Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
Posting these for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
1/2 small loss
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This post is deleted!
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Posting these for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
Only one I don't have question marks over tomorrow is:
Lay under 1.5
Didn't see it coming.....never count these out haha!
The ones I had question marks on both won too so the question marks will be less next time.
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Nothing for tomorrow!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
Only one I don't have question marks over tomorrow is:
Lay under 1.5
Didn't see it coming.....never count these out haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
Couple more for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
2/2 and back in front ever so slightly for June
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Only one I don't have question marks over tomorrow is:
Lay under 1.5
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Couple more for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
Lay under 1.5:
2/2
Time to start looking at tomorrow.....can still end June with a profit.....
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Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
You'd probably be better off following a bunch of asylum seekers on to plane heading for Rawanda at the moment but here they are anyway!
Lay under 1.5:
3/3
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You'd probably be better off following a bunch of asylum seekers on to plane heading for Rawanda at the moment but here they are anyway!
Lay under 1.5:
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Absolute pig of a weekend so far both personally and in trading but I do see a very clear way forward after today.....in the trading at least.....personally it's all gone to s**t again!!
2/4 on Saturday
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Another 80%er in the bag. In fact just looking at the raw data with no tweaking of parameters at all shows a vast difference in s/r between 78-83% H2H over 1.5 (85% s/r) and 86-89% H2H over 1.5 (75% s/r).
It's night and day!!!
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There it is......the profit for these matches with a very high H2H% is down to around 3pts from 26 trades! The average odds are also around 1pt higher! It's now a no brainer to remove from the main selections and track.
Conversely, looking at games and paramaters I'd made higher......these can potentially be lowered again a little meaning that the paltry 3pts Iose out on are gained back with less swings.
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I already removed the 90%+ as they began to look substandard. For between 78-83% I have almost 100 trades and only 5 losers!
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Looks as though Okayama is going to be a bust too! Going through all my data so far for this.......in terms of the H2H results it's almost the exact same profit for 78-83% as it is 78%-89%
Once more the overall picture shows that bigger numbers are not necessarily better!
The next 2 today are 80%
If those 2 win and Okayama loses as looks to be the case I would be a fool to continue with the big numbers as the vast majority of trades ar 80% H2H anyway.
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £325.00 - Current Bank £414.98 (+£27.53 for May):
1/2 again. Process of elimination is hard. Sensible thing to do.would be to leave certain things until sure.
There are still areas of my game I need to work on.
Most Summer LEagues back this weekend other than Sweden which should hopefully make things easier
