Backing The Draw
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This is looking awesome so far Dave! Keep us all posted
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@martin-futter Still haven’t been able to transfer the filters to the BTC software but hopefully will be able to.
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@dave-adams fantastic, did the Denmark filter work for you?
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@john-hurst I think it’s Pinnacle John, I’m using Predictology to create the filters and for their odds they offer a choice of Pinnacle, Bet365 & another I can’t recall.
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@dave-adams lovely mate, when you mention betfair odds in the write up, what is that? the draw odds?
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Monday 19th October Results
18:00 Nordsjaelland vs Radners @3.90 +2.34
18:00 Helsinborgs vs Hacken @4.20 +2.52
19:45 Waasland vs Oostende @3.95 Postponed
TOTAL +4.86Early finish due to the postponement in Belgium and a nice 2/2 today at good odds. Helsingborg vs Hacken ended 0-0 so @4.20 that would have been a lovely return but I’m sticking to the 80 min trade out. This was justified by the 85th minute goal in the Nordsjaelland game that ended 1-0.
I was very tempted to back Leeds vs Wolves @3.30 but this was from a lesser tested system so resisted, even if it is a draw I’m pleased that I managed to show restraint and to stick to the plan.
Running Total + 8.36
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Monday 19th October
18:00 Nordsjaelland vs Radners @3.90
18:00 Helsinborgs vs Hacken @4.20
19:45 Waasland vs Oostende @3.95 -
Sunday 18th October Results
06:00 Busan vs Suwon @3.40 +1.04
12:00 Preston vs Cardiff @3.40 -1.00
15:00 SonderjyskE vs Brondby @3.50 -1.00
15:00 Zurich vs Basel @4.2 -Postponed
15:00 Sion vs Lausanne @3.70 +1.22
15:00 Vallacano vs Espanyol @2.90 + 0.80
16:30 AIK va IFK @3.15 -1
17:15 Genk vs Charleroi @3.60 -1
20:00 Lille vs Lens @3.30 -1
TOTAL -1.943 out of 8 leaves us with a -1.94 point loss today. Looking at the games most were tight, apart from Lille vs Lens which ended 4-0 and with Lens finishing with 9 men - not ideal when looking for an even contest!
Annoyingly I added that game to the list late on and it wasn't an original pick - guilty of forcing a trade, so got what I deserved!
Running Total +3.5 Points
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@dave-adams said in Backing The Draw:
Sunday 18th October
06:00 Busan vs Suwon @3.40
12:00 Preston vs Cardiff @3.40
15:00 SonderjyskE vs Brondby @3.50
15:00 Zurich vs Basel @4.2
15:00 Sion vs Lausanne @3.70
15:00 Vallacano vs Espanyol @2.90
16:30 AIK va IFK @3.15
17:15 Genk vs Charleroi @3.60
20:00 Lille vs Lens @3.30how did this fare?
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are you tracking average goal times on this?
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@dave-adams did you manage to get the Denmark filter working?
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@dave-adams said in Backing The Draw:
Saturday 17th October Results
08:30 Seongnam vs Seoul @ 3.25 +1.95
13:00 Cosenza vs Cittadella @ 3.00 +0.95
15:00 Blackburn vs Forest @ 3.60 +1.39
15:00 Wycombe vs Milwall @ 3.70 -1.00
16:30 Sundsvall vs Jonkopings @ 3.75. +1.45
17:30 Mechelen vs Kortrijk @ 3.85. -1.00
18:00 Vaduz vs Lugano @ 3.70 +2.70
TOTAL +6.44Great day today with 5/7 games yielding a return. All winners were traded out at 80 mins (ish - depending on how quickly I could get to my phone!). The exception to this was the last game with a lovely injury time equaliser meaning the full odds were taken.
If the 5 winners at 80 mins only 2 ended in draws so we added 3 winners by trading out at 80 mins. We did benefit with one injury time equaliser too.
That's fantastic! Thanks for sharing
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@daniel-cooper Thanks man - I know all days won’t be as green but I’ll take it!
Yeah I’m backing the draw pre-match. Ideally near kick off but this weekend I’ve been doing it in advance once I’ve got my selections, to get organised because my time is limited with family.
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@dave-adams said in Backing The Draw:
Saturday 17th October Results
08:30 Seongnam vs Seoul @ 3.25 +1.95
13:00 Cosenza vs Cittadella @ 3.00 +0.95
15:00 Blackburn vs Forest @ 3.60 +1.39
15:00 Wycombe vs Milwall @ 3.70 -1.00
16:30 Sundsvall vs Jonkopings @ 3.75. +1.45
17:30 Mechelen vs Kortrijk @ 3.85. -1.00
18:00 Vaduz vs Lugano @ 3.70 +2.70
TOTAL +6.44Great day today with 5/7 games yielding a return. All winners were traded out at 80 mins (ish - depending on how quickly I could get to my phone!). The exception to this was the last game with a lovely injury time equaliser meaning the full odds were taken.
If the 5 winners at 80 mins only 2 ended in draws so we added 3 winners by trading out at 80 mins. We did benefit with one injury time equaliser too.
This is awesome dude, keep up the cracking work!
To confirm, are you backing the draw at K/O?
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Sunday 18th October
06:00 Busan vs Suwon @3.40
12:00 Preston vs Cardiff @3.40
15:00 SonderjyskE vs Brondby @3.50
15:00 Zurich vs Basel @4.2
15:00 Sion vs Lausanne @3.70
15:00 Vallacano vs Espanyol @2.90
16:30 AIK va IFK @3.15
17:15 Genk vs Charleroi @3.60
20:00 Lille vs Lens @3.30 -
Saturday 17th October Results
08:30 Seongnam vs Seoul @ 3.25 +1.95
13:00 Cosenza vs Cittadella @ 3.00 +0.95
15:00 Blackburn vs Forest @ 3.60 +1.39
15:00 Wycombe vs Milwall @ 3.70 -1.00
16:30 Sundsvall vs Jonkopings @ 3.75. +1.45
17:30 Mechelen vs Kortrijk @ 3.85. -1.00
18:00 Vaduz vs Lugano @ 3.70 +2.70
TOTAL +6.44Great day today with 5/7 games yielding a return. All winners were traded out at 80 mins (ish - depending on how quickly I could get to my phone!). The exception to this was the last game with a lovely injury time equaliser meaning the full odds were taken.
If the 5 winners at 80 mins only 2 ended in draws so we added 3 winners by trading out at 80 mins. We did benefit with one injury time equaliser too.
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@john-hurst Yep it’s looking ok so far - Sundsvall 84th minute equaliser too
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@dave-adams Hahah must have missed that bit! But then Sports Trading and Erotic Novels obviously go hand in hand, right