Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Finally got an actual trade yesterday. Turned out to be a loser. Plenty of action and it didn't look like either team were playing to keep the score the same (3 sot, 6 shots off and a bunch of corners in 20 minutes).

Katowice - (Pol 2). 2 quick goals 2nd half, laid under 5.5 @ 4-1 70th minute. Matched @ 2.60. Loss. -1.6pts (-£2.61).

[Richard Latimer]

Bit late but it's doesn't look like anything is going to happen with Atlanta anyway.

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing so far today again although JBK only ruled out because of red and only because the scenario hadn't arisen before. Until the data shows otherwise that would be a qualifier.

Frustrating but 7 winners on the bounce and none of them quite fit at the time haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Gonna post these out now cos I'm getting fershnickered today!

[Richard Latimer]

CC Mariners didn't qualify for LCS today on account of the max home odds limit for 1-0 being 1.69 thus far. Nothing to change view on that so far despite today.

That said, when I looked into things a little more this morning something else became apparent as is so often the case.

I had minimum odds limit for over 0.5 SH as 1.12 (remember, these are all taken from ave book price on oddsportal). When I opened that particular criteria out just to get a look at the overall picture I noticed there were too more winners under that limit (1.09 & 1.10). When I imposed the limit it wasn't because I'd had losers at those limits, just no winners yet. Always prefer to exclude and let stuff in rather than the other way around if I remember. It's better for me this way.

Anyway, I follow the data so both Gladbach and Gent are now on the qualifiers. No good for now but very important for the future rounding this thing out.

Don't worry about Lorient. that was already there.

[Richard Latimer]

No that's not right. Get rid of both Sweden games. All others check out fine.

[Richard Latimer]

Finally got a few to look at again:

[Richard Latimer]

Spreadsheet is showing the last 6 trades (COULD HAVE BEEN) as winners.

Al ruled out by the smallest little detail plainly and simply because I didn't have it in my data yet. Going forward they would all be selections until the data tells me otherwwise. Sods law, next time it would be another slight detail missing haha!! Either way, that's how I'm reverse engineering this thing. For clarity it was:

Kansas ruled out by 3rd second half goal coming a minute too late according to the data I had
Wellington Phoenix ruled out by scoreline after the 2nd second half goal not being one I had any data for on the angle I was looking at (a goal in the 60's and another in the 70's).
KR Reykjavik ruled out on odds
Offenbach ruled out on odds
Dortmund II ruled out on odds and home ave being higher than what I had data for

Finally tonight, Grotta, ruled out on odds.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@matt-wood said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Under 5hrs now til the big kick off!!!

Careful with your excitement levels else you will trade prematurely!

I can hardly contain myself. In truth it's going to end up as a non qualifier for sure haha!

Odds too skinny otherwise I'd have been on that for LCS 70th. Oh well.

[Richard Latimer]

@matt-wood said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Under 5hrs now til the big kick off!!!

Careful with your excitement levels else you will trade prematurely!

I can hardly contain myself. In truth it's going to end up as a non qualifier for sure haha!

[Matt Wood]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Under 5hrs now til the big kick off!!!

Careful with your excitement levels else you will trade prematurely!

[Richard Latimer]

Under 5hrs now til the big kick off!!!

[Richard Latimer]

Here we go......Bumper Day!

[Richard Latimer]

Literally sweet FA tomorrow

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Nothing doing tonight in the end. Better than another loser haha!

That said, 2 came very close, both won. Could be qualifiers in future so all good.

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing doing tonight in the end. Better than another loser haha!

[Richard Latimer]

@ryan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer Some of these look good on the current data

Thanks. Because I'm looking at each scoreline and angle individually it's taking a long time to build up a good data set for each but I believe it will be worth it long-term.

[Ryan]

@richard-latimer Some of these look good on the current data

[Richard Latimer]

Neither of todays qualified. Here's Tuesdays:

[Richard Latimer]