Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £200.00 - Current Bank £262.45 (-£64.26 for Apr):

Before I hit the sack, this is what I have for tomorrow on the lay under 1.5:

Well that's bittersweet. Thank you West Ham

Richard Latimer

Before I hit the sack, this is what I have for tomorrow on the lay under 1.5:

0_1651363672327_12a7328c-7888-46fa-a215-6b20394ddf7b-image.png

Richard Latimer

I'm confident that if the 35pts from over 1.5 can be replicated in the next 2 weeks my loss for April will be chicken feed! We shall see....

Richard Latimer

Well the month comes to a close and my 6th month winning streak with it. I'm happier with the amount of time I'm having to put in on this though and confident it looks good going forward. Currently not having to look at excluding leagues.

I probably would have come close to break even this month but it's more important that where I've made obvious mistakes i take these on the chin, make sure they don't happen again and that it doesn't affect where I need to be in terms of making my cousin money. Right now, that's more important than anything as I need that full time salary.

Time to update the running total.....

Richard Latimer

VAR spoilt a decent day. Small loss. On to tomorrow.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

Valencia get it back on track. Odds for Bilbao are very good but they always concern me, odds liker this. Still the stats and H2H are very good.

So it's 4/5 so far and break even. These 2 for another win, 50/50 split for a small loss and 100% loss for.....well.....a much bigger loss!

Will update tomorrow as all being well I'll be out tonight.

So concern unfounded. Need 2 goals from the last game for another green Day.

Richard Latimer

Valencia get it back on track. Odds for Bilbao are very good but they always concern me, odds liker this. Still the stats and H2H are very good.

So it's 4/5 so far and break even. These 2 for another win, 50/50 split for a small loss and 100% loss for.....well.....a much bigger loss!

Will update tomorrow as all being well I'll be out tonight.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

Right, onto today and looking for a good end to what has been a patchy and disturbed month. Lay under 1.5 on the following:

Neither Maritimo or Benfica appear to have anything to play for anymore but they do have 3 games left. What I found with the SHG is that it didn't really become a problem until the last game of the season when teams enter a 2nd half knowing it's the last 45mins they have to play before they can chill for a few weeks/month.

I'm not sure teams go on holiday in their mind until that point. Still training, matchday prep etc....Not trying to predict who will win and if the defence doesn't turn up all the better. Sometimes the last few games can be more open as teams don't really care about keeping it tight and just want to put on a spectacle for their fans.

Benfica screw up a perfect day so far. Another thing that concerned but I have to let it play out initially. High scoring away average on that game and only 2nd time so now 50% there. These things really do matter in my opinion. Good thing is with less variables it will take way less time for this data to settle.

? Offline

hI Rich i was wondering what criteria do you use for your selections mate.
Is it from one of the BTC filter software?

I do like the 1.5 myself but i have found recently for some reason games are taking a lot longer to get matched than what they did a month or so ago which means lots of missed opportunites for my way of trading this market

by the way even going in from KO your strike rate on your spreadsheet is amazing.

Richard Latimer

Right, onto today and looking for a good end to what has been a patchy and disturbed month. Lay under 1.5 on the following:

0_1651308407258_7c091800-8c5c-4e2a-9031-445847f20b85-image.png

Neither Maritimo or Benfica appear to have anything to play for anymore but they do have 3 games left. What I found with the SHG is that it didn't really become a problem until the last game of the season when teams enter a 2nd half knowing it's the last 45mins they have to play before they can chill for a few weeks/month.

I'm not sure teams go on holiday in their mind until that point. Still training, matchday prep etc....Not trying to predict who will win and if the defence doesn't turn up all the better. Sometimes the last few games can be more open as teams don't really care about keeping it tight and just want to put on a spectacle for their fans.

Richard Latimer

@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

3/3 tonight

I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.

I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!

Why not trial it for the summer leagues and see what happens - work/life balance is far more important might be easier to scale up also.

I'm with you on weekend data and you collate more leagues than me its a nightmare at times

Yeah, I'm thinking that I may have a break collecting all the data I do and conceentrate solely on the over 1.5. It means gaps if I do have to come back to it. I'm not sure. Really not sure haha!

? Offline

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

3/3 tonight

I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.

I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!

Why not trial it for the summer leagues and see what happens - work/life balance is far more important might be easier to scale up also.

I'm with you on weekend data and you collate more leagues than me its a nightmare at times

Akiva Anderson

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):

3/3 tonight

I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.

I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!

I've been doing it now for about 2.5 years. They are superb

Richard Latimer

3/3 tonight

I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.

I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!