Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

[Richard Latimer]

Nothing for tomorrow as it goes

[Richard Latimer]

Just realised I'd put £800.....this is a combined bank for me and the person I'm trading for. Mine was £400 this morning and a little bit higher today! £413.17.

Think I'll start my challenge again from tomorrow. New month, fresh start and absolutely no time for dicking around anymore!!

If anyone sees me dicking around please shout STOP DICKING AROUND FFS!!!

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Fresh start. I've taken my bank back up to £800 with a £65.00 deposit and despite not having lost 35% I've reset stakes:

I may restart the challenge as well as it's getting a bit messy. I'd begun to give it all back anyway so it's no biggie! Lay under 1.5:

3/3 and a quick look at my extended list would have had another shitty day. Talk about engineering some bumps out of a flat road ffs!!!

[Richard Latimer]

Stopped the rot and off to bed in a minute.

Having realised the folly of trying to get more out of the over 1.5 system I currently have it's time to see if I can make something from the under 3.5 market.

I won't be going live on it until I have plenty of data and there isn't even the slightest tweaking of data needed on the over 1.5 but no harm in tracking starting immediately.

[Richard Latimer]

@John-Folan I was looking for the last bit of advice where you told me not to f**k it up

At least I recognised that's exactly what I was doing before it was too late!

[Richard Latimer]

Fresh start. I've taken my bank back up to £800 with a £65.00 deposit and despite not having lost 35% I've reset stakes:

I may restart the challenge as well as it's getting a bit messy. I'd begun to give it all back anyway so it's no biggie! Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

Right, done.......this is certainly not a knee jerk reaction. Would have been earlier in the month although oddly it's one I would have benefitted from.

I'll open it out gradually should results dictate but never again with such reckless abandon!!

[Richard Latimer]

I have tried to open it out to include matches under 3 goals average and last month it worked spectacularly. This month it has just been one long burn!! For a total of 26 trades I've amassed nothing from these.

I'll keep tracking them but even if they produce it's likely to be with a higher amount of variance.

Glad I've found out before the winter leagues start properly.

[Richard Latimer]

If not exactly taking it back to the drawing board......as I can't do that........I'm going to have to pick and choose the best trades for a bit as some stuff is killing me right now!

Worst possible time too as I've just sold my house and need all the money I can get

[Richard Latimer]

@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer as long as your comfortable with the decision and process then sometimes there isn’t much more you can do

Veikkausliiga is now the first league since I scrapped Venezuela and Guatamala where it is a good few points down. Trying to preach that most leagues are ok but.......bugger!!

[A Former User]

@richard-latimer as long as your comfortable with the decision and process then sometimes there isn’t much more you can do

[Richard Latimer]

Summer leagues haven't been good to me as it goes. HJK today........urrrggghhhhh!!!!!

Not one I'd really look to say it was a mistake!

[Richard Latimer]

Latest loss in South Korea annoying but it solves a problem I was having re some of the parameters.

Home scored rises to 1.2 now as 1.1 currently on a loss and looking decidely iffy!

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something

Way too stressful and the more you have like that, eventually statistics say you're going to lose

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer weirdly I like it when they come in on 93 minutes or something

[Richard Latimer]

@john-folan said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?

Something like that. Great when it happens so quickly!

[John Folan]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Lay under 1.5:

This one was in after 6 minutes wasn’t it?

[Richard Latimer]

Busy day. Lay under 1.5:

Not doing the Brazil game at present as both teams in Serie B last season.

[Richard Latimer]

Lay under 1.5:

[Richard Latimer]

@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):

Between the two that would be almost 200pts in just over 3 months (mainly summer).

There's no question this makes money but it's not quite as easy as I let myself believe this morning. Because it only hits at 35% you have to be a lot less aggressive in staking as longeest expected losing streak is 16 from 1000 games and goes up steadily.

What that means is I can't just flip the results on their head and take loss as profit because I would have to stake altogether differently.

It may still hit 20-30pts but it's a lot less than the lay under 1.5 is showing.

Still, when this is finalised I do think I may look into whether I can build a lay over 3.5 system.