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Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Hi, did 3 matches of the split strategies on Sunday, green up after each goal, took small wins on 2, and a small loss on a 3rd one, even though the match went on to have more goals, all 3 matches had 2 or more goals, what do you generally do, green up straight away whatever the game looks like or hang on a small amount of time.
    Look forward to your views and experience.

    MartinM ? 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by Ryan
    #2

    I your blog will be really interesting to read as well, I like the way your mind works with this stuff @Lee-woodman - reading the first post now

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

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  • RyanR Offline
    RyanR Offline
    Ryan
    wrote on last edited by
    #3

    If the games on this filter with the new criteria are on your LCS there would be no crossover anyways would there?

    Scenarios - 0-0 @ 70 get out for loss on the 1.5 market but you'd by LCS on CS market?

    Goal before 70 and out for profit then move to LCS on CS market?

    Or do you not want the games to crossover at all, meaning if there's a losing trade on the SS then why potentially add to the pain?

    Founder of BTC - Pro Trader - Main Sports Tennis and Football

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #4

    @richard-latimer No, nothing wouldve qualified yesterday

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #5

    So St Mirren wouldn't qualify on the stricter tighter criteria of ave 3.2 would it?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #6

    @lee-woodman i run lcs at 70 so i dont think there will be too much crossover for me

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #7

    @martin-walker Yea tighter as in 40% and 3.2. There probably is something in it, however, i run LCS as my main strategy so I don’t want to cross over with that

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #8

    @lee-woodman by tighter do you mean the 40 addition or the 3.2 aswell.

    I was going to play it standard split stake with the 40% addition. Then figure out a staking plan to include backing a goal at 70 just before cashing.

    I think theres a way to play it to get 5-10 points a month here somewhere

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #9

    @richard-latimer no sorry, got behind on tracking it myself

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #10

    @martin-walker said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Hows everyone playing this now then.

    Do you happen to have the stats for qualifiers 24 Jan until now? I only recorded the teams and not percentages or averages?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Martin Walker on last edited by
    #11

    @martin-walker Personally im doing standard split stake on the tighter criteria. Ill cash out in full after a goal (although ill wait a couple of minutes for the market to settle). I have my own O1.5 SS aswell so ill be doing the same with that

    I need to look further into the loss recovery side and backing O0.5 after 60/70' so ill be going for consistency and simplicity.

    I might do a thread actually and post the daily selections and the analysis after each month

    M 1 Reply Last reply
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  • M Offline
    M Offline
    Martin Walker
    wrote on last edited by
    #12

    Hows everyone playing this now then.

    ? Richard LatimerR 2 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #13

    @richard-latimer Meaning trade out if 0-0 at 70'

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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #14

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer I was just responding to Ryans comment about it essentially being a 'set and forget', ie no need to trade out

    But I thought you said it wouldn't work if you trade out or not haha

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #15

    @richard-latimer I was just responding to Ryans comment about it essentially being a 'set and forget', ie no need to trade out

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #16

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer Yes its all based on O1.5, when i say waiting for 1.5 i meant odds, as in hanging on for better odds

    I'm confused are you saying this doesn't work anymore?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #17

    @richard-latimer Yes its all based on O1.5, when i say waiting for 1.5 i meant odds, as in hanging on for better odds

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #18

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @richard-latimer Well if you got higher average and minimum odds entering at the 30' and 50' then itd work but thatd apply to any strategy really. If you waited for say 1.5 then you would miss some and itd obviously alter the SR and therefore the profit, so its not a safe assumption that it would improve anything

    Thought you were referring to the over 1.5 as in this?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by A Former User
    #19

    @richard-latimer Well if you got higher average and minimum odds entering at the 30' and 50' then itd work but thatd apply to any strategy really. If you waited for say 1.5 then you would miss some and itd obviously alter the SR and therefore the profit, so its not a safe assumption that it would improve anything

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard LatimerR Online
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #20

    @lee-woodman said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    @ryan-carruthers said in Ryan’s over 1.5 split strategy:

    Wow another great spot, I'm just no waiting for actually Ryan if you do 40% and 3.2 then you don't need to trade out as its more profitable as straight bets 😉

    Based on using 1.4 at 30' and 2.0 at 50' it wouldnt be profitable, whether you trade out at 70' or not. Sorry.....!

    So you need higher odds?

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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