Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
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In any case....this one I have gone over backwards and forwards. There is nothing I can find where I can justifiably say it was a mistake to trade. Yes AS2+ 0% but there are many like this. They still score 90% of the time and Ludogorets score 2+ 70% of the time.
Home and away conceding of 2+ is fairly average and conceding in general mid-high.
So....lay under 1.5:

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More tumbleweeds. No matter how hard you look for potential pitfalls you always seem to miss one. The Swiss majority of losing games are more symptomatic of something which was probably headed that way in the end anyway so not too discouraging.
The Israeli game was a bit of a miss. Only selection with a h2h of 60% over and an an 80+ 2 or more scored for each team. What do I take from that? Two incredibly gifted attacking teams that fight tooth and nail when pitted against each other. Very misleading, quite contrarian. Another similar result in Germany I had ruled out months back on odds had an 80% 2 or more for home and 70% 2 or more for away also with 60% over on h2h.
The good news and what I continue to tell myself is there isn't much more I can do and unlike previous systems I will stop where I am soon enough in terms of tweaks. Odds will probably be a bit fluid for a while.
I'm not going to overcomplicate but by the same token if I see something out of place and potentially damaging I will find it.
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And the away lays:

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Another substandard month on the overs but such fine margins:

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Lay Away:

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Lay Under 1.5:

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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Away:

1/2 here so around 1.5 pts down or for me, about £25-£30.
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Not expecting this one to qualify but Lay Under 1.5 if it does:

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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
This will make more sense:

2-2 in Newcastle.
So it ended 1-3 in Slovakia but the odds didn't get to the 4.5 minimum I set. That said, as can be seen in my post, the minimum odds against so far so good in that league was 3.3 so this just lowers the bar a bit for future selections in Slovakia.
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To my dismay I just realised the link under my profile gave editing privileges which was never the plan. Found this out because I got a notification that Sam Roberts had changed it.
I have checked and so far it appears to be ok but if Sam is reading this could you please tell me what you changed?
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This will make more sense:

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Lay Under 1.5:
I'm going to try and get some measure of control back on these in the sense that I'm not necessarily going to lay just because it falls within odds that have worked previously. May need to be a little more tipped towards how many have and where does it leave my data in the event of a loss.

Hence for this one I still don't have a massive amount of selections from Slovakia even going back to 2024.
I have now listed the so far so good odds brackets, the current odds and the odds I feel comfortable laying this at which won't immediately get me looking to rule those odds out for future.
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Lay Away:

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Lay Under 1.5:

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Another highish odds loss in Portugal puts a massive dampener on Nov.
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Ekstraklasa goes from being one of the main players to nothing but a supporting cast member in one day with half the profit chalked off.
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Lay Away:

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Lay Under 1.5:

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Crap weekend. Lost about £100 on away lays due to Salzburg basically. Then around £150 on the overs which was for a few reasons.