Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Right, onto today and looking for a good end to what has been a patchy and disturbed month. Lay under 1.5 on the following:
Neither Maritimo or Benfica appear to have anything to play for anymore but they do have 3 games left. What I found with the SHG is that it didn't really become a problem until the last game of the season when teams enter a 2nd half knowing it's the last 45mins they have to play before they can chill for a few weeks/month.
I'm not sure teams go on holiday in their mind until that point. Still training, matchday prep etc....Not trying to predict who will win and if the defence doesn't turn up all the better. Sometimes the last few games can be more open as teams don't really care about keeping it tight and just want to put on a spectacle for their fans.
Benfica screw up a perfect day so far. Another thing that concerned but I have to let it play out initially. High scoring away average on that game and only 2nd time so now 50% there. These things really do matter in my opinion. Good thing is with less variables it will take way less time for this data to settle.
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hI Rich i was wondering what criteria do you use for your selections mate.
Is it from one of the BTC filter software?I do like the 1.5 myself but i have found recently for some reason games are taking a lot longer to get matched than what they did a month or so ago which means lots of missed opportunites for my way of trading this market
by the way even going in from KO your strike rate on your spreadsheet is amazing.
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Right, onto today and looking for a good end to what has been a patchy and disturbed month. Lay under 1.5 on the following:
Neither Maritimo or Benfica appear to have anything to play for anymore but they do have 3 games left. What I found with the SHG is that it didn't really become a problem until the last game of the season when teams enter a 2nd half knowing it's the last 45mins they have to play before they can chill for a few weeks/month.
I'm not sure teams go on holiday in their mind until that point. Still training, matchday prep etc....Not trying to predict who will win and if the defence doesn't turn up all the better. Sometimes the last few games can be more open as teams don't really care about keeping it tight and just want to put on a spectacle for their fans.
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
3/3 tonight
I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.
I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!
Why not trial it for the summer leagues and see what happens - work/life balance is far more important might be easier to scale up also.
I'm with you on weekend data and you collate more leagues than me its a nightmare at times
Yeah, I'm thinking that I may have a break collecting all the data I do and conceentrate solely on the over 1.5. It means gaps if I do have to come back to it. I'm not sure. Really not sure haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
3/3 tonight
I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.
I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!
Why not trial it for the summer leagues and see what happens - work/life balance is far more important might be easier to scale up also.
I'm with you on weekend data and you collate more leagues than me its a nightmare at times
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
3/3 tonight
I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.
I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!
I've been doing it now for about 2.5 years. They are superb
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3/3 tonight
I'm at the stage now where the over 1.5 has taken over entirely from the SHG. It's been quick but initial results are so good, the logic fits and it's so much less time consuming collecting the data.
I really don't want to stop collecting the SHG data after a whole year but weekends take hours to update. Bit of a quandary here!!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Will Lay under 1.5 in the following:
Ends 2-0
Will lay under 1.5 in the following (excepting Auerbach as currently no market):
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Will Lay under 1.5 in the following:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
After the feast comes famine. Nothing tomorrow!
More famine on its way.....
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After the feast comes famine. Nothing tomorrow!
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@richard-latimer oops my bad. Well done anyway
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@keith said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer nice full house yesterday mate
Not quite but thanks anyway
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@richard-latimer nice full house yesterday mate
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Lay under 1.5 on all of these:
Sabah not on Betfair. 8/9 on the rest
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Todays still going:
Will lay under 1.5 on these:
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Lay under 1.5 on all of these:
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Such amazingly positive results on the over 1.5 that fit the logic of everything I've learned over the last year on the 2nd half goal (odds withstanding) that I'm going to concentrate on that tomorrow and see where it leads me. Will have more time to do other stuff, no missed trades etc....etc....
Will continue to track the SHG but no rush to update presently!
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Going to be harder and harder to resist my over 1.5 soon. 11 wins, 1 loss today so far. 49 trades in all over 7 days.
92% s/r
Ave lay odds 5.45Nice 1 I'm in a similar position with something I've put together in the last month, bit hesitant with the changeover to summer leagues but know what you mean
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Also, nothing qualifying on 2nd half goal yet!