Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy
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@richard-latimer I agree. From my VERY limited sample of trades, that sounds about right. It obviously helps if you've just been able to get the second half of the stake on at 50' and the goal goes in a minute later!
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@lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?
Alan Steward reckons it's a -0.66, profit 0.25 kind of ratio.
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@lee-woodman It depends when the goal comes if its before HT, I generally take the Free bet and am normally getting around 25%. Not got enough data for after the 2nd part of the stake as not been trading it that long.
@alan-steward has a more detailed analysis on the link in his signature
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@chris-osborne ok, that’s roughly what I thought, around 0.25 per win I’d guess. It’s just an idea, I’m not trading it but going to look at this and my own in a month or two once I’ve settled on my other stuff
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@lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?
My average loss is around 0.68pts, winners bit more difficult to quantify
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Has anybody got a rough average profit per winner and average loss per loser on this?
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@alastair-todd said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@richard-latimer Me too but am on the LTD for a small stake. Annoyingly the Danish match (Vejle v AGF) came to nothing by 70' so took a 76% hit on that. (I was following the Frode 2.5 filter but using 1.5 SS on it).
Same here on Ltd. Waited and got 5.5
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@richard-latimer Me too but am on the LTD for a small stake. Annoyingly the Danish match (Vejle v AGF) came to nothing by 70' so took a 76% hit on that. (I was following the Frode 2.5 filter but using 1.5 SS on it).
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Just missed on Celtic by around 10 seconds.
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@richard-latimer 59% of stake loss
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@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@richard-latimer cant believe that was 0-0
I can believe anything at the moment.
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@richard-latimer cant believe that was 0-0
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@richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake
May get in on 90
Did 3 stakes for each minute of injury time. Cheap loss. Unexpected though. Bloody Dutch haha!
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@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake
May get in on 90
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Im actively trading it for late goal and also tracking the over 0.5 as part of a possible recovery play on the split stake
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@richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@chris-osborne said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry
What were the odds on 30 mins?
I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins
What was the percentage loss for you?
68%
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It's on my papertrading plan so seriously hoping for a goal.
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@chris-osborne said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry
What were the odds on 30 mins?
I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins
What was the percentage loss for you?
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@richard-latimer said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
@martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:
I lost 1.34% based on 1% stake at each entry
What were the odds on 30 mins?
I got in at 1.72. On 30 mins
