don't feel bad about this though as I was camping and everyone went to bed eearly the last night. No point in me staying up for hours looking at my phone haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2627

    So the streak of 8 came to an end in Brazil. Hopefully I can build another from here.. Won't be any updates over the next couple of days as I'm going camping.

    Here are the potentials along with base criteria I follow:

    0_1628847958275_bf082c28-4abf-4c7d-8de0-b91e130c9e1b-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2628

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 3.5 CRB @ 4.3
    Currently 3-0 @ HT

    Odds this low a bit hit and miss but the sample size is small and I must follow the overall picture.

    Another in the lower lay odds range struggling. There's no way I'd ever remove better value odds or what should be perceived as better value odds so maybe this does just point to the league itself. A couple of the struggling ones such as Ukraine and Mexico are represented at this point and surprisingly enough none of the high performing big leagues.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2629

    Lay under 3.5 CRB @ 4.3
    Currently 3-0 @ HT

    Odds this low a bit hit and miss but the sample size is small and I must follow the overall picture.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2630

    0_1628784619872_47b76145-965d-4696-a32c-4a28eb510681-image.png

    Nothing came of the first 2. Elva inplay now as a possible 2nd half play.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2631

    I've not updated ave prices since I posted last time but what I did think would be interesting is to calculate ave odds for the losers rather than just overall. It's what I would expect in as much as the averages are all at least a little bit higher and sometimes by quite a bit:

    0_1628724471699_327ee53c-09f0-489b-857b-9b76306f0f63-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2632

    3/3 today

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2633

    Lay under 2.5 Kaapo @ 4.9
    Currently 1-1 HT

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2634

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lahden Reipas most likely a FHG too. Odds currently 1.37. If it starts 1.45 or under that's good enough for me.

    Laid under 0.5 FH @ a mix of 4.6/4.7

    0-1

    1-1 HT.
    Lay under 2.5 @ 6.6

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2635

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lahden Reipas most likely a FHG too. Odds currently 1.37. If it starts 1.45 or under that's good enough for me.

    Laid under 0.5 FH @ a mix of 4.6/4.7

    0-1

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2636

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lahden Reipas most likely a FHG too. Odds currently 1.37. If it starts 1.45 or under that's good enough for me.

    Laid under 0.5 FH @ a mix of 4.6/4.7

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2637

    Lahden Reipas most likely a FHG too. Odds currently 1.37. If it starts 1.45 or under that's good enough for me.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2638

    On top of Kaapo which I already posted, these too are of interest.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2639

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 2.5 Guangzhou.
    Odds 8.0, stake 0.91pence
    Current score 2-0@HT

    That's 5-0 and almost finished so a winning start.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2640

    Lay under 2.5 Guangzhou.
    Odds 8.0, stake 0.91pence
    Current score 2-0@HT

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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