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Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
146 Posts 11 Posters 8.0k Views
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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #61

    Yep that's about right guys, all depends on the goal times you see.

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #62

    @richard-latimer I agree. From my VERY limited sample of trades, that sounds about right. It obviously helps if you've just been able to get the second half of the stake on at 50' and the goal goes in a minute later!

    1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #63

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?

    Alan Steward reckons it's a -0.66, profit 0.25 kind of ratio.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #64

    @lee-woodman It depends when the goal comes if its before HT, I generally take the Free bet and am normally getting around 25%. Not got enough data for after the 2nd part of the stake as not been trading it that long.

    @alan-steward has a more detailed analysis on the link in his signature

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    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #65

    @chris-osborne ok, that’s roughly what I thought, around 0.25 per win I’d guess. It’s just an idea, I’m not trading it but going to look at this and my own in a month or two once I’ve settled on my other stuff

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #66

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?

    My average loss is around 0.68pts, winners bit more difficult to quantify

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #67

    Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?

    ? Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Alastair Todd on last edited by
    #68

    @alastair-todd said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer Me too but am on the LTD for a small stake. Annoyingly the Danish match (Vejle v AGF) came to nothing by 70' so took a 76% hit on that. (I was following the Frode 2.5 filter but using 1.5 SS on it).

    Same here on Ltd. Waited and got 5.5

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #69

    @richard-latimer Me too but am on the LTD for a small stake. Annoyingly the Danish match (Vejle v AGF) came to nothing by 70' so took a 76% hit on that. (I was following the Frode 2.5 filter but using 1.5 SS on it).

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #70

    Just missed on Celtic by around 10 seconds.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
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  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Alastair Todd
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #71

    @richard-latimer 59% of stake loss

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #72

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer cant believe that was 0-0

    I can believe anything at the moment.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    A 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #73

    @richard-latimer cant believe that was 0-0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #74

    @richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake

    May get in on 90

    Did 3 stakes for each minute of injury time. Cheap loss. Unexpected though. Bloody Dutch haha!

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #75

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake

    May get in on 90

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #76

    Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #77

    @richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @chris-osborne said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry

    What were the odds on 30 mins?

    I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins

    What was the percentage loss for you?

    68%

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #78

    It's on my papertrading plan so seriously hoping for a goal.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #79

    @chris-osborne said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry

    What were the odds on 30 mins?

    I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins

    What was the percentage loss for you?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    0
  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #80

    @richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry

    What were the odds on 30 mins?

    I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
    0

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