Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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Odds too low today.
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Just the 1 over in Germany tomorrow
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Bundesliga 2 won, Swiss Challenge League odds too low and Israel won at a canter.
Also 1 selection on the unders trial came good while another didn't go ahead.
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3 overs for tomorrow.
1 of these in the Bundesliga 2 so best be avoided entirely. The other 2 are in Swiss Challenge League and Israel Ligat Ha'al which so far are both in profit.
Couple on the unders trial but data set very small so only monitoring those at present.
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Turkey Super Lig also removed from filtered leagues.
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And when the dust settles on another day things are just becoming clearer and clearer.
Portugal Segunda suffered it's first loss but despite this is still the biggest earner.
Mexico Primera is now another to avoid and is removed from filtered leagues until further notice. Chile Primera and Italian Serie A almost certainly heading the same way.
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I should add that for the remaining leagues there is a combined deficit of well over 200pts.
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I know it's never as simple as this and the figures are changing on a day by day basis......however.........Using 10pt stakes and going from Portuguese Segunda down to the Quatari league that has a -7.72 points deficit.........overall profit is up to over 400pts as of midnight last night.
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Back from a weekend away and it's sure been an interesting one cementing some positions on league for the overs once more. Switzerland Super League has now sustained 4 losses on the bounce there and has to gone from the filtered leagues.
Turkey Super Lig after today going the same way. Also not at all confident in Hungary anymore.
Conversely leagues like the Argie league, French Ligue 2 and Portuguese Segunda continue to look positive despite the reputation these have for many as being leagues where goals are hard to come by.
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@simon said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Very early days but created some individual league data on the unders and English leagues really are a poisonous inconsistency. Both Championship and League 2 in the red early doors.
Wonder if this is to do with the competitive nature of the leagues and the amount of games they play? Always hear pundits saying what a slog these leagues are, so must be hard to keep performance levels consistent/keep players at peak condition, which is why you can see a goal fest like last weekend in the championship one week, and a bunch of tight games the week after. Just my theory, but hard to predict nonetheless.
Could be. I've given up trying to find logical reasons for stuff haha!
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@richard-latimer said in Any Hole's A Goal - My Football Trading Portfolio:
Very early days but created some individual league data on the unders and English leagues really are a poisonous inconsistency. Both Championship and League 2 in the red early doors.
Wonder if this is to do with the competitive nature of the leagues and the amount of games they play? Always hear pundits saying what a slog these leagues are, so must be hard to keep performance levels consistent/keep players at peak condition, which is why you can see a goal fest like last weekend in the championship one week, and a bunch of tight games the week after. Just my theory, but hard to predict nonetheless.
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Just the one over tomorrow in Serbia. A league which has so far started off strongly but right now who can tell whether this will continue.
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Very early days but created some individual league data on the unders and English leagues really are a poisonous inconsistency. Both Championship and League 2 in the red early doors.
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Time to add Poland Division 1 to list of potential unders and caution using them on the overs.
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Sheet updated. First over starts in Romania at 09:00
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Unders didn't do so well today either. Bit of a theme. Championship no good for overs and just as crap for unders. It;s not how many goals are scored but how damn inconsistent the english leagues are from what I can see!
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Today sees me say goodbye to another league from the filtered leagues. Vanarama National league now in the bottom 4 loss wise.
Denmark Division 1 not looking too hot also.
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That's a winner. First over for Tuesday also in Paraguay starts in 15mins.
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One over for today coming up in Paraguay. Deportivo Santani in 10 minutes.
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I've just added another 4 criteria (average goals scored/conceded) for the overs. Done them all for equal to/greater than 0 so it picks everything up. Just interested to see average goals going forward.
Can't do anything about the 400+ selections I already have and unlike previous I'm not about to bin everything in a fit of rage and start again haha!!
Quick observation is that should everything pretty much go 1+ goals average scored/conceded by each team this system will be pretty much the same as @Matt-Adams over 1.5 system he put out on the facebook group months ago.
Only difference being I've done 80% on prev overs data where as he had 85% from what I gather.
Also, as seems to be becoming more and more important as time goes on......I'm looking at individual leagues.
