Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Couldn't resist!

Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.

There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.

In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:

https://l.facebook.com/l.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dropbox.com%2Fs%2Fge2te81stl610l2%2FTrading%2520Summary.xlsx%3Fdl%3D0&h=ATN7gmT85qmurybRUfsB_1nSrWqVMfFz16Ifb4rNddw1LGTJ54NZbKkCfZEVdG-LBtmzDTlKHY7kQePkM9plHMcifE8d5yugz6iEFA9Hi9qcdxg1BL-arZsj067zS5veEHxgj_8vOaqhc6Cb30V2ouCiBqa2a4R7kCJRAU9dZP_3piZmMifymV2k99-ZLA4WFj85yA9X_mO_5Cv1AfQVndPe1PP2WGR7b_fAQkw7nbp1eJK1vj3Aft9hOvBAiUJESaaIFgSo1_i_xjyfvMNIkQ

Will update for tomorrow asap

[Richard Latimer]

Those bloody Belgians are killing me at the moment!

[Richard Latimer]

@Alessandro-Imbrescia do you restrict to current season? Use last 10 games?

[Richard Latimer]

@Darran-Padley said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

@Richard-Latimer when do you get involved with lay? Drip stake?

Half hour before kickoff

[Darran Padley]

@Richard-Latimer when do you get involved with lay? Drip stake?

[Alessandro Imbrescia]

@Richard-Latimer
I’m actually using the same base rule: both teams’ “failed to score” % must be less than or equal to 20%.
I believe that’s the filter you’re referring to when you say they must have scored in at least 80% of their games.

However, those matches still come through in my selection.

On top of that, I’ve also added:
• both teams’ clean sheet % under 60%, and
• overall H2H FT Over 1.5 ≥ 60%,
• overall H2H FT 0–0 ≤ 10%.

That’s why I’m confused: with all these filters in place, I still get those fixtures, while they don’t appear in your raw data

Thanks

PS: I’ve just lost a big amount on PSV at odds 10.00. Do you personally use a maximum odds limit for these bets, or any rule of thumb to avoid very high prices?

[Richard Latimer]

@Alessandro-Imbrescia none of them appeared on my raw data either. If I had to guess I'd say that both teams hadn't scored in at least 80% of their games?

That's the basis of my overs. Everything works down from that.

[Alessandro Imbrescia]

@Richard-Latimer
Hi Richard,
if I may, I’d like to ask for your help.
I’m testing my system and today it selected the following four matches:
Qatar – QSL – 21/11/2025 17:30: Al-Gharafa vs Al Wakra
Netherlands – Eerste Divisie – 21/11/2025 20:00: Cambuur vs Den Haag
Netherlands – Eerste Divisie – 21/11/2025 20:00: Maastricht vs Jong AZ
Spain – LaLiga – 21/11/2025 21:00: Valencia vs Levante
The results were 2 losses and 2 wins — and the win in Cambuur vs Den Haag was basically pure luck.
Overall, a disaster.
Looking at your selection, I noticed that your algorithm picked only Maastricht vs Jong AZ, which was the only match that turned out to be an easy win.
I’d like to understand what made your algorithm exclude the other three problematic matches. Based on my stats, all four looked very similar and, in theory, all worth playing.
If you can help me understand, I’d really appreciate it.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Away:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Away:

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

1-2

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

3.6-4.9

No trade

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Away:

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Away:

3.6-4.9

[Richard Latimer]

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Under 1.5:

1/1

[Richard Latimer]

Lay Under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Bit of a loss on the away lays but then that is still very much in development. Those losses are still to be expected.

[Richard Latimer]

Very up and down weekend on the overs but managed to come out with £80 profit and a little more info (tiny little tweak)

[Richard Latimer]

@Alessandro-Imbrescia What I would say is be wary when the numbers are too high sometimes, not just too low. What goes up must come down and sometimes I find the really high numbers in certain criteria to be very hit and miss. I track between 10 and 14 different criteria in each system.

You don't really know what makes the small margins until you look at everything.