Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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I'm considering pausing all the 2-0 scorelines for now as they've been such a killer in a couple of otherwise good leagues recently. I've pulled them out for future but then it's not helping the here and the now. It's really the only score I have HUGE reservations on currently but it's dragged this month down massively!
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FHG is already something I'm tracking on my other data but the selections seem limited as generally needs to be a strong home fave. Plenty of the games I'm looking at are 0-0 by HT like Western Utd this morning. I don't mind higher liabilities as I would want a very high strike rate. Odds are already less than the SHG.
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Hi RIchard just having a quick look at your 1.5 data you have been testing. Very impressive early start mate.
I just have an idea that i myself found useful with my over 1.5 filters.
To go in at KO is a fairly high liability for over 1.5 so i was wondering if you would like to collect data on these for a FHG.if you find a good strike rate for these games have a FHG it could be something for you to look at. To start with just record which games have a FHG.
I personally found my own over 1.5 selections had a high number of games missing out with an early goal ( i did enter at 1.51 odds) and so i use the same selections but for laying the draw in the half time market where my ROI per match is a lot higher per match.
Just a thought mate and you never know but is something i noticed from tracking my results.
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I now have the time I need for trading and also a little something to make me happy as things have been re-ignited on a slower basis. Best of both worlds for now:
Without further ado:
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I am working on an over 1.5 in the background that combines H2H and current ave goals. Very good first day. Want to get a good 3 months data and a few hundred selections before I get carried away.
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Bank Holiday Monday:
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Just posting before bed:
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@dan-mackinnon that made me laugh hshsh
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@james-rome said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer when one door closes another open i know hearing stuff like donest help but it is true
That or you’ve got a dodgy carpenter
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@richard-latimer when one door closes another open i know hearing stuff like donest help but it is true
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End of winter leagues and start of summer leagues causing nightmares for a few of us
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@richard-latimer Every Cloud mate...
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And just like that I have more time for my trading:loudly_crying_face: :face_with_tears_of_joy:
So fed up of dating!!!
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
@richard-latimer why not follow Keith’s lay u1.5 as set and forget which he posts in the football thread
That's something I may well do. I just hate relying on anyone but myself now haha!
For the time being it's back to what I know works even if I'm still having to fine tune it too much. If I can mainly fit it in around what I'm doing presently and will have to think about something else in time.
While I've been busy losing a little money on laying under 1.5 the last couple of days a feew of my others came in. Resigned to this being first losing month since Sept, just have to get on and turn it around which I will do.
Sat:
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@richard-latimer why not follow Keith’s lay u1.5 as set and forget which he posts in the football thread
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
For tomorrow:
Lay Under 1.5
I'm looking at a big league like Serie A and I thought I had it figured out but I can't get it to do what I want. If one of the big leagues is a no go I'm not sure I'm where I want to be on the over 1.5. I think I need to go back to what has succeeded previously and find a way to fit it in without burning my personal life down.
I won't have any sort of a personal life if I don't sort this out so it's chicken and egg stuff!!
I will keep an eye on the set and forget thread but for now I don't have the luxury of set and forget.
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For tomorrow:
Lay Under 1.5
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Just the one with a betfair market today:
Lay under 1.5
Ends 2-2
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Just the one with a betfair market today:
Lay under 1.5
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £199.41 - Current Bank £326.71 (+£53.50 for Mar):
Lay under 1.5:
2/3 small loss. Absolutely could have been worse on the 2nd day of these.