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Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
5.5k Posts 81 Posters 436.6k Views
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2221

    There it is. Another blank in Mechelen. Think fans being in the stadiums is working the opposite for me haha! What a day!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Dan MacKinnon on last edited by
    #2222

    @dan-mackinnon said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer When you look at today/ the week do the results sit in line with your SR? When you hitting winning runs it’s easy to forget about the inevitable losses. We all know they have to come at some point, was it a poor day or just variance kicking in?

    Not really. Worst day was 4 losses. Happened once since Dec. Going to be 5 here.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    D 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2223

    Looks like I'm heading for a 5th loss here. Can't buy a SHG today!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • D Offline
    D Offline
    Dan MacKinnon
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2224

    @richard-latimer When you look at today/ the week do the results sit in line with your SR? When you hitting winning runs it’s easy to forget about the inevitable losses. We all know they have to come at some point, was it a poor day or just variance kicking in?

    “Greed moves the goalposts” - Ryan Holiday

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2225

    Pig's ear of a day here but with losses in Kazak, Bundesliga 2, Ger Regionalliga and Slovakia I think it's time to pay more attention to individual leagues.

    Kazak had been ok up until today and it's only 1 loss but time to monitor until the league gets back in the green.

    Still think Regionalliga ok and despite this loss p/l still looks ok. Was only the 2nd 2-1 loss in well over 50 matches.

    Bundesliga 2 has been ok also and that was influenced by VAR.

    Slovakia another to monitor until back in the green.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2226

    Lay under 2.5 Oostende @ 5.6
    Currently 2-0 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2227

    Lay under 1.5 QPR @ 5.8
    Currently 1-1
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2228

    No more talking....

    Lay under 2.5 Raufoss @ 6.6
    Currently 2-0 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2229

    Lay under 1.5 Steinbach @ 5.2
    Currently 1-0 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2230

    Lay under 3.5 Saarbrucken @ 5.3
    Currently 2-1 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2231

    Lay under 1.5 Slutsk @ 5.7
    Currently 0-1 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2232

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH FC Astana @ 4.0

    Current ave book price for home team 1.31
    Current ave price for FHG 1.29
    All stats on filter qualify

    Stake £1.97

    That was quick. Me likey

    Same game. It's 2-1 HT.

    Already established home team priced @ 1.31
    This is ave price for SHG

    0_1631965726199_d343694a-9042-4da9-b6af-73348e5cafaa-image.png

    My window for 2-1 HT is 1.06+ so qualifies there.

    Again all stats from filter qualify for this scoreline so it's a go.

    Laying under 3.5 @ 6.2 which is 1.19. 2 ticks better than average book price.

    Only the 2nd loss in 58 matches with 2-1 score @ HT. It was bound to happen at some point. Today was the day!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2233

    Lay under 2.5 Fortuna Dusseldorf @ 5.6
    Currently 1-1 HT
    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2234

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH FC Astana @ 4.0

    Current ave book price for home team 1.31
    Current ave price for FHG 1.29
    All stats on filter qualify

    Stake £1.97

    That was quick. Me likey

    Same game. It's 2-1 HT.

    Already established home team priced @ 1.31
    This is ave price for SHG

    0_1631965726199_d343694a-9042-4da9-b6af-73348e5cafaa-image.png

    My window for 2-1 HT is 1.06+ so qualifies there.

    Again all stats from filter qualify for this scoreline so it's a go.

    Laying under 3.5 @ 6.2 which is 1.19. 2 ticks better than average book price.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2235

    Just had to remove a whole host of games without markets today. Betfair streamlining for the winter leagues it seems.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #2236

    @richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

    Lay under 0.5 FH FC Astana @ 4.0

    Current ave book price for home team 1.31
    Current ave price for FHG 1.29
    All stats on filter qualify

    Stake £1.97

    That was quick. Me likey

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2237

    Was getting ready to lay a couple of games in Estonia but no market.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #2238

    Lay under 0.5 FH FC Astana @ 4.0

    Current ave book price for home team 1.31
    Current ave price for FHG 1.29
    All stats on filter qualify

    Stake £1.97

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2239

    0_1631921224587_af427cde-f536-4029-9238-bb170ffcb37b-image.png

    Removed a Ukranian game and a Russian game on account of the red list but I am still tracking. Nothing better to do tomorrow than shop and clean so may as well trade as well. Other than that there were some lower league Scottish games (no point as liquidity just trash on Sat 3pm games), a UAE game and another from Tajikstan. Binned those off immediately.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #2240

    Latest table so I can keep a sense of optimism for the rest of this month. 2 weekends to go and a lot of work.

    0_1631918316885_2fd32f79-0d73-474f-b0fe-7a9ca87fcb9a-image.png

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
    0

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