Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Lay Under 1.5:
Required prices which I shall be sticking to come what may!
FIN 4.4-6.0
ENG 5.6-9.0 -
@Nikki-HALSALL I saw you were on it already. Nice and easy for a change. Although I got 7.4.
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@Richard-Latimer I am
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And here is the years profit tracker for each. Not included the last home lay as it's gone and almost certainly not coming back.
Still working on another 2 in the background.
Then the non qualifiers of all 4 may be able to serve as reverse systems in their own right. That would be a portfolio of 8 in the football.
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Just so nobody thinks I'm glossing over anything....
That was away lays last month. At one point over £500 up and then down by £162.00 by the end.
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Lay Under 1.5:
On the basis of where the price is right now. If it comes down another couple of ticks (6.8) I'll be leaving it.
S**t.....thought I'd pressed send. It's 1-0 now.
Can't imagine anyone is following after last month anyway!
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Nothing overnight or tomorrow
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@Alex-Rendell said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer have you looked at trading these games at all? From what I gather you're pretty invested in all of them except for the overnight ones, so wasn't sure if delaying your entry point and trading on a goal would help with your mindset and naturally, the volatility of this footie trading lark?! Just a thought, as I've seen how much you beat yourself up over short-term swings
I'll beat myself up regardless. I'll beat myself up if I miss a goal.
No, my data is based on the 90 minutes. Beating myself up is on mistakes and things easily avoided.
This morning is a loss and while I'm not going to say I'm happy I did follow caution. It was not easily avoided on the basis of what had come before.
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@Richard-Latimer have you looked at trading these games at all? From what I gather you're pretty invested in all of them except for the overnight ones, so wasn't sure if delaying your entry point and trading on a goal would help with your mindset and naturally, the volatility of this footie trading lark?! Just a thought, as I've seen how much you beat yourself up over short-term swings
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A thoroughly horrific April on the overs but it is over and here's the final tally:
Plan going forward is more caution, less gung ho.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Will take between 4.6-5.9
EDIT: Will take 4.6-7.0
1-2
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@james-everard said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Afternoon Richard , i hope you are well?
Do you not stop trading leagues that are coming to an end or have you found that makes no difference with your results ?I definitely haven't found enough correlation in that.
Everyone has their own way of trading, i have for the last 6months not touched matches where there is 5 or less games to play in the season. I made a big loss the end of the summer leagues.
Does take ages going through my filters to see if matches meet my criteria, now at that funny time of the year when there are only a couple of winter leagues that have 5 or more matches to go and not enough data on the summer leagues ( min of 8 games) , although South Korea and some of the south american leagues have some matches. A few weeks until the Scandinavian leagues i can start trading -
Here's the update for away lays:
Now I know to some it must seem like a car crash which is going nowhere fast but I really believe in it as a whole. I said there will be ups and downs but I need to be less gung ho which I really am going to try and do.
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Lay Away:
Doubtful I'll take Kashiwa as odds very low at the moment and way under the lowest price so far.
Albirex could yet end up pricing too high but it's a possible.DEFINITIVE: Will take 4.4-6.0
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Lay Under 1.5:
Will take between 4.6-5.9
EDIT: Will take 4.6-7.0
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Overs in a sorry sorry state for April. It's so hard when I look at what might have been but for a little more caution on some of the leagues where I was a little too over confident. I know what's possible and I also know the fine the margins and how fast it can fall apart.
Away Lays still going although I've managed to turn a £500 profit there into a small loss as things stand.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
In spite of those 2 hefty losses I've really not lost much on the Away Lays this weekend either. The problem is righting the ship on the overs. I keep on making the same mistakes which boil down to neglect for want of a better word.
Currently April is heading for a small win on the away lays and a massive loss on the overs.
Spoke too soon. What a gut punch in Bolivia.
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In spite of those 2 hefty losses I've really not lost much on the Away Lays this weekend either. The problem is righting the ship on the overs. I keep on making the same mistakes which boil down to neglect for want of a better word.
Currently April is heading for a small win on the away lays and a massive loss on the overs.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Was all going so well.
I think it's time to tighten up on the away lays. Wouldn't have done much today but I could hyave easily missed Inter. Not the over. Roma should have had more than 1.
I just knew that AUS would provide another loss at those odds but did I stop myself. Did I eck as like.
I think also that just because a league hasn't provided me with any losing price points thus far I need to stop assuming they never will. They always do. Gimpo was easy to rule out as being almost the lowest odds qualifier. Sturm also easy to rule out as lowest odds qualifier.
On the away lays side it's hard to see myself avoiding Belgium today. Genk was a shock.
