Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Well here's what happened today in the big picture:
I went 3/4 for a 1pt loss.
On top of this Portugal has played itself into contention on the basis the odds are so good there and with 6 wins/0 losses at present even a loss will leeave the league in small profit.
Laliga continued the 100% record when 0-0 as a HT result is taken away. The home odds were in outlier territory today but it all adds to the data and makes the solid evn more solid!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
There will be a full update later as always but loss of around 1pt today and Eng National league taken off the board temporarily.
Still profitable but not by enough and another quick loss could take it too close to break even. Need another few successful games there before I'll add it back in.
Ah what a conundrum. I'm still 89% on that league and another quick loss would leave me a pt to the good and put the league on pause for a time. However 1 more win and that league is still in a position of strength to grow so do I play the next qualifier knowing if it wins I would play the next anyway or do I pause for 1 game what is more than likely a pts green?!
I'll probably pause it.
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There will be a full update later as always but loss of around 1pt today and Eng National league taken off the board temporarily.
Still profitable but not by enough and another quick loss could take it too close to break even. Need another few successful games there before I'll add it back in.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Just realised I accidentally added Ger regionalliga west. That one is a watch league. Also Union Berlin has way too low SHG ave.
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Not league 2 yet, not enough data
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
@chris-osborne I initially planned to do it until stakes reached more than the input but I'm over halfway there now and I need the excess in my normal bank more than I do here now so yeah that's it.
Milestone reached
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New stakes again for tomorrow:
Todays results:
Will post up Saturdays tomorrow morning.
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Genk obv mistake as game postponed on 19th.
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So both todays were called off. Nothing for Thursday.
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And a couple of potentials for tomorrow:
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And todays 2:
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These are the 3 updated from yesterday:
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2/2 Bank £276.77
New stakes tomorrow:
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Tomorrow's potentials:
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Time's getting on and can't be bothered to update tonight right now so will do that tomorrow. Undersold myself for yeesterday as it was actually 5/5.
Augsburg came so so close and I know my micro analytical style has come in for quite a bit of stick but it's this that's turned things around for me. I follow the data in patterns wherever it leads and if that's only temporary then so be it.
For Augsburg it was a case of the home odds being 3.00. This is very close to the small odds range of 2.64-2.83 which has been a pig (I put it down to close teams in ability). Before I will trade anything I'm looking for 7 good trades at the end of each range. This had 6 good trades with odds over 2.83 and less than 3.02. 3.02 was basically my entry so as you can see it missed by fractions.
Since yesterdays fail in that game the poor range has been extended to 2.74-3.00 and nothing will be taken that doesn't hit 3.2 until such time as more positive data is unearthed so as to show it was just a blip then I will be looking at getting it down from 3.2 ever so slowly as long as I can show 7 positive trades since the last loss.
Now I wonder if that makes sense to anybody but me haha!
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@chris-osborne I initially planned to do it until stakes reached more than the input but I'm over halfway there now and I need the excess in my normal bank more than I do here now so yeah that's it.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer With your bankroll going in the right direction does this mean your no longer making your weekly deposit?
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Still sorting out yesterdays and I'll post with todays when I'm done. Today was another 4/4 from a limited set of matches so very happy with that. Bank reaches yet another new high and staking for tomorrow is as follows:
