Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge

Richard Latimer

In any case....this one I have gone over backwards and forwards. There is nothing I can find where I can justifiably say it was a mistake to trade. Yes AS2+ 0% but there are many like this. They still score 90% of the time and Ludogorets score 2+ 70% of the time.

Home and away conceding of 2+ is fairly average and conceding in general mid-high.

So....lay under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

More tumbleweeds. No matter how hard you look for potential pitfalls you always seem to miss one. The Swiss majority of losing games are more symptomatic of something which was probably headed that way in the end anyway so not too discouraging.

The Israeli game was a bit of a miss. Only selection with a h2h of 60% over and an an 80+ 2 or more scored for each team. What do I take from that? Two incredibly gifted attacking teams that fight tooth and nail when pitted against each other. Very misleading, quite contrarian. Another similar result in Germany I had ruled out months back on odds had an 80% 2 or more for home and 70% 2 or more for away also with 60% over on h2h.

The good news and what I continue to tell myself is there isn't much more I can do and unlike previous systems I will stop where I am soon enough in terms of tweaks. Odds will probably be a bit fluid for a while.

I'm not going to overcomplicate but by the same token if I see something out of place and potentially damaging I will find it.

Richard Latimer

And the away lays:

Richard Latimer

Another substandard month on the overs but such fine margins:

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

Lay Away:

1/2 here so around 1.5 pts down or for me, about £25-£30.

Richard Latimer

Not expecting this one to qualify but Lay Under 1.5 if it does:

Richard Latimer

@Richard-Latimer said in Aug 2024 £3000 - ? Bank Challenge:

This will make more sense:

2-2 in Newcastle.

So it ended 1-3 in Slovakia but the odds didn't get to the 4.5 minimum I set. That said, as can be seen in my post, the minimum odds against so far so good in that league was 3.3 so this just lowers the bar a bit for future selections in Slovakia.

Richard Latimer

To my dismay I just realised the link under my profile gave editing privileges which was never the plan. Found this out because I got a notification that Sam Roberts had changed it.

I have checked and so far it appears to be ok but if Sam is reading this could you please tell me what you changed?

Richard Latimer

This will make more sense:

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

I'm going to try and get some measure of control back on these in the sense that I'm not necessarily going to lay just because it falls within odds that have worked previously. May need to be a little more tipped towards how many have and where does it leave my data in the event of a loss.

Hence for this one I still don't have a massive amount of selections from Slovakia even going back to 2024.

I have now listed the so far so good odds brackets, the current odds and the odds I feel comfortable laying this at which won't immediately get me looking to rule those odds out for future.

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Another highish odds loss in Portugal puts a massive dampener on Nov.

Richard Latimer

Ekstraklasa goes from being one of the main players to nothing but a supporting cast member in one day with half the profit chalked off.

Richard Latimer

Lay Away:

Richard Latimer

Lay Under 1.5:

Richard Latimer

Crap weekend. Lost about £100 on away lays due to Salzburg basically. Then around £150 on the overs which was for a few reasons.

Richard Latimer

Just 2 results that didn't belong at these odds is all you need to destroy a weekend where you were neither going up nor down.

But it's the nature of what I've been working on for almost 2 years now and I just need to stay consistent.

I've realised that Norway at the end of the season just seems crap.