Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Absolutely nothing Monday

[Richard Latimer]

Won't take as long to update this weekend but still working on it. In the meantime no hiccups today and a solid +£7.10 to take the bank to £186.65.

Only a pennies difference in terms of stakes.

[Richard Latimer]

For 0-1 scorlines the system is currently 100% up to home odds of 1.4 and Charlotte Indpendence is 1.35. However taken as a whole for odds 1.6 or under it's currently only 85-86% bordering on break even over 35 selections.

As odds are quite high on Charlotte Independence anyway I'm going to leave this one and potentially anything under 1.61 going forward. When I'm only looking at 14 losses total from 195 selections and over 1/3 of these come within the odds range below 1.61 it seems the sensible thing to do.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Lay under 1.5 Offenbach @ 4.7

1/2 Offenbach one of those teams but the German lower leagues as a whole well worth doing.

Not so much on Sunday which is just as well as finally off to see Bond in the morning after I tried and failed this evening. Who knew, 2nd week and it's still crazy popular ffs haha!!

I've started updating but it will take a while. Couple of losses on the 0-1 and maybe 1 thing to keep an eye on going forward. Nothing standout though. First loss in Sweden Div 1 and unexpected one in Emmen.

[Richard Latimer]

First loss for a while. Last trade in Emmen turned moderate gain into moderate loss. Full update to follow but -£6.06 today.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

I won't be posting my exact trades all day but while I'm sitting at the computer....

Lay under 2.5 Halden @ 6.6
Lay under 1.5 Offenbach @ 4.7

1/2 Offenbach one of those teams but the German lower leagues as a whole well worth doing.

[Richard Latimer]

I won't be posting my exact trades all day but while I'm sitting at the computer....

Lay under 2.5 Halden @ 6.6
Lay under 1.5 Offenbach @ 4.7

[Richard Latimer]

Just started watching this video on Warren Buffett and how he made his fortune by compounding. Can already tell I'm going to enjoy it.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

And as I say that it goes to 2-2 and now it is one.

Got my lay in @ 6.6

3-2

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

And as I say that it goes to 2-2 and now it is one.

Got my lay in @ 6.6

[Richard Latimer]

And as I say that it goes to 2-2 and now it is one.

[Richard Latimer]

Sotra on now, almost HT and 1-2. Not looking like a qualifier.

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer Thanks mate, I can work with that. Into your spreadsheet as well

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Not sure why I posted these couple as neither have league data and I'm 100% only tracking. Kofu not a qualifier anyway.

Nothing wrong with transparency and accountability

[Richard Latimer]

In fact neither was the first so no harm done.

[Richard Latimer]

Not sure why I posted these couple as neither have league data and I'm 100% only tracking. Kofu not a qualifier anyway.

[Richard Latimer]

Unlikely I'll be awake for these but you never know:

Will post the rest tomorrow once I've had a chance to go through the raw data.

[Richard Latimer]

Revised stakes again:

[Richard Latimer]

2/2

[Richard Latimer]

@John-Folan an example of what I looked for tonight.

Trade was Wiedenbruck 2-0 @ HT. Ave goals 3.15, ave home scored 1.5 & ave home scored h2 0.8

Criteria for 2-0 stipulates ave goals 3-4.5, ave home scored 1.5-2.7 and ave home scored h2 0.7-1.5

A quick check of oddsportal.com:

home odds 2.26, ave over 0.5 H2 1.20

For 2-0 it's quite a broad spectrum anyway with home odds from 1.06-6.99 (not been forced that way, it's just the odds that have materialised thus far and I don't stray from that until I have the data. It's a moving target which hasn't moved in months!!) and over 0.5 H2 odds 1.04+ (I would still never go higher than 11.0 even from HT).

Hopefully this gives you a simple overview of how I'm choosing the selections.