Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Midweek selections. Not used to these. Estonia pops up immediately after the Esiliiga let me down. On the hole these have been ok so I'll follow normal rules and trade if it applies:
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Stupid stupid Estonia. Chastening! It's not a knee jerk decision to rule that crappy league out. It was just a stupid one to trade it in the first place.
Stats are wildly swayed to one side, liquidity is crap and I don't trust the league. Still pondering on the Meistriliiga but so far that's been ok.
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Well after a decent Friday and a disappointing Sunday it took an injury time goal.
Still just about have chance for a winning weekend with one trade Monday.
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Oh Estonian lower league, why did I let you do this to me???
1 selection from that league all year and it's an absolute car crash.
I so can't wait for Winter Leagues to kick in proper. Still seems like only a few in play for me at present with mostly the dregs of summer.
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Ok the odds have come down to 1.35 to lay and it's not started. Avoiding like the plague!!!
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
2/2 last night.
All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.
Just Malaysian game left today.
Looks like the odds are going to be too low for this one. Currently 1.83 to lay.
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2/2 last night.
All Czech games postponed because of dangerous weather.
Just Malaysian game left today.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Peter-Williams all home lays yes
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@Richard-Latimer Is this Lay the home team Richard?
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This looks to be everything for the weekend.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Looking ahead to Friday:
Lay home
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Game should have been 2.56 at most to lay but I got sidetracked trying to help the missus and couldn't get on. Every time I upped my price hoping to get matched the lay price went out again.
In the end I left it until ht then decided to go in with less stake at higher odds as the amount I stood to lose was similar and at least I could make a gain. In the end it was the former and really shouts out to me that I need to be more organised.
In the end, with a portfolio, I plan to get a VPS and BF Bot Manager. Have already been researching but that's a little while off yet.
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And 2-0 so weekend rather as you were. I'll post up specifics in a bit. Took a slightly higher hit than normal from being disorganised but I'll explain that when I post the figures.
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1-1 tonight
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
1-1
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@Richard-Latimer Congrats on finding something during the International break.
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Can now add a 3rd for this weekend!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
The cancelled Uruguayan game has finally been rearranged:
Lay both home teams.
The hope is definitely that home teams in this system are inferior to the away teams but it's also a question of current run etc for both teams. I stopped looking at home teams that hadn't won at home for 2+ games as the results were dreadful. Plentiful and dreadful.
I also stopped looking at any teams where the h2h record isn't the full 10 games that my filters look at. These were very inconsistent.
Hopefully my sheet which is attached explains quite a lot but if you have any other questions please ask.
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It's 16 different filters of conceding, scoring and h2h as explained above.
I follow the data as long as it makes sense and doesn't have me looking down a rabbit hole.
A record that's too good can be just as detrimental as one that's not good enough.
