Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Malaysia started off with 2 wins on the overs and then the Polish game won in the first half. What could have seemed like a loss in France seems more like a win with 1 goal at the death making 1 win and 1 loss. Pretty much break even on the day.
Lot's on tomorrow but I've separated these out into the filtered and unfiltered leagues. Leagues running at a deficit but not yet excluded are highlighted in Amber on the filtered sheet but I will in all likelihood avoid most or all of these. Possibly only Bremen in Germany might be taken.
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Based on early results there seems to be almost no correlation between those performing poorly in the overs and the way those same leagues perform in the unders.
With that in mind I've added the 4 highest performing overs leagues to the unders to see what happens.
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Odds too low on Germany game. Less than normal on for tomorrow in terms of a Friday. 2 in Malaysia as yet untested. 1 in Poland Ekstraklasa breaking even. 1 in Swiss Challenge league which may or may not get there odds wise. 1 in Ireland which looks highly unlikely with current odds and 2 in France Ligue 2.
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Good start in J-league 2. Fingers crossed for the Germany game.
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To elaborate:
A few unders to monitor.
2 overs, 1 in Japan at 06am so placed overnight there. 1 in German lower leagues once more. -
Only 1 of them matched at 1.2 pre-kickoff and that was despite great inplay stats and a first half goal.....a loser.
1 for tomorrow in J-league 2 this time. Hopefully that can start the way J-league 1 did.
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Result in Japan. The other 3 may or may not get matched @ 1.2. At present all under the minimum odds.
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4 overs for tomorrow. Sheet updated.
Got a new league inplay as J-League in been going a while now. Traditionally good for goals but I guess we'll see.
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Odds too low today.
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Just the 1 over in Germany tomorrow
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Bundesliga 2 won, Swiss Challenge League odds too low and Israel won at a canter.
Also 1 selection on the unders trial came good while another didn't go ahead.
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3 overs for tomorrow.
1 of these in the Bundesliga 2 so best be avoided entirely. The other 2 are in Swiss Challenge League and Israel Ligat Ha'al which so far are both in profit.
Couple on the unders trial but data set very small so only monitoring those at present.
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Turkey Super Lig also removed from filtered leagues.
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And when the dust settles on another day things are just becoming clearer and clearer.
Portugal Segunda suffered it's first loss but despite this is still the biggest earner.
Mexico Primera is now another to avoid and is removed from filtered leagues until further notice. Chile Primera and Italian Serie A almost certainly heading the same way.
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I should add that for the remaining leagues there is a combined deficit of well over 200pts.
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I know it's never as simple as this and the figures are changing on a day by day basis......however.........Using 10pt stakes and going from Portuguese Segunda down to the Quatari league that has a -7.72 points deficit.........overall profit is up to over 400pts as of midnight last night.
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Back from a weekend away and it's sure been an interesting one cementing some positions on league for the overs once more. Switzerland Super League has now sustained 4 losses on the bounce there and has to gone from the filtered leagues.
Turkey Super Lig after today going the same way. Also not at all confident in Hungary anymore.
Conversely leagues like the Argie league, French Ligue 2 and Portuguese Segunda continue to look positive despite the reputation these have for many as being leagues where goals are hard to come by.
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Very early days but created some individual league data on the unders and English leagues really are a poisonous inconsistency. Both Championship and League 2 in the red early doors.
Wonder if this is to do with the competitive nature of the leagues and the amount of games they play? Always hear pundits saying what a slog these leagues are, so must be hard to keep performance levels consistent/keep players at peak condition, which is why you can see a goal fest like last weekend in the championship one week, and a bunch of tight games the week after. Just my theory, but hard to predict nonetheless.
Could be. I've given up trying to find logical reasons for stuff haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Very early days but created some individual league data on the unders and English leagues really are a poisonous inconsistency. Both Championship and League 2 in the red early doors.
Wonder if this is to do with the competitive nature of the leagues and the amount of games they play? Always hear pundits saying what a slog these leagues are, so must be hard to keep performance levels consistent/keep players at peak condition, which is why you can see a goal fest like last weekend in the championship one week, and a bunch of tight games the week after. Just my theory, but hard to predict nonetheless.
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Just the one over tomorrow in Serbia. A league which has so far started off strongly but right now who can tell whether this will continue.
