Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

So for today:

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None of the overnighters hit required criteria.

Richard Latimer

Thanks everybody for your positive comments today. I do definitely have a decision to make imminently but even if I take the simplest route I won't get rid of the angles I've been looking at. It's taken me too damn long to collate them and I belive strongly it's worth continuing to collect the data for each. Hell, if I'm ever able to get it so that nothing comes in or out and then find a way of automation it could be a goldmine.

I'm on holiday at the moment so no decisions to be made until I get back.

The one thing about taking higher odds at present is it puts my stake under the minimum and hence makes it difficult at some amounts. I could of course back the overs but I much prefer laying to win a set amount.

Akiva Anderson

Of course he has something. He’s that much information he’s bound to have something! The trick is to simplify it and execute it. He knows this already

Martin Walker

My LCS has a similar strike rate with half the results of yours and has given me 40 points from march. Plus its so easy, takes literally a few minutes a day.
Sounds like you have something there

? Offline

@richard-latimer the sooner you get rid of that huge sheet of scenarios the better, if this other thing you have looked at does just that then absolutely go for it. That list is really bad mate far too much going on. If your looking at those %s for lcs and fhgs then start getting really into that. Once you then start tracking odds for these youll be winning. Literally look at the best traders on here. How simple do they make all this. There is a reason, its called consistency. You doing all these scenarios is gonna be harder to manage and a total ball ache in busy time in the winter leagues get back up. Less is more even in terms of criteria as you avoid mistakes and can manage it better. That list is prone to a few brain farts regardless of how focussed you are.

I really hope this new data set you are looking into has finally been the lightbulb moment you need. Its literally what we have all be trying to tell you. You have a habit of getting into these situations of good data and then making mistakes, like the lay the dog one. There have been many other examples in your time on btc. Please make sure this moment of realisation is used correctly and gets you onto a path of actually building a bank. It doesnt need to be the best strategy on here or some golden ticket, just enough to build a bank. Its not about fame or being the founder of x strategy just get this going for yourself. We will all support anyone doing well on here.

Its why i always say its easy to build a profitable strategy in fact its the easiest thing about trading, all it takes is a good run of data and you manipulate it enough till its shows green, the hardest part is managing it mentally. Those are things i hope you manage better with this. I have had my say now and will hopefully come back in a few months time and see you have progressed further and ditched that huge list of scenarios. Good luck buddy

? Offline

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

As an aside, just done a quick tally on my LCS's that I had been keeping an eye on previously.

Now tallies 724 selections inc. 145 FHG. FHG's are 85%.
LCS are hovering between 88-91%

This looks to be the avenue to go down if my current idea loses steam or doesn't pick up steam quickly enough.

LCS are quite possibly the easiest trade to execute so no reason at all not to just go and do it now. Start with the easiest solution and add in as little complication as you have to in order to get it to work. You dont need more than one option, just do LCS

? Offline

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

As an aside, just done a quick tally on my LCS's that I had been keeping an eye on previously.

Now tallies 724 selections inc. 145 FHG. FHG's are 85%.
LCS are hovering between 88-91%

This looks to be the avenue to go down if my current idea loses steam or doesn't pick up steam quickly enough.

get doing that now? isnt that way better already than what you have?

Stuart Capstick

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

As an aside, just done a quick tally on my LCS's that I had been keeping an eye on previously.

Now tallies 724 selections inc. 145 FHG. FHG's are 85%.
LCS are hovering between 88-91%

This looks to be the avenue to go down if my current idea loses steam or doesn't pick up steam quickly enough.

Told you you had something.........

Richard Latimer

Nothing doing yesterday, only Albirex in Singapore as a potential today and that's me out.

Richard Latimer

As an aside, just done a quick tally on my LCS's that I had been keeping an eye on previously.

Now tallies 724 selections inc. 145 FHG. FHG's are 85%.
LCS are hovering between 88-91%

This looks to be the avenue to go down if my current idea loses steam or doesn't pick up steam quickly enough.

Richard Latimer

Not sure how much trading I'll be doing the rest of this week and next as off to see my family down in Devon. Here's tomorrows though and I'll still be tracking it every day so posts will appear on a daily basis:

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What's the betting all these overnighters hit the perfect scenario and find late goals with me needing to hit the sack.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Lay under 3.5 Stromsgodset

Stays 3-0. Don't really count this as a sticky patch, just some extremely high percentages normalising ever so slightly.

Biggest problem again is the scenarios I had been relying on just aren't coming up enough at present and it's leaving me with limited opportunities.

Richard Latimer

Lay under 3.5 Stromsgodset

Richard Latimer

I was just thinking how the Chinese Super League had started to creep back into my filters and it did seem as though that league started ages ago yet only a limited number of games played when I looked at the table.

Seems it's similar to Bolivia and that the league has only jus resumed after around 2 months off. Will sit the first 4 games after resumption out.

Richard Latimer

Here's todays potentials:

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Richard Latimer

The other game is cancelled so that's a red day. Will look at tomorrow in a bit but don't think there's much.

Richard Latimer

Lay under 1.5 Metropolitanos

Richard Latimer

So so close to getting the FH goal in a while but it came just a couple minutes too early:

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From a league I thought was a piece of s**t not that long ago. See what happens with the 2nd half if I'm still awake.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Think that's it for today as KR doesn't quite fit and those inplay stats don't look great.

Ituano is 2-1 after an early 2nd half goal and that's definitely not a scenario I like unless the goal come mega early!

KR so close on another scenario now but just not 100% on the home odds which are slightly out of the window of opportunity.

I've got 2 green trades today and not risking it on this last one. I would say there's a middling chance of another goal though.

Richard Latimer

Think that's it for today as KR doesn't quite fit and those inplay stats don't look great.

Ituano is 2-1 after an early 2nd half goal and that's definitely not a scenario I like unless the goal come mega early!