Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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It's going to take me a while to get through the update, not the least because I've been looking at the plethora of online dating sites tonight as soon to be ex wife went on first date today and I'm damn sure I don't want to get left behind.
Anyone any experience of bumble haha??
So things are a little better for me financially than they have been. Not in the short short term but moving foward. We've agreed the house has to be sold as for either of us trying to rent with no capital would be an absolute nightmare. So we clear debts and split 50/50 meaning I'll have a decent chunk of change to start over.
Always knew I'd be ok in the long long term but not going to lie the short term was getting a little hairy. This is a weight off my mind for sure.
So the finances are looking up
The trading is looking up
And I've just clicked like instead of swipe on my first which is a big step haha!!Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
4/4 Bank is at a new high. Will detail everything later.
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Todays results in full:
Although I was incredibly confident of another goal in the Fulham match I hadn't realised that this was the first game in 3,500 with 7 FHG. I actually had to add another column. Perhaps if I'd realised I wouldn't have been quite so confident. It's fair to say, I may not jump in again with such limited data but all well today.
Accrington was a definite and Braga added another bit of data to Portugal which is ticking along nicely. Feyeenoord was in outlier territory so wasn't a trade this time. All in all it a decent enough day.
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2/2 today and +£5.70
Bank £248.68 so back in the green for Jan -
Fingers crossed it's finally time to get rolling!
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Nothing to see here......move along
Tomorrow is another day
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@keith-anderson luckily they only stimulate mine haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
Certainly enough for me. Most people say my spreadsheets make their brain hurt or something along those lines haha!
They do!
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Certainly enough for me. Most people say my spreadsheets make their brain hurt or something along those lines haha!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer Now that is an interesting SS Richard.Very helpful for newbies and those who are still learning. I see there are 2 Leagues, NET Eerste, GER Regionalliga Sudwest, and English National League that I don't have.
Is there good liquidity in these markets
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3 potentials:
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Tomorrow equally destitute!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £244.17 (+£8.39 for Dec):
It's the big leagues tomorrow.....Cardiff Met and Barry!
Cancelled.....That's me out tomorrow!
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It's the big leagues tomorrow.....Cardiff Met and Barry!
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Ok, good day again:
Someone said recently how things can be going great and then they can see something and try as they might they can't unsee it. When the genie is out of the bottle etc....
Well there was nothing I could do about yesterday unless I want to throw out every single loss (would make the data highly unreliable and unrealistic) but having looked again it's the 2nd loss @ 2-1 HT scoreline from only 6 selections in the Eerste. This would very much be a losing proposition.
It's not unreasonable to believe these statistics will correct themselves over time but I've benefitted by being cautious many times and when I ignore red flags I usually regret it.
Also, if a poorly performing league can be rescued by excluding certain scorelines then doesn't it stand to reason a league in good profit could potentially be improved using the same logic?!
Long story short, 2-1 in the Eerste is on the back burner until I have data to show it's profitable which in fairness means another 10 without loss.
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No revisions on todays loss. It was prime fodder and simply lost. It's statistics for you. Not bad luck just statisitics:
I took Villarreal when I realised the only 2 losses in Laliga were at 0-0 although going with my updated plan on outliers I may not do so in same circumstances. Home odds of 2.57 were just outside where I would want them to be.
Braga SHG is good for future as now 4 selections strong in Portuguese Top League. But no actual trade as yet. Will post up for Monday in a bit.
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I've been working through my sheet and made the decision to handle outliers in the same way as I'm now looking at leagues. I want 7 clear winning trades at the beginning or end of each stat/criteria. Hopefully this is the right balance between maximising output and protecting the bank against unknown quantities.
