Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Been going through my overs spreadsheet started in April 24 and took the step of looking past the odds and just at the filters (some generalised odds criteria in there but nothing league specific.
Taking out losing leagues or break even leagues with lower s/r than 80% gives an overall of 89.50% and 375 points in 1.5 years. Only one losing month and a a couple that profited but failed to excite. Other than it's good.
Now I'm getting a good dataset and most leagues that are in profit SHOULD stay that way (looking at you MLS) I think it may be the safest bet. At least until I have enough league specific info re the odds so that one or 2 bad results doesn't have me re-shuffling the deck.
This weekend for example would have been around +10pts instead of minus a s**t load!!!
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I'll post my update at some stage but overs were my -£527.00 in Sept and have already lost £234.00 in Oct. Something has to give here.
On the upside Lay Aways made £282.00 last month and have made around £90 so far in Oct.
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I don't know what's in the water at the moment but over 1.5's are falling apart.
Goal in Iceland. But for some very late goals today though it would be bad.
Perhaps I just look at this as really streamlining where I was at last year and sorting the wheat from the chaff. Greece so almost gave me a winner. As is that league has hit the red.
Estonia once flying but after today the max odds are to be less.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
I'm a bit all over the place. Max price Sevilla over 7.4
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Away:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Under 1.5:
More to come
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Lay Away:
More to follow in a bit
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I hope this doesn't happen across too many more leagues but MLS has fallen off a cliff this year. It is still profitable on the higher odds of 6.8+ but currently anything lower seems far too unstable. This is the equivalent of the difficult second season where you see where things are long term.
And it's -12.28 6.6 - 5.5 (even worse below that)
Only 3 selections above that this season but all winners.
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Lay Away:
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Lay Under 1.5:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Away:
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Lay Under 1.5:
Long way to go on these before I get back to where I was.
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Lay Away:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Away:
3.4-6.8
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Lay Under 1.5:
5.0-6.0
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Thankfully the away lays are looking good so far again in Sept.
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Abysmal results on overs this weekend but as normal I'm looking through it and mostly cutting odds on some leagues which perform very well at lower odds but potentially look crap at higher odds.
Today was the turn of Israel. At least in the end the potential losses will be lower for all but Iceland and Netherlands at this rate!
