Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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One other thing, the matches with home ave 1.5 are only for tracking at this stage. I started off with values that low and then before I implemented the smart filters which allowed me to track everything while keeping it separate I removed them. Have only just added them back to the filter as I want to see if they cann be of use. Need at least a month of data before I will even consider using them.
Today those matches are LASK Linz and Gorica.
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Here are todays:
I spent last night trying to go through ways of making the 0-2 and 2-1 @ HT profitable as well as refining and bettering the 1-1 scoreline after an early goal and while I have no way to ensure it continues as it has been there is promise I could have done all 3.
The sheet and posting I'm making this morning relfects that. It's a moving playing field which will hopefully move less and less over time.
As I stated previously, if anyone intends to follow along please ensure you check leagues are at least 4 matches in (I think I've done this purely for fitness more than anything but where Apertura's are concerned if one team has already won the clausura this could affect what they do in the apertura.....or vice versa).
Any questions other than that, please ask and if I'm around I'll answer.
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Under ordinary circumstances, had I not screwed the pooch in the day I prob wouldn't have bothered with the MLS @ 3am but I did and clawed back a point from my bed. This will be in tonights update. Not posted but like I say, San Jose was in the sheet of potentials if any night owls were awake.
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Right, first things first. Complete update on yesterday as I want/need to remain 100% transparent on this:
TNS (The New Saints) - Laid under 2.5 70th minute @ 2.52 when 2-0 up and an early goal scored 2nd half. The red should have been a red flag as although I'd not had any losers in this scenario I'd not had any winners either. 2-0 it ended. Captain hindsight strikes again........ -1.52pts (-£2.43).
Sonnenhof v FSF Frankfurt - Laid under 2.5 70th minute @ 2.48 when 0-2 and an early goal scored 2nd half. Ends 0-2 and a scan of past results in this scenario showed I should have been aware/beware of range for home team odds. Here comes Captain Hindsight again to save the day. In fairness this one is more a question of tightening up as I go and noticing things as they play out. -1.48pts (-£2.37).
Linfield v Larne. This scenario so far kills!!! Linfield fell behind 0-1 in the 59th. Laid under 1.5 70th minute. Ended 1-2. +.98pt (+£1.57).
Wanderers v Boston (Uruguay) AAAARRRRGGGHHHHH!!!! First game of the Apertura and hadn't realised. I made a rule ages ago that 4 matches minimum per team in table must have been played. This was a clear mistake and SHOULD NEVER HAVE BEEN. No Captain Hindsight needed here. -1.18pts (-£1.89).
Total p/l for the day -3.2pts (-£5.12)
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Better start today. Although it was on the sheet I didn't get chance to post. Early hours anyway in San Jose and I imagine I was the only one awake haha!
Will do a proper update for yesterday soon also.
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It's absolutely no good now but Uruguay is first game in the league after they moved to Apertura. Should never have been a selection and something else I need to check on in future.
Today was disappointing but it didn't need to be.
We move.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Couple of losers early on that really shouldn't have taken and wouldn't again but that's no good today. I said the system/strategy would get more solid over time. Just may take quite a long time to reach full potential....although hopefully not. Decent trade on Linfield. I then had a perfect opportunity for 2nd FHG in Young Boys which somehow I missed.
To be fair, trades will be missed as I carry out living so can't be too annoyed at that. Still one potential inplay in Uruguay.
Probably best that you didn’t suggest people lay Young Boys. Let’s be honest.
Maybe if I'd just quoted the away team haha
Totally meant Basel anyway
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@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Couple of losers early on that really shouldn't have taken and wouldn't again but that's no good today. I said the system/strategy would get more solid over time. Just may take quite a long time to reach full potential....although hopefully not. Decent trade on Linfield. I then had a perfect opportunity for 2nd FHG in Young Boys which somehow I missed.
To be fair, trades will be missed as I carry out living so can't be too annoyed at that. Still one potential inplay in Uruguay.
Probably best that you didn’t suggest people lay Young Boys. Let’s be honest.
Maybe if I'd just quoted the away team haha
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Couple of losers early on that really shouldn't have taken and wouldn't again but that's no good today. I said the system/strategy would get more solid over time. Just may take quite a long time to reach full potential....although hopefully not. Decent trade on Linfield. I then had a perfect opportunity for 2nd FHG in Young Boys which somehow I missed.
To be fair, trades will be missed as I carry out living so can't be too annoyed at that. Still one potential inplay in Uruguay.
Probably best that you didn’t suggest people lay Young Boys. Let’s be honest.
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Couple of losers early on that really shouldn't have taken and wouldn't again but that's no good today. I said the system/strategy would get more solid over time. Just may take quite a long time to reach full potential....although hopefully not. Decent trade on Linfield. I then had a perfect opportunity for 2nd FHG in Young Boys which somehow I missed.
To be fair, trades will be missed as I carry out living so can't be too annoyed at that. Still one potential inplay in Uruguay.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@john-folan Probably best if I go over what I'm doing when you have a clear head haha!
Plan
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@john-folan Probably best if I go over what I'm doing when you have a clear head haha!
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Feast, after the famine and with no overnighters, I think I'll get an early night so I can be up for the early fixture.
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Tomorrow's potentials:
Left the Welsh leagues in this time as was surprised to see the decent amount of liquidity before. Think the best way to deal from now on, is remove fixture when no liquidity in the market and it qualifies.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
I am very confused as to what is going on here. I have had a bottle of water that Jesus got to so it might be that
huh haha???
Oh wine....got ya haha!
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@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
I am very confused as to what is going on here. I have had a bottle of water that Jesus got to so it might be that
huh haha???
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I am very confused as to what is going on here. I have had a bottle of water that Jesus got to so it might be that
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Just the LCS 1-0 of Zalgiris today 70th minute @ 2.54. A loss so -1.54pts (-£2.43).
Bank stands at £71.23
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Not a terribly interesting day by the looks of it:
Zalgiris is a potential FHG and the 2 Kuwait games are potential lay 0-0.
For all other scorelines it will depend when goals scored along with other criteria as written on the attached pic.
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No trades today. Hopefully a more interesting day tomorrow.