Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Just the one poor trade today as well as a last minute lay on under 0.5 in Tokyo. Woke up, had a feeling it qualifed and no time to look properly. That said it was 10p haha!! Anymore and I would have done the checks.
Smouha. Laid under 4.5 70th minute. lost. -1.04pts (-£1.70)
Didn't see the home red but hadn't checked either. Lessson learned. I won't always stay away because of a red but this was definitely one to stay away from.
Tomorrow..... whole lot of nothing. Will stay up hoping for a trade on the Philadelphia game other than it's Chile tomorrow eve.
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Not a massive amount left today. Was way more between than hours of midnight to 07:00 am FFS!!!
Dukla is a dead rubber but could still throw up a FH trade.
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Yesterday wasn't exactly a car crash but not great either. First things first, full transparency, I laid under 1.5 midway through FH in Iwata. Not part of my match scenario strategy but more in tune with seeeing if I could play these a different way. Not big odds so I'll move on from that.
Matched @ 2.22. Lost. -1.22pts (-£1.99)
I didn't have much chance to trade yesterday as I was out with friends enjoying the sun.
Laid under 1.5 70th min in Zhodino @ 2.24. Lost. -1.24pts (-£2.02)
Laid under 3.5 70th min VPS (after 3rd goal scored 47th) @ 2.42. Lost. -1.42pts (-£2.31)And that was it.
So far today, were it not for sleeping off yesterday I would be starting with 1 green trade in Aus. As it is, I missed it.......bloody unsociable hours football right now!!
Anyway, we move on. My bank isn't going up enough at the moment but still seeing far too much good with this to abandon right now and last few days has been ropey across the board from what I'm seeing.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Sat:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Sat:
In terms of these Boreham wood and Ostrava matches are meaningless last day of the season fodder. Only potential play there will be FH if it fits.
Bromley have something to play for where as Notts County don't. I'll monitor whether that's still the case before any 2nd half entry.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Forgot to post but it's all on sheet. Early doors Western Utd is on my watch list.
I didn't post a full list as busy but the one trade I did take lost. Laid under 1.5 in Din Minsk after they fell behind 0-1 @ 2.46. 70th min entry.
-1.46pts (-£2.38)
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Sat:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Forgot to post but it's all on sheet. Early doors Western Utd is on my watch list.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
So from the 2 potentials there was nothing today although as I've said many times over it's a moving picture and the Norwegian game qualified on everything but home average simply because I'd not had one that high before in the qualifying range, not because it had seen losers that high.
Parameters adjusted outwards for future. Following the data every single step of the way.
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Not put anything in for ages but have been planning to put £5 for every week since the last deposit (just no point up to now as my stake wouldn't have changed.)
£20 English pounds to the bank.
Stake will be £1.63.
I've not exactly been racing away with this but I have made £3.00 so it's not all bad haha!
The over 1.5 thing is there in the background but strike rate required is obviously so much higher and it concerns me. I need to be 100% sure of what I'm doing if I go down that path.
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For tomorrow:
Today only saw one trade. It was a lay @ 1.98 in the 70th minute for a 3rd goal in Musa. Never happened. Seems like today was pretty crap all round.
Not much in the way of potentials at the moment.
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Wed potentials:
Also watch for over 1.5 where ave goals 3.10+, home odds 1.95 or lower/3.40 or higher ave book price.
This is a pretty interesting and totally accidental find.
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A 50/50 split tonight.
Laid under 1.5 FH after 1st goal in KR Reykjavic. Thought it hit but then an immediate correction. HT 1-0. Laid @ 2.12 so -1.12pts (-£1.76)
Laid under 1.5 70th minute for 2.36. Ends 1-1 so +.98pt (£1.57) -
Not Leiknir
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Hopefully more happening tomorrow than there was today:
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@mark-gorton said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer Its the not losing thats the good/fair bit......
Yeah I guess. Just don't have a lot of time to get through the not losing bit and move on to the profiting bit.
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@richard-latimer Its the not losing thats the good/fair bit......
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Another satisfying day where I neither made or lost anything but it's better than losing at least. Still confident.
That was totally meant to say unsatisfying but thanks for the thumbs up @Mark Gorton haha
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Not long ago it seems. All potentials seem to be ok
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Got some Egypt on there Monday. That hasn't happened in a long time......then again, I need to check when they last kicked a ball!
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Been working my way through todays results and there's not really anything I can see where things could have been tweaked soo I'm definitely not just getting rid of all losers.
Holstein Kiel could and should easily have scored FH, Mushuc Runa game was ripe for another goal as was Aucas.
Only thing I could possibly spot with Aucas is maybe odds for a H2 goal could have been a little higher. It's not much though and so just put this one down to a bad day. Thankfully it's now the end of all the big leagues so I can stop wondering who's going to actually give a s**t haha!!
As I mentioned I have split the 1-1 HT scores up into those where home took the lead and those where away took the lead. I believe from looking at my results that this is one area where improvement could be made. I'm actually quite happy I missed a loser in Czech as well with Jablonec so that's good.
As for a breakdown of results I'll post that tomorrow.
Bed soon!
