Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
-
Couldn't resist!
Essentially it's what I've been doing over on the facebook page so if you've been following you'll know the deal by now.
There's official and monitored and the whole damn thing is fluid right now although I'm getting closer to what I feel will be the final product.
In any case it's all detailed on the attached sheet:
Will update for tomorrow asap
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Tomorrow's home lays:
In truth the odds for West Ham are likely to price it out and thats just fine as liquidity probably won't be great and no real data for this league as yet.
As I thought there was no decision to make on the Women's game so just a big comeback in Kuwait to keep that league at 100% from 10 trades. Edging closer to break even after an awful start:
-
Thailand just threw out another loss, this time on the overs. Details on the sheet but that league went from being 5 win, 0 losses on overs to a nasty loss which took it to break even.
This morning another loss took it into the red.
All details on the sheet if anyone wants to look further.
-
@Martin said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
@Richard-Latimer how have you found women's football? I have found it quite unreliable to add into filters so far, tend to leave it out now.
@Martin yep. Unreliable with poor liquidity and volume.
I do think as the game gets more popular that could change though which is why I'm definitely tracking these.
-
@Richard-Latimer how have you found women's football? I have found it quite unreliable to add into filters so far, tend to leave it out now.
-
Lay Under 1.5:
1 caveat...
Swiss trade cannot be above 6.6 to lay and no trade can be 3.1 or less.
-
Tomorrow's home lays:
In truth the odds for West Ham are likely to price it out and thats just fine as liquidity probably won't be great and no real data for this league as yet.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Home lays:
Over 1.5:
-
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
These are tomorrows home lays - Netherlands Eerste is on the fringes though so won't be trading that:
No market in Glentoran which was abandoned anyway.
PSG won 1-2 against Lens and right now Barca in a strong position against Getafe so I wouldn't expect them to lose that.Looking like a good day all round.
-
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Ger 3. Liga doesn't have enough data yet. Switzerland must be max price of 6.6
And of course GER Bundesliga must be max 6.8. Which from looking briefly this morning is never going to happen.
German 3. Liga game won to give me more data (4-0)
Neither Bayern or Servette qualified.
4/4 on the others -
Netherlands Eerste was also on the fringes. Won't be for a while. 5-0 loss at odds around 2.3.
Maastricht.
It's all on my sheet if anyone is interested.
-
Brilliant to see. I make the decision to drop Thailand after a first loss rather than looking too hard at the filters themselves. A 2nd loss, same home team, at odds around 5.0.
-
@Akiva-Anderson they don't seem to be keen on NI this season.
-
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
No Northern Ireland games on betfair again today it seems.
Crazy, isn’t it?
-
No Northern Ireland games on betfair again today it seems.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Lay Under 1.5:
Ger 3. Liga doesn't have enough data yet. Switzerland must be max price of 6.6
And of course GER Bundesliga must be max 6.8. Which from looking briefly this morning is never going to happen.
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
These are tomorrows home lays - Netherlands Eerste is on the fringes though so won't be trading that:
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Just updating everything at the moment but while I do that the high odds loss in UAE has been bothering me. Not because it was a mistake. It wasn't.
However going through the selections now it appears that since Feb (so almost an entire year) I have 4 selections from the UAE in the high price bracket. One of those has now lost so for the whole year....red.
I'm not exactly sure where this ends. Maybe the sizeable enough profit from high odds games disappears one by one or maybe it just weeds out some leagues at higher odds over time. Either way, I can't really see any massive cons to excluding high odds in UAE from here on so that's what I'm doing.
-
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5 (German game must be max 6.6 lay price 5 mins before kick off as per oddsportal).
EDIT: Max 6.8....last time I looked it was just about a qualifier.
2/2
-
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Home lay if the price climbs past 1.9
1-3 so a win. I laid @ 2.06 having just missed kick off.
