Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

I am going to hit Royal Pari if it stays like this however. LCS 1-0 in that one.

Easy win that one for a change and also good for the data as another win in Italy.

I just have to start seeing the big picture. Standing aside for a few when so many are proven anyway really shouldn't be the end of the world.

And it won't be long before more follow suit and can also be seen as proven.

[Richard Latimer]

I am going to hit Royal Pari if it stays like this however. LCS 1-0 in that one.

[Richard Latimer]

Going to start the way I mean to carry on. As much as I believe there is another goal coming in Napoli, the home odds are quite low. I recently upped the limit to 1.22 but that means I only have a couple of good selections at this price point. If I want to start being more rsik averse then I have to let this one go until it is no longer an outlier.

[Richard Latimer]

Todays potentials. ITA Serie B 100% on the tracking only list but the other 3 should be find situation dependent as always.

[Richard Latimer]

New plan of attack starting today.

Not playing any leagues without at least 10 games of data and only then if all 10 games have been positive.

1 loss and I'll want 15 games before I pursue that league.
2 losses and I'll want 22 games before I pursue it again.
By this stage I would say we are starting to sort the wheat from the chaff and I doubt I'll have to do anything else but in the event of 3 losses I'll have to figure out an entry point to get back in.

[Richard Latimer]

@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer apologies, misunderstood what you meant

No worries. I probably wasn't very clear haha!

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer apologies, misunderstood what you meant

[Richard Latimer]

Had 3 overnighters go my way in the states and this month is in the green by 8 or 9pts if you were to look it at that way.

I should add though that after waking with fresh eyes this morning I was able to immediately look at the one thing I hadn't taken into account in Charlotte. Ave over 0.5 odds for H2 1.07. That was only the 7th qualifier at 1-0 and at 6/7 even if the average odds were only 7.0 (they wouldn't be) it's no better than break even.

For now I'll increase the minimum odds on this scoreline. The other thing to note is that from the 1.07 odds I did have all the previous winners were in leagues I would have to drop in a year or 2 anyway.

[Richard Latimer]

@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer instead of upping your limit for certain leagues which doesn’t sound a good idea in terms of a staking plan, just ditch the leagues your thinking of doing this for.

Quality over quantity

Don't mean in terms of staking at all. I meant number of matches and data I have.

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer instead of upping your limit for certain leagues which doesn’t sound a good idea in terms of a staking plan, just ditch the leagues your thinking of doing this for.

Quality over quantity

[Richard Latimer]

Poor day. Regionalliga Nordost on the back benches for a bit and I may need tom up my limit for getting involved in certain leagues. That said, I'll up it and just be hit by the beginning stages of a league failing rather than the end. It's frustrating but this will settle down over time. For now I have to roll with the punches and realise that while profit can and will be made......it will not be as much as hoped and will only improve over time.

The way things are I would take Charlotte again. The league is good and the match stats were good.

Overnighters:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

2-1

Forgot to update but that was 2/2 yesterday and +£4.36

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

2-1

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

LCS Real Potosi 1-1

[Richard Latimer]

Already given the exact p/l so this is just a record of what was and what would be going forward.

The loss in Serbia @ 1-3 Backa Topola vs Partizan was an outlier in as much as most of these don't have such heavy home odds. It's kind of not the thing. In almost 1yr of tracking there were 5 selections including Sundays that were that high and of course it's now 4/5.

At these odds small mistakes can set you back further so for now I take those high home odds out of the firing line on the BOR HT scoreline.

The 2 games in Regionalliga North are there for results purposes only as not enough data. Same with Croatia 1.

This gives actual traded games as 19/22

Without Serbia 19/21

I've just learnt tonight that Willie Saliba saved an almost certain goal from Mbappe with a last ditch challenge. Bittersweet that one haha!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS 0-1 Stuttgart II @ 4.5

1-1

[Richard Latimer]

LCS 0-1 Stuttgart II @ 4.5

[Richard Latimer]

Too busy trying to update my records so unless anything qualifies I won't be posting in advance today. This is a mammoth task every weekend at present. Be fine if I didn't have to work haha!

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing until gone 6 tomorrow so will post when home from work and dog walked haha. That bit is the most important or he'll shout at me!