Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@john-folan said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@john-folan exactly. Like I said, I've always been so preoccupied on hypothesising about everything but it's really pretty irrelevant.

If it works, it works.

Exactly. There’s a horse racing strategy where people back a horse to win its first race after win pipe surgery as the win rate is pretty impressive. Does it work? Yes. Do I know why? Nope. Do I care as long as it works? Nope

Good to know. Where do you find history of their surgeries haha??

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@john-folan exactly. Like I said, I've always been so preoccupied on hypothesising about everything but it's really pretty irrelevant.

If it works, it works.

Exactly. There’s a horse racing strategy where people back a horse to win its first race after win pipe surgery as the win rate is pretty impressive. Does it work? Yes. Do I know why? Nope. Do I care as long as it works? Nope

Richard Latimer

@john-folan exactly. Like I said, I've always been so preoccupied on hypothesising about everything but it's really pretty irrelevant.

If it works, it works.

John Folan

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Had a bit of time this morning so decided to re-visit a video which I believe @john folan had posted at some point in the past.

Very interesting all the way through but one thing I took from it and it kind of contradicts many of the things I have thought in the past is that correaltion and not ncessarily causation is what is important.

Some guys tracked millions and millions of lines of data in horse racing to see what impacted what but they weren't in the slightest bit interested in untangling it to find out why.

It mattered little to them that x happened when y was apparent or vice versa. Only that it did happen. I've always sought to hypothesise a reason for why something is happening but this has just shown me that's not the important part to concentrate on.

It suports more what I'm doing now in terms of following the data. Of course I don't have a million results to analyse haha!

But one example he brought up was soemthing like the largest chocolate making countries on the planet apparently have the most nobel prize winners. Clearly no causation then and something else going on but.....

a) Does it matter (I suppose yes if it isn't going to continue and no if it will)
b) Chaos theory....a butterfly flapping it's wings halfway across the world causes a tornado. Who knows why but maybe there is a reason.

All the same, a very interesting watch.

A good video this. Taught me to focus on what was happening not why.

Richard Latimer

Had a bit of time this morning so decided to re-visit a video which I believe @john folan had posted at some point in the past.

Very interesting all the way through but one thing I took from it and it kind of contradicts many of the things I have thought in the past is that correaltion and not ncessarily causation is what is important.

Some guys tracked millions and millions of lines of data in horse racing to see what impacted what but they weren't in the slightest bit interested in untangling it to find out why.

It mattered little to them that x happened when y was apparent or vice versa. Only that it did happen. I've always sought to hypothesise a reason for why something is happening but this has just shown me that's not the important part to concentrate on.

It suports more what I'm doing now in terms of following the data. Of course I don't have a million results to analyse haha!

But one example he brought up was soemthing like the largest chocolate making countries on the planet apparently have the most nobel prize winners. Clearly no causation then and something else going on but.....

a) Does it matter (I suppose yes if it isn't going to continue and no if it will)
b) Chaos theory....a butterfly flapping it's wings halfway across the world causes a tornado. Who knows why but maybe there is a reason.

All the same, a very interesting watch.

Richard Latimer

Todays didn't qualify and absolutrely nothing again for tomorrow. It's going to be pretty difficult judging how I'm doing by the end of this month at this rate.

Richard Latimer

And so begins another day of almost nothing.....

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Steve Sandell

This post is deleted!

Martin

@richard-latimer great news that

Richard Latimer

@martin said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer every cloud!

Indeed. Plus my son is home now.

Martin

@richard-latimer every cloud!

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Thank you stupid f*****g pharmacist for making me miss a winning trade while baking my ass off in a hot car all day.

Lulea was a winner with a LCS @ 3-0 70th minute. Great for the data but no bloody good for me!!

Just checked and it wasn't on betfair anyway....YES!!!! Don't feel like I missed out anymore haha!

Richard Latimer

Thank you stupid f*****g pharmacist for making me miss a winning trade while baking my ass off in a hot car all day.

Lulea was a winner with a LCS @ 3-0 70th minute. Great for the data but no bloody good for me!!

Richard Latimer

looking through tomorrows card and it looks like once again betfair don't have the 2nd tier US stuff. Weeird as they have the National Premier Soccer League which I'd assume is a level under (3rd tier?) and the US Premier Development League.

Anyway, makes my choice easier on whether to stay up late!

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