Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Couple of potentials for today:
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Ready to get back to it after yesterday's set back and that's all it is, another set back. I'll post up today's in a bit.
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Certain leagues though are poor on it Czech being one of them.
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@lee-woodman said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
You mentioned 1-0 score line…..1-0 and 0-1 at HT are both poor scores from me on most filters
That's the thing. For me they're not. I used to have exactly the same problem. Have you tried looking at home odds. When the fave is no moree than say 1.7 on betfair I'm around 96%!
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You mentioned 1-0 score line…..1-0 and 0-1 at HT are both poor scores from me on most filters
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Bank £264.32 by the way
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Just ouch.....1pt up on Feb. Gotta laugh. Bank at £264.32. Not had a losing month since Sept and don't intend on this one being either. Onwards.
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Ok, crushingly different!
This almost never happpens anymore!
Gaziantep an outlier on the home score average
Feyenoord an outlier on low home odds
Rennes an outlier on the H2 home score average
Utrecht an outlier on the high home oddsHungary 2 not enough data
The one good trade hitting the sweet spot. Betis. I should also not that laliga wouldn't be a profitable league with 0-0 so there is a lot of precedence for my thinking and there are more and more leagues where tracking has begun without various scorelines. It's all detailed on the sheet where certain leagues appear more than once and are highlighted to show this.
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Oh yeah, was 1/3 today......uuuurggghhhh!
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Glad that weekend is out of the way. Almost completed the update. Slavia & Anderlech losses won't appear on report from what I would do going forward as the loss in Czech needed some serious looking at (Czech league had gone from decent to barely pulling its weight. 1-0 has shown to be a poor scoreline ther. I honestly believe certain scorelines in certain countries won't be as good as others.
For my 1-0 I look at strong home teams and perhaps it's just an issue of how certain countries tend to see things at 1-0 over others. Some will pull up trees to get the 2nd and some will take it if it comes. 3 results in Czech of 1-0 and 2 of them now losses. I'm not interested in the disallowed goals. They happen and most of the time a team still has enough to get another and potentially another.
Anderlecht is similar all be it harder and more painful to remove. I'm not looking at it as removing. Belgium still in good profit even with that loss but it's 2 quick succession losses in the 2-0 which brings the Jupiler to 80% from 10 selections on that scoreline. Viewing this one as more taking it out of the firing line to see if it recovers.
Loads of outliers today (it's been the weekend for them with 7 in total all winning) as well as a couple of leagues not quite ready.
These are the positives.
Negatively, this weekend stole much of Feb profit. Working out the damage now.
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@martin said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.
Most of the strategies I am testing took a beating yesterday! Wonder if the storm had an impact? Weird one
Quite possibly. I've no idea what the conditions were like in Slough. To be fair as far as I could make out, Sampdoria just didn't turn up for the 2nd half.
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £260.74 (+£16.57 for Jan):
Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.
Most of the strategies I am testing took a beating yesterday! Wonder if the storm had an impact? Weird one
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Massive day tomorrow with loads of potential. Could get it all back and more. Will post in the morning.
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Was -£17.07 today but it's been a while since I took a hit so it's ok.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Today went 4/6 and I'm just working out the loss but here is the full report so to speak for leagues and stats just out of reach currently to be happy placing money down:
First off Costa Rica showing it could be an ok league.
Then Bremen with 1 outlieing stat took that stat a little closer to being ok
Stockport in the National league has pushed that league back into contention after a small blip7/9 would have looked a bit better but still a losing day. Feb been profitable but a little substandard in comparison to last years data.
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Just the one today after a few games called off. New bank high once more means stakes rise by 4p tomorrow:
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Oh.......notification. Gent postponed. Wonder if it's Covid or Storm related. Do they have a storm in Belgium??? I'm bored haha!
