Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Late into that one as got sidetracked but laid under 0.5 FH @ 4.5.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
FHG Zalgiris
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As promised I've put a summary of the ave book odds for at least 1 SHG. Not surprising, these are highest in the 1-1 scoreline which also shows the lowest s/r.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
One more for the day to make it 3/4 and consolidate to only around a 2pt loss.
Lay under 2.5 Aurora.
Currently 2-0 @ HT
Odds 5.0I tell a lie. Was just over 1pt in the end so really not the worst day or weekend as yesterday was pretty much break even really. Still 14/16 since the 14th.
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@darri said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer no worries mate just a suggestion cause im sure we are away to see alot of posts and not see how its actually going if you get me, at those odds will look like you are raking it in but couple losses like that and doesnt look so good if people followed, if you are posting them would have been decent to track. Or at least just share your sheets you already have? Im sure you are monitoring the new strategy from start right?
Wait think iv clocked them on the sheets, they are just spread between home and away sheets you have them split up?
The away analysis tab is my over 1.5 project but sometimes the games overlap. Only been tracking that filter a short while so a way to go.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
One more for the day to make it 3/4 and consolidate to only around a 2pt loss.
Lay under 2.5 Aurora.
Currently 2-0 @ HT
Odds 5.0Thought it would be almost over. Not to worry. 2-1.
Hope for a profit tomorrow.
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I am trying hard not to look at scores before the end of each game so all notifications removed and any score pages I had open have been closed. Finding it makes for a much less stressful 45 mins and 90% of the time there's nothing to worry about.
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One more for the day to make it 3/4 and consolidate to only around a 2pt loss.
Lay under 2.5 Aurora.
Currently 2-0 @ HT
Odds 5.0Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
1-1 is definitely my worst scoreline. Only one under 90%
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Bugger!
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Lay under 2.5 KR Reykjavik @4.8.
Currently 1-1 HT. -
@darri said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer fair enough bud
yep for me as someone reading this blog its just good to see what that person is doing in a short snippet, so how many trades, strike rate and p/l. Your sheets are great for data but hard to read from an outsider, maybe a summary page with just those columns? Liking the lcs option you are doing tho mate keep it up, hopefully a turning point for you bank wise and get away from min staking. Considering the amount you are doing id perhaps encourage you to be mindful of laying ti win x amount and perhaps back the overs instead with a set amount. This would stop your need for maria staking and avoid 13 point losses which is mentally scaring for most tradersI'll add the average over 0.5 odds to my base criteria. That will be easier. I know there are runs of +30 wins in there so yes 13pts is hard but it was literally only the 2nd time it would have happened since mid Dec.
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@richard-latimer fair enough bud
yep for me as someone reading this blog its just good to see what that person is doing in a short snippet, so how many trades, strike rate and p/l. Your sheets are great for data but hard to read from an outsider, maybe a summary page with just those columns? Liking the lcs option you are doing tho mate keep it up, hopefully a turning point for you bank wise and get away from min staking. Considering the amount you are doing id perhaps encourage you to be mindful of laying ti win x amount and perhaps back the overs instead with a set amount. This would stop your need for maria staking and avoid 13 point losses which is mentally scaring for most traders -
@darri said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer no worries mate just a suggestion cause im sure we are away to see alot of posts and not see how its actually going if you get me, at those odds will look like you are raking it in but couple losses like that and doesnt look so good if people followed, if you are posting them would have been decent to track. Or at least just share your sheets you already have? Im sure you are monitoring the new strategy from start right?
I'm monitoring everything for sure. I started with a 13 point loss so I know what you mean haha!
I will post the odds taken from now but I'm avoiding anything other than ave book odds on my sheet. It's still easy to track. If you look at the odds and add a 20% mark up you won't go far wrong and sometimes it will be way better.
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@richard-latimer no worries mate just a suggestion cause im sure we are away to see alot of posts and not see how its actually going if you get me, at those odds will look like you are raking it in but couple losses like that and doesnt look so good if people followed, if you are posting them would have been decent to track. Or at least just share your sheets you already have? Im sure you are monitoring the new strategy from start right?
Wait think iv clocked them on the sheets, they are just spread between home and away sheets you have them split up?
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To give you an idea Balestier was 1.08 ave book price.
All of these are recorded so anyone looking at the sheet can check the averages.
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Balestier this morning was 11.00. Guangzhou I got @4.4.
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@darri said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer do you have a spreadsheet for these so we can see what type of odds and scores you are looking at might be helpful for other traders to see, this type of strategy and odds are gonna have a high strike rate so will look like you are doing well but actually you need to be really high strike rate to work, iv seen you have a good strike rate 90 so be good to see the transparency of that. Like you did before on sheets, odds, w/l, p/l all would be handy and since all you are doing is lcs easy to setup.
I really can't run anymore spreadsheets at the moment but I will start putting my odds taken. Some have been quite high but I'm doing a Maria staking thing as I have in the past. I'll never go past 11.00 but these have a VERY high strike rate so far as I've checked. Something like 50 or 60 without loss when over 0.5 book odds fall under 1.10.
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@richard-latimer do you have a spreadsheet for these so we can see what type of odds and scores you are looking at might be helpful for other traders to see, this type of strategy and odds are gonna have a high strike rate so will look like you are doing well but actually you need to be really high strike rate to work, iv seen you have a good strike rate 90 so be good to see the transparency of that. Like you did before on sheets, odds, w/l, p/l all would be handy and since all you are doing is lcs easy to setup.
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2/2 so far
