Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Lay Under 1.5 Montreal. Almost missed it.
Shame I didn't miss it!
I opened the variables out on this too much I think and the last week has shown me I have to get it tighter again so until there is at least another months data on anything under 3+ average goals I'll be leaving well alone.
This does mean I'm saying goodbye to a good 60 selections since the end of May but I think it's best to be brutal FOR NOW. I've gone from 25% ROI in July to around 10% losing 15% in a week.
The one saving grace is that even had I not opened it out so much there have only been 15 selections in July 3+ and the last of those just lost meaning I pretty much got to a similar place, just with a lot more ups and downs.
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Lay Under 1.5 Montreal. Almost missed it.
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June is beginning to look like an anomaly with some of the lower goal averages so going back to 3+ for now and tracking the rest. At least it's quickly falling away now!
4/6 for a loss
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@chris-osborne said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
@richard-latimer may e with the winter leagues starting to get back in action there’s quite a few today, this area of concern will rectify itself when they have enough games in the bank
Good to see the overall returns though
It will either quickly fall away or it will continue to bring profit. I'm not worried.
Better it quickly fall away than cause large problems with the upcoming volumes.
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@richard-latimer may e with the winter leagues starting to get back in action there’s quite a few today, this area of concern will rectify itself when they have enough games in the bank
Good to see the overall returns though
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Just noticed, this makes it sound like the system is 3 points down for July. Couldn't be further from the truth!
Overall its almost 20% up for me since beginning of July.
Just the lower ends of overall goal averages which is causing me some concern.
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While they are still in decent profit and only 3pts down for July I will keep plugging away. Lay under 1.5:
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Disappointing but not damaging. The low end of the scale on average goals is still providing decent points but 2.15-2.45 now down to 7pts from 20 trades and 85% s/r. Seems ok on the surface but what I'm not liking is July is down to 66% and red for these so could be that June was just a purple patch as I didn't start tracking the lower goal averages until then.
One good month, one bad month so far.....
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Lay under 1.5:
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Lay under 1.5:
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Such is the nature of this game. Missed pen just before HT, then nothing. Now need another 4 good trades to get back to where I was yesterday
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4/4 and almost back to the high point. One for tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
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And here's 4 for tomorrow starting with an overnighter in Argentina. Lay under 1.5:
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So given stakes should have been upped today I'm upping them tomorrow for what they would have been if that makes sense:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
Not Renofa as per post in football thread.
Disappointing day and the first 2 are now in areas which are just about permissable but will need to improve.
The last 2 came in quickly. Jaro scored 2 quick first half goals and the Peruvians said "hold my beer".
I would have upped stakes today in accordance with new bank high but I was busy so had to keep it the same. Small blessing. May up stakes tomorrow to what it should have been.
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For tomorrow. Lay under 1.5:
Not Renofa as per post in football thread.
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Lay under 1.5:
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Lay under 1.5:
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@richard-latimer said in Betfair Premium Charge Challenge Commenced 01/08 - Total Investment Since, £345.00 - Current Bank £403.22 (-£31.76 for June):
Gonna put this one out there nice and early for tomorrow night. Lay under 1.5:
A run of 17 comes to an end with loss @ 4.0