Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

LCS BFC Dynamo and Antalyaspor

Will I ever learn. Well yes in time. Just so annoying it has to be this way.

There is almost always a reason to avoid big numbers as much as there is to avoid small ones. There aren't many of the big numbers, they aree outliers and a return to the mean is due at any point. 1/2 with a fairly quick goal in Turkey and then a Turkey in Germany.

[Richard Latimer]

LCS BFC Dynamo and Antalyaspor

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing happening tomorrow until around 5pm so I'll post before then.

[Richard Latimer]

I forgot a critical part of what I'm doing right now which not everybody may agree with but there's my regular investment of £5.00 to go onto the bank making it £139.09

[Richard Latimer]

Now the hard part

P/L for Sept -£45.96

I knew this was going to be bad but like I've repeated many times over I have confidence in rebounding quickly. Some of this loss was my own fault for relying on untested leagues, some of it was the FHG I've put on pause and some of it was just plain bad results.

I'm not interested in sugar coating anything. It does me no good that's for sure. Whatever happens will be documented here.

[Richard Latimer]

As promised:

4/4 but 3/3 for me as got to sleep some time right.

+£3.55

Bank £134.09

Stakes for tomorrow will be...

3.55-7.4 = £1.50
7.6-11.0 = £1.11

[Richard Latimer]

Well update the actual results and figures later.

[Richard Latimer]

Sept is over. It ended better than it started but ultimately b there was too much to do and the loss outweighed last month's gain.

I'm not worried. I made changes, cut some leagues, I paused the FHG and I reduced stakes when the ratchet was hit in order to protect the bank. All while remaining consistent on my one filter and continuing to track everything regardless.

I wouldn't have done any of this in the past. I know I now have the discipline to move forwards and anticipate a big month.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin thanks but this is really quite easy. I put my current bank into my staking calculator and it works it out for me. Same as telling me when I've lost 35% and need to reset the ratchet.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer said in The £59.91 - Betfair Premium Charge Challenge:

2/2 +£2.86

Bank reaches new amount but by pennies so stakes stay as they were.

good self control there!

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

2/2 +£2.86

Bank reaches new amount but by pennies so stakes stay as they were.

[Richard Latimer]

@martin I know it will work but there will inevitably be leagues that fall short and until I get better numbers for each league I'm just going to keep on removing the first league to suffer a loss. It's not viable while the majority of leagues have only a few selections.

Plus it's also holding me back from seeing what the SHG can do at the moment and that's the one I need to explode quickly.

[Martin]

@richard-latimer I've just started up the FHG again

[Richard Latimer]

I've noticed something of recent. The FHG have been letting me down too frequently. There's definitely something very good there but the data is taking time to come in. Going to go back to tracking those and put all my eggs in the SHG market for now as that's the bigger basket.

[Richard Latimer]

Wed

Morocco is tracking only

[Richard Latimer]

Small loss

1/2 FHG

6/7 SHG

-£2.69

[Richard Latimer]

[Richard Latimer]

Monday:

FHG

Missed Costa Rica on purpose as no data and missed the Norwegian one by accident but as you can see 2/2 there.

SHG

Same again on Costa Rica as no data. Norwegian game I missed the FHG came up trumps 2nd half.

+£1.41

Bank £130.37
Revised stake for tomorrow as follows...

3.55-7.4 = £1.46
7.6-11.0 = £1.08

[Richard Latimer]

Finally finished again. The trading is automatic and seemless when prepared. The updating is ok for a bit then becomes a real grind haha!!

Sunday

FHG

Missed Suduva. Genk thankfully came through with what was the last trade of the day. First chalked off with VAR, then missed a pen. Ended up scoring 2 in the last 5 mins of the first half.

SHG

Suduva again wasn't on the list I posted as they are sort of on the edge of do I or don't I. Right now I don't.

First trade lost in New England after 2 goals ruled out and a missed pen. Wasn't meant to be that one. Only other loser Hacken on 1-1.

+£10.11

Bank £128.96
Stakes revised in accordance with percentages

3-55-7.4 = £1.44
7.6-11.0 = £1.07