Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

@lee-woodman said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

You mentioned 1-0 score line…..1-0 and 0-1 at HT are both poor scores from me on most filters

That's the thing. For me they're not. I used to have exactly the same problem. Have you tried looking at home odds. When the fave is no moree than say 1.7 on betfair I'm around 96%!

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You mentioned 1-0 score line…..1-0 and 0-1 at HT are both poor scores from me on most filters

Richard Latimer

Bank £264.32 by the way

Richard Latimer

Just ouch.....1pt up on Feb. Gotta laugh. Bank at £264.32. Not had a losing month since Sept and don't intend on this one being either. Onwards.

Richard Latimer

Ok, crushingly different!

This almost never happpens anymore!

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Gaziantep an outlier on the home score average
Feyenoord an outlier on low home odds
Rennes an outlier on the H2 home score average
Utrecht an outlier on the high home odds

Hungary 2 not enough data

The one good trade hitting the sweet spot. Betis. I should also not that laliga wouldn't be a profitable league with 0-0 so there is a lot of precedence for my thinking and there are more and more leagues where tracking has begun without various scorelines. It's all detailed on the sheet where certain leagues appear more than once and are highlighted to show this.

Richard Latimer

Oh yeah, was 1/3 today......uuuurggghhhh!

Richard Latimer

Glad that weekend is out of the way. Almost completed the update. Slavia & Anderlech losses won't appear on report from what I would do going forward as the loss in Czech needed some serious looking at (Czech league had gone from decent to barely pulling its weight. 1-0 has shown to be a poor scoreline ther. I honestly believe certain scorelines in certain countries won't be as good as others.

For my 1-0 I look at strong home teams and perhaps it's just an issue of how certain countries tend to see things at 1-0 over others. Some will pull up trees to get the 2nd and some will take it if it comes. 3 results in Czech of 1-0 and 2 of them now losses. I'm not interested in the disallowed goals. They happen and most of the time a team still has enough to get another and potentially another.

Anderlecht is similar all be it harder and more painful to remove. I'm not looking at it as removing. Belgium still in good profit even with that loss but it's 2 quick succession losses in the 2-0 which brings the Jupiler to 80% from 10 selections on that scoreline. Viewing this one as more taking it out of the firing line to see if it recovers.

Loads of outliers today (it's been the weekend for them with 7 in total all winning) as well as a couple of leagues not quite ready.

These are the positives.

Negatively, this weekend stole much of Feb profit. Working out the damage now.

Richard Latimer

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Richard Latimer

@martin said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.

Most of the strategies I am testing took a beating yesterday! Wonder if the storm had an impact? Weird one

Quite possibly. I've no idea what the conditions were like in Slough. To be fair as far as I could make out, Sampdoria just didn't turn up for the 2nd half.

Martin

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):

Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.

Most of the strategies I am testing took a beating yesterday! Wonder if the storm had an impact? Weird one

Richard Latimer

Massive day tomorrow with loads of potential. Could get it all back and more. Will post in the morning.

Richard Latimer

Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.

Richard Latimer

Today went 4/6 and I'm just working out the loss but here is the full report so to speak for leagues and stats just out of reach currently to be happy placing money down:

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First off Costa Rica showing it could be an ok league.
Then Bremen with 1 outlieing stat took that stat a little closer to being ok
Stockport in the National league has pushed that league back into contention after a small blip

7/9 would have looked a bit better but still a losing day. Feb been profitable but a little substandard in comparison to last years data.