Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Nothing until tomorrow evening so I'm going to leave the rest of my updates until tomorrow.
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Well it's just as well I followed caution and removed the 2-0 in Belgium as today saw yet another loser. That league as a whole has come down from big profits to around 7pts up on 6 selections. Without the 2-0 scoreline it's on around 16pts which has still taken a big hit but is definitely still viable.
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
@richard-latimer I think something os going on in the Low Countries at the minute, both Belgium and Netherlands aren't performing as they usually do
Just hope it doesn't continue
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@richard-latimer I think something os going on in the Low Countries at the minute, both Belgium and Netherlands aren't performing as they usually do
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It is worth noting that as poor as it has been for me the last couple of weeks the data on my sheet still holds out at 89% for Feb and 19pts profit. That it hasn't been that for me is down to not taking the outliers, one mistake by not actually getting it and an ill fated over 1.5 in Hungary.
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Not quite as big as today but keeping the positive vibe going there is more than enough to make up for today and take a small green into March. Just need to actually get a day without hiccups for the first time in a little while:
I'm going to try and set up a 2nd date tomorrow so I could really do with this going a bit better. Positive all round not the yin and f*****g yang of good news bad news haha!
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Loads more potential to deestroy the bank tomorrow
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Usually I have thrilling tales of all the trades not taken. Today not so much. Again this is good in the sense that things are solidifying. What's not so good is todays results!
5/7 and that was the actuality today. Loss of around £14.00. Not quite hit the ratchet reset but need things to improve sharpish!
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If anyone has seen the football thread today they will know that this weekend is going pretty much the same way as the last one. 2 losses in Belgium today. I've dug down deep into the data and can't a single thing to put me off those trades, which is good I guess!
But Belgium in general has fallen through a hole last couple of weeks!
Gone from being almost 30pts up to half of that. It's still a profitable league but if it carries on like this it's getting dropped!
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The data is sub par compared to most months but would still show a profit I assure you. It's just a question that I haven't felt confident on quite a few trades as I like to call them outliers.
Also, occasionally things are thrown up as potential banana skins to watch out for in the future.
I've not been able to put many losses down to anything and would trade them again 100% based on the overall data I have.
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@richard-latimer Ok fair enough and apologies
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
@richard-latimer This is where I have a problem with your strategy 6 losses out of 64 trades and your making a loss most of us would be looking at significant profits at that strile rate.
Noooooo......you misunderstand. I 'm a) not making a loss and b) have had more losses myself. I'm simply referring to my data.
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@richard-latimer This is where I have a problem with your strategy 6 losses out of 64 trades and your making a loss most of us would be looking at significant profits at that strile rate.
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Another reason to be cheerful as long as it doesn't signal a general decline is that February appears to be quite the worst month this system has ever suffered going on current data and yet there is still a good chance to make it a profitable month.
From 64 potential trades there have been 6 losses.
Only comparable months are Sept (a big loss for me personally so this is huge improvement) that had 7 losses from 120 trades
November with 7 losses from 110 trades.So for Feb we are talking almost as many losses and only just over half as many trades.
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@dan-mackinnon said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
@richard-latimer I’m with Bulb too and it’s basically doubled.
I also wouldn’t listen to Martin Lewis. His money “advice” assumes you put no value to your own time. Does my head in with some of the nonsense he comes out with
In fairness that website has helped me out on a few occasions and I think he's a decent bloke. Got away without paying a PCN from those robbing bastards just by following guidance.
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@richard-latimer I’m with Bulb too and it’s basically doubled.
I also wouldn’t listen to Martin Lewis. His money “advice” assumes you put no value to your own time. Does my head in with some of the nonsense he comes out with
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Bumper day tomorrow. 23 potential trades and I have to believe it would be highly unusual not get at least 6 or 7 of them qualify, maybe 8+
A good day could set the tone of the weekend nicely and follow on to an important March.
I can't yet command the profit I need longterm with these as too many things are chaing recently. That said I should be able to do better than this month has allowed:
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If anyone wonders how I can keep such unwavering (I'll admit it wavers from time to time, more on a time basis seeing as mine is short haha) confidence in what I'm doing it's because the list of trades I can't yet take continue to come in and to an extent the likeliness of taking such trades in the future grows.
Poland - I had until recently put the league into the sin bin so to speak but a recent result taking 0-0's into a poor position and the rest in to a good one brought the league back to my recognition. Another win today means I'm ready for now to start trading it next time out.
Regionalliga Bayern doesnn't have quit enough data yet but the data continues to collect in good ways.
Schaffhausen - Home odds too close to a mid range I don't do. I go for 7 winning trades either side 2.59 as this was is only around halfway there.
Liefering I just plain missed! My loss today £11.07.
Slight red for Feb but a good day tomorrow can rectify that.
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Another day another arse. I must stay positive, odds were low and with a good weekend I can still finish feb in around 9-10pts profit.
First mistake in a long time today entirely avoidable and not a loss. Too busy clinging to the hope of a goal in Xamax and missed another winning trade.
0/1 BOOOOOO!!!!!!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
@matt-wood I just got a text today and the increases are astronomical! Was all fixed term. Bulb being run by the gov at present may not help as the original company went under.
Fingers crossed I don't get one of those then! Just read my policy and terms and from what I can make out I should be ok. Will wait for April though and see what happens.
