Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Lay under 0.5 Sotra but odds seem way out of wack so I'm going to leave it unmatched @ 7.6.
And that's what you get when you wait haha!
A win for the data but a blank here.
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Lay under 0.5 Sotra but odds seem way out of wack so I'm going to leave it unmatched @ 7.6.
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I missed the Malaysian game. In the past this would have really messed with my head. Nevermind. Move on.
A mistake of not taking a game is infinitely better than taking one by mistake at these odds.
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Not to be and when I look at the data it's the first loss on a 3-0 scoreline in around 20 or so. Them's the breaks. A quick look at the data and the stop start periods aren't unusual. Neither are massive runs so we'll see.
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Lay under 3.5 MVV @ 6.8
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Tromsdalen 1-0
Same game. Lay under 1.5 @ 5.7
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Tromsdalen 1-0
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First trade is FHG in Tromsdalen. Laid under 0.5 @ 4.8.
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Almost broke even today in the end after disappointment in states overnight.
4/5
Louisville FHG - Win
Louisville SHG - Lose
Sylvia FHG - Win
Sylvia SHG - Win
AFC Wimbledon SHG - Win
Sollentuna SHG - Win -
I'm getting drunk soon so I may well forget this overnight potential:
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FHG Sylvia. Lauren under 0.5 FH @ 5.1 (most @5).
Average amount available to lay between 5.3-5.6 which I would have done.
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No markets in the Norwegian games. Nothing since last night qualified as yet.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
In the process of looking at tomorrows:
Lousiville looks like it's going to be a FHG. Match due to start in half hour.
Laid under 0.5 FH @ 3.95
Stake £1.740-1
Same game. Lay under 1.5 @ 6.4
Stake £1.74 -
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
In the process of looking at tomorrows:
Lousiville looks like it's going to be a FHG. Match due to start in half hour.
Laid under 0.5 FH @ 3.95
Stake £1.740-1
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
In the process of looking at tomorrows:
Lousiville looks like it's going to be a FHG. Match due to start in half hour.
Laid under 0.5 FH @ 3.95
Stake £1.74 -
In the process of looking at tomorrows:
Lousiville looks like it's going to be a FHG. Match due to start in half hour.
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@richard-latimer all good mate, your reply just reaffirms what iv been saying. You have an answer for everything, which is either good for you being so focussed or bad in your tunnel visioned. We both have stubborn personalities which i assume gets us both in trouble in and out of trading at times. Only a good thing when we are right especially with money. So i hope in time you make this work for yourself. You have deposited your way to £139.91 as you have only added £5 since last post. So these are only just in profit. But for the first time a glimmer of hope as its now not in the red. However given the prices you are trading your only a few losses away from entering the red zone. Its the hard part of SHGs if you mess up on data a couple times. I did that last month. Your also having watchlists of +30 games some weekends! I mean how thats manageable long term i dont know, hopefully in time youll eliminate leagues enough so that doesnt become bigger, especially when main leagues pick up. You have been posting about some games in past week or so having almost no liquidity so you can clearly see that some are pointless building data on. Iv said this before but this time i mean it, ill stop pestering you with my opinions or advice. I think this strategy needs time to develop. I think youll get there. I just hope you manage yourself well. That for me isnt something i can know, you are you, i dont know what your lifestyle is or what you want. But all i see is me a few years ago staring at a good strategy with way too many games to manage. This way of trading just creates burnout and makes you not focus on yourself and family/friends. Ill look to keep updated and i hope this works and this month repeats lasts, just keep in mind not just mine but others advice, its been pretty consistent on topics.
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Excuse typos
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@darri it's not that ignoring everything I assure you. Wouldn't be on this new path of not for back and forth of recent.
It's more along the lines of taking some stuff on board but also wanting to find my own way. Most scorelines are very similar actually. Certain ones have differences as this is what I've found works.
0-0, 0-1 and 1-0 for example. I find a blanket approach simply does not work for me on these scorelines.
Don't worry about best performing leagues. It's Bundesliga, Serie A and Netherlands by a country mile!
The lower leagues will do me for 1 or 2 years I reckon. If I see 50-£100 available to trade at a given price. That's fine for a long time.
I suppose in some ways I do like to prove people wrong but also when things are questioned it just makes me want to dig deep into the bowels of things and to be fair I think my responses in this case justify the use of those particular leagues.
I made almost £30 last month aside from deposits so wouldn't say I was completely relying on these. That said, they are helping me build quicker in this early stage. I'm never putting in more than £5 a week either.
I enjoy the constructive criticism so please don't stop. It helps me focus better. My system wouldn't be what it is without it.