Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 4.5 Cottbus @ 9.4
Currently 3-1 HT
Stake 0.974-1
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Lay under 4.5 Cottbus @ 9.4
Currently 3-1 HT
Stake 0.97 -
Lay under 1.5 Loko Leipzig @ 5.8
Currently 0-1 HT
Stake £1.31Chemnitzer not inplay
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@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@darri yup, you're not wrong. I started with a 13pt loss so been playing catch up ever since. Confident I'm moving in the right direction though.
Ahh the famous losing run whenever you throw money at something for the first time or increase stakes. Guaranteed to happen as we normally jump on stuff after a reasonable run and there will be the inevitable reversion to the mean.
How’s your 1.5 stuff doing by the way?
It's coming along but I need so much more data and it's always hard spending hours updating when you're getting nothing out of it.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@darri yup, you're not wrong. I started with a 13pt loss so been playing catch up ever since. Confident I'm moving in the right direction though.
Ahh the famous losing run whenever you throw money at something for the first time or increase stakes. Guaranteed to happen as we normally jump on stuff after a reasonable run and there will be the inevitable reversion to the mean.
How’s your 1.5 stuff doing by the way?
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 1.5 Slutsk @ 3.8
Currently 0-1 HT
Stake £1.25Good shout on this one.
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I can handle all the prep side of it when fixtures get more. Biggest ballache is all the updating, even for matches you don't trade. BUT, that side of it is so so important!!! Can't be skipped, can't be rushed, can't be phoned in.
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Busy day and it's only about to get busier as removed so many fixtures today with not enough games:
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No overnighters this time so now I've completed my updates I think I'll chill out for a bit.
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Let's wait and see what happens over the weekend but I would already be further ahead if I'd carried out a little due diligence on my ranges.
They may appear a little OTT but they keep me in line.
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@darri yup, you're not wrong. I started with a 13pt loss so been playing catch up ever since. Confident I'm moving in the right direction though.
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@richard-latimer seeing this post made me wonder how well your bank is rising. Last time i brought up you had deposited £55 since initial bank setup. Since then you have deposited a £15 and a £5 just today. So in total thats £75 deposited. Your initial bank was £59.91 + deposited amounts(£75) = £134.91. But your bank currently stands at £116.80. So overall still a loss of £18.11.
Now either your numbers are wrong or you have withdrawn some bank in this time? Because from the surface it looks like you are doing well. So these havent started as well as we think? Your bank when i last brought this up was £109, you have since deposited £20, so down £13 on these?
I really urge you to take a think about this as the loss seems more than before. I can clearly see you have changed tact but still losing despite these runs. I know you will continue but please just dont be blinded by this your bank isnt growing because of trading yet its only growing cause you keep pumping it with money, you are compounding the wrong direction. I dont understand how you are losing if you have a 91% strike rate for lcs. So hopefully iv made a blunder. I really thought you had nailed this and was actually just writing up a well done post as these have done well this week.
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£5 more English pounds to the bank as it's been a week since the last deposit.
Bank now stands @ £116.80
New calculated stakes as follows:up to 3.5 = £2.17
3.55 - 7.4 = £1.31
7.6 - 11.0 = £0.97 -
That's the day. With Standard 0-0 @ HT it's a no play at those match odds.
6/6
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
I know we've only just been discussing this on the main thread but really no reason to dispel my own data so far and odds seem inline with what they would normally be give or take a tick so....
Lay under 2.5 A. Lustenau @ 5.9
Currently 1-1 with the away team having been carded.
Stake £1.252-1 already.
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I know we've only just been discussing this on the main thread but really no reason to dispel my own data so far and odds seem inline with what they would normally be give or take a tick so....
Lay under 2.5 A. Lustenau @ 5.9
Currently 1-1 with the away team having been carded.
Stake £1.25 -
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 2.5 @ 6.6 Midtjylland/Bayern II.
Midj are 2-0, Bayern 1-1.
Stake £1.252-1 Bayern. Just need Midj.
3-0 in Midge. 5/5
Well done mate
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 2.5 @ 6.6 Midtjylland/Bayern II.
Midj are 2-0, Bayern 1-1.
Stake £1.252-1 Bayern. Just need Midj.
3-0 in Midge. 5/5
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 2.5 @ 6.6 Midtjylland/Bayern II.
Midj are 2-0, Bayern 1-1.
Stake £1.252-1 Bayern. Just need Midj.
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@steve-sandell said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@steve-sandell said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
SHG Fortuna v Holstein currently 1-1
Shouldn't this be in the football thread haha?!
oops
Must have been a lucky omen there