Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Currently dissecting what the hell went on with the overs yesterday. I expected a bumpy ride on the away lays but the overs should be almost complete after pretty much a years tracking.
I've mentioned odds for some leagues prior but what I've been reluctant to do is cut off both top and bottom. In Germany it looks necessary. Some staggeringly high odds that can't be trusted but also....when the odds seem lowish in Germany. Red flag. Defcon 5, avoid that sucker with a barg pole.
The sweet spot is something we talk about plenty in betting. To me it looks like that sweet spot is between 5.9 and 8.4 where not a single loss has been registered in the Bundesliga using my refined data since tracking began last April.
That said, I don't want to cut it off that drastically.....YET. Between 4.9 and 8.4 stops a lot of the blood letting and yesterday it felt like I was metophorically bleeding out in this god damn league!! The league itself cannot simply be ignored for overs as it provides so many selections. It just has to be approached with extreme caution.
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Lay Away:
Caveats:
No odds under 2.7 and no odds above 11.0
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I'm out tonight so posting all of these now. Lay Under 1.5:
Prices
GER 3.15 - 8.4
FRA (Sat) 4.1 - 7.4
SWI 3.15 - 6.6
SER 3.15 - 7.4
MEX 4.0 - 11.0
NET 3.15 - 11.0
DEN 3.15 - 7.4
AUS 3.15 - 7.4
FRA (Sun) 4.1 - 11.0
TUR 3.15 - 7.4
ROM 3.15 - 11.0
ISR 3.15 - 11.0 -
@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Away:
Price
DEN, URU 2.7-11.00
MEX 5.0-11.001/2 here and another priced out. Full updates to follow.
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
Lay Under 1.5:
Prices
NET 3.15-7.0
FRA 4.1-11.02/2 here
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Lay Away:
Price
DEN, URU 2.7-11.00
MEX 5.0-11.00 -
Lay Under 1.5:
Prices
NET 3.15-7.0
FRA 4.1-11.0 -
Update including Mon/Tue games as promised:
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
For tomorrow on the away lays (DOLOFFS):
0-0
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@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:
These 2 away lays for tomorrow:
Price likely too high on Verona lay.
Just the Turkey game which ended 1-0. I'll post update later.
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For tomorrow on the away lays (DOLOFFS):
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@Martin I think Alastair may be leading if he was laying.
I don't even have any raw data until Wed so chance to catch
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@Richard-Latimer you are smashing us in the comp!
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Full update coming but all 3 in the bag today
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
These 2 away lays for tomorrow:
Price likely too high on Verona lay.
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I'll say it again. Bloody Scots!!
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A nice solid start to the overs on day one of the month:
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In terms of the overs it's a very quiet one. Allow me to post update from yesterday and do some other necessary stuff on my sheet:
Max 6.6, Min 3.15
Away lays a bit busier but not much:
Odds on Laliga game make that one highly unlikely. Turkey also.
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Overs went very well, with the only negative a 0-1 in Switzerland.
As predicted the away lays took a first public day loss due to Scotland. Damn jocks haha!
81/5406