Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Goals galore in Norway today but not in one of these and the only one I took. Interestingly this league from 3 selections thus far already has 2 losers making up 20% of the losers already.

Norway Obos is actually the first country to be red listed on FHG. 2 losses at this stage means I need on average 7 more wins to break even and 8 to profit. It's also the first league to hit 2 losers in over 100 selections so it makes sense.

[Richard Latimer]

How very un Thursday. Selections:

Only 4 so not massively hard to track. However good habits are important and bad habits hard to break so I've double checked the number against fixtures on my phone. This must be a rule from now on. If I'm busy with life so be it but I don't want to just leave money on the table for sake of it. That's just bad planning.

Fail to prepare and you should prepare to fail. Where did I read that....

Another I like which is something in my daughters song writing book we bought her. A quote from Eisenhower no less.

plans are worthless, but planning is everything.

[Richard Latimer]

Firstly the FHG that never was and the other FHG that never was. One missed and the other missed the target:

Goals galore in Norway today but not in one of these and the only one I took. Interestingly this league from 3 selections thus far already has 2 losers making up 20% of the losers already.

1/2 for the system
0-1 for me

SHG:

6/6 on system plays
Ok so I get it, that's not the way it played out (6/7) but I'm measuring how it performs after the smallest of tweaks as well as recording my own failings (is it really a failing? I'm not sure. More of an observation I've only just been able to make).

For me it was 5/6 having already discussed missing Aalesund for some inexplicable reason.

Today -£8.97

[Richard Latimer]

In the middle of updating I managed to see another very obvious improvement to make right now....aty least until the data develops.

By increasing the required average to 0.9 for a SHG when scorelines are in the crazy range @ HT I secure potentially another 15-20pts while having a a few less selections. They may come back in but lower ave than 0.9 when HT score is crazy appears to be somewhat of an outlier.

It's better to remove it for now and add it back in rather than see this bit of minor data drag the system down. If it's the same for leagues it's the same for criteria.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

There are some crazy scores today.

Lay under 6.5 Grotta @ 9.2
Currently 6-0 HT
Stake £1.46

7-0 so no more surprises. Still around a 4pt loss which isn't that bad. Still in credit for the month. Updates to come.

[Richard Latimer]

There are some crazy scores today.

Lay under 6.5 Grotta @ 9.2
Currently 6-0 HT
Stake £1.46

[Richard Latimer]

One thing I really have to sort out is not putting all the days games on my phone and forgetting about them. Completely forgot about Aalesund. Not only was it a SHG, it was a FHG as well. 2 missed trades and it's not because I was doing anything else. It's simply carelessness.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal @ 5.0
Stake £1.97

Can't win em all.

Lay under 3.5 Ham-Kam @ 6.2
Currently 3-0 HT
Stake £1.97

Lay under 6.5 Sandnes @ 7.2
Currently 4-2 HT
Stake £1.97

Poor day. They happen. Still one more potential on the list.

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal @ 5.0
Stake £1.97

Can't win em all.

Lay under 3.5 Ham-Kam @ 6.2
Currently 3-0 HT
Stake £1.97

Lay under 6.5 Sandnes @ 7.2
Currently 4-2 HT
Stake £1.97

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 0.5 FH Sogndal @ 5.0
Stake £1.97

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 2.5 KFM Oslo @ 7.4
Currently 1-1 HT
Stake £1.97

[Richard Latimer]

Exactly yes. It's a cross between stats on the filter and odds found on oddsportal.com giving ave book price.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer hi richard are the figures under lcs the stats you use to find what matches to bet on thanks jamie

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

Still up coughing and spluttering. Yay, the benefits of a horrible cold!

Lay under 1.5 Columbus @ 4.4
Currently 0-1 HT
Stake £1.97

Lay under 2.5 New York City @ 7.2
Currently 1-1 HT
Stake £1.97

2/2 overnight

[Richard Latimer]

Still up coughing and spluttering. Yay, the benefits of a horrible cold!

Lay under 1.5 Columbus @ 4.4
Currently 0-1 HT
Stake £1.97

Lay under 2.5 New York City @ 7.2
Currently 1-1 HT
Stake £1.97

[Richard Latimer]

Wed

[Richard Latimer]

Bank now at £175.83
New stakes calculated below:

[Richard Latimer]

Here's tonights not inc. later game in Mex 2nd tier which is redlisted at present:

SHG

3/3

FHG

1/1

+£7.40

[Richard Latimer]

After seeing the liquidity in Isthmian league tonight that's another I definitely won't be bothering with.

[Richard Latimer]

Mondays easy. Just the one:

1/1
+£1.83