Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Gonna give the Red Bulls one a miss @ 1-0. Not entirely comfortable with the H2 home scoring average as low as 0.7 at present.
Well Red Bulls would have been a winner but no regrets playing it safe for now.
1/1 in Portland but I slept through so both games only good for the data. Nothing else today.
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Gonna give the Red Bulls one a miss @ 1-0. Not entirely comfortable with the H2 home scoring average as low as 0.7 at present.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Love the States for these but the times are all so annoying. I may get DC if it qualifies and the rest will depend if I have to get up for a pee in the middle of the night. Entirely possible with my old man bladder haha!!
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4/4 +£8.72
Bank back @ £171.32
Won't be adding anything this week unless it takes me over the previous bank high of £197.00
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Ignore Chile
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Only one potential later today and that's in Bolivia @ 22:15
That one's not a qualifier.
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Only one potential later today and that's in Bolivia @ 22:15
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Nothing until tomorrow eve so will post tomorrow
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That was all for tonight but a much needed green day haha
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Overnighter was good with LA Galaxy 2 not letting me down. Here's the rest:
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@stuart-capstick no, I get it, I'm going to be very careful, it's just quite a large chunk of an otherwise very decent league. Decent odds, liquidity and overall one of the major leagues.
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@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
Nice end at least minimising the damage but I'm not going to pretend it's been good. That said, my thinking on scorelines may hold something. France Ligue 1 has basically been excluded on the basis of 1-1 @ HT!!
4 losses and only 1 win so clearly when it's 1-1 in France it's time to stay away. Alternatively when you remove 1-1 there's barely a better league!!
So, a sample size of 5.....
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The same can be said of Germany Regionalliga Sudwest where it's the 1-0 score which has been hammered and nothing else.
And of course the league that started all this off. Eliteserien seems to be problematic with both 0-1 and 1-1. We'll see but I like this idea better than benching one of the top summer leagues.
Anyway, off to bed now after watching Patriots lose in OT (yes!!!!)
One potential overnighter in USA and that's LA Galaxy 2. Has been a great league but for 2 recent results. I'm sure it will go back to being great.
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Nice end at least minimising the damage but I'm not going to pretend it's been good. That said, my thinking on scorelines may hold something. France Ligue 1 has basically been excluded on the basis of 1-1 @ HT!!
4 losses and only 1 win so clearly when it's 1-1 in France it's time to stay away. Alternatively when you remove 1-1 there's barely a better league!!
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@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer Interesting I think its more that different strategies have an impact on different scorelines.
For example, you say 1-1 is a bad scoreline for you in Norway but for me thats a trade won and closed.
In all fairness your sheets are already incredibly complicated without adding to the complexity further
Of course, if you're looking at over 1.5. it's just recently I've seen a few issues with the 1-0, 1-1 and 0-1. When I started this I was pretty adamant that I didn't want to just exclude, exclude, exclude in terms of leagues. If I have to get rid of a few of the poorer ones so be it but Norway Eliteserien provides a good number of selections and this one dropping out wasn't in the plan so to speak.
I'm definitely going to look into it when I've finished my beer and stopped watching my QB and his receivers stink it up!
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@richard-latimer Interesting I think its more that different strategies have an impact on different scorelines.
For example, you say 1-1 is a bad scoreline for you in Norway but for me thats a trade won and closed.
In all fairness your sheets are already incredibly complicated without adding to the complexity further
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All of this difference in what we are seeing from some leagues has got me thinking that maybe there might be something in looking at specific scorelines letting certain leagues down.
Maybe there is a, let's call it culture, in some leagues that they've done enough and need do no more in certain scenarios. This is just one example as I think it's worth looking into. Before today the 1-1 draw was the worst scoreline for Eliteserien. Not even looked at Rosenberg yet.
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@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer I have a different view on this league its a massive earner for me, today was a one off I agree but of the 83 games on a filter I have, 85% have had over 1.5 goals. Not all get matched but I'll take that all day
Different data, different stories. I have less than 85% SHG from the half which of course only lessens if you were to do it from 60.
Going to leave Rosenberg 2nd half.
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@chris-osborne said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:
@chris-osborne hmmm.......did nothing come up on the radar today? Brann and Haugesund were the only games with goals.
Bode and Rosenborg also had goals
Would most likely have been on Rosenberg but for the loss sending that league into the red. Oh well.
