My Trading diary
-
@eamonn-hogan said in My Trading diary:
@matt-wood said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan I had a similar problem with my filters yesterday, they threw out loads of games AND it was a dreaded Saturday! With @Darri in my head about the recent internationals I made it through yesterday by being super ruthless on what qualified to trade.
I was green at the end of the day but I spent all day at it, same as you, and lost one at the end I should have won. Putting that down to mental fatigue at being on it all day.
well done on being green yesterday. Mental fatigue played a big part for me yesterday. Good luck today mate
You too mate, get you some green back to correct yesterday
-
@matt-wood said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan I had a similar problem with my filters yesterday, they threw out loads of games AND it was a dreaded Saturday! With @Darri in my head about the recent internationals I made it through yesterday by being super ruthless on what qualified to trade.
I was green at the end of the day but I spent all day at it, same as you, and lost one at the end I should have won. Putting that down to mental fatigue at being on it all day.
well done on being green yesterday. Mental fatigue played a big part for me yesterday. Good luck today mate
-
@eamonn-hogan I had a similar problem with my filters yesterday, they threw out loads of games AND it was a dreaded Saturday! With @Darri in my head about the recent internationals I made it through yesterday by being super ruthless on what qualified to trade.
I was green at the end of the day but I spent all day at it, same as you, and lost one at the end I should have won. Putting that down to mental fatigue at being on it all day.
-
Trades for today:
LTD in half time market
Netherlands Eredivisie 04/04/2021 13:30 PSV Heracles
Netherlands Eredivisie 04/04/2021 15:45 Heerenveen Ajax
Hungary Otp Bank Liga 04/04/2021 16:00 Budafoki FerencvarosLay the draw in FT market
Japan J2 League 04/04/2021 5:00 Okayama Iwata
England Premier League 04/04/2021 14:05 Newcastle Utd Tottenham
Russia Premier League 04/04/2021 17:00 FK Rostov Spartak Moscow
Turkey Super Lig 04/04/2021 17:00 Kasimpasa BesiktasDutch HT scores 0-0,1-0 and 0-1
Russia Premier League 04/04/2021 12:00 Ural Arsenal Tula
Belgium Jupiler League 04/04/2021 19:45 Charleroi Mouscron -
Thanks for reading guys and for the responses.
@Matt-Wood my personal preference is to lay for 1 point win
@Chris-Osborne I had been laying stuarts LTD for one point liability but now I have increased my stakes as my bank has grown = more liability. This would be fine however yesterday was the first day upping the stakes and of course was a losing day.
@Sean-Fitzgerald I agree with what you are saying in that the strategies have a good strike rate and should let the variance work itself out.I have since taken out a few of the lower leagues and and concentrated on the top leagues. I also felt yesterday that I was doing too much and the fact that I was at it all day and up 6 points to then be down 4.5 hurt.
I think part of the problem yesterday was that I had too many games turn up on my filters, hopefully with less games now setting them up the night before I wont feel as bogged down as I felt yesterday.Thanks for reading again
-
@eamonn-hogan said in My Trading diary:
Yesterday was a very up and then down day.
I was up around 6 points at one stage and ended up down 4.5 at the end of the day. Most of my strategies are set and forget which is why all trades were done. If they had not of been set and forget I may have well stopped and been happy with my profit.
The question is as they are set and forget and most are done the night before do I just face it and take whatever profit/loss I have at end of day knowing that the strategies I have are successful long term or do I maybe take my green at say 3 points or take a loss at 3 points?
would be interested to hear your thoughts guys?
My thoughts and happy to be corrected as there are far more knowledgeable people than me in this virtual room but the way I see it is if you’ve done the work on testing the strategy and its proven to be profitable long term you should trust the strategy knowing that there will be variance (particularly with a set and forget strategy).
Ensure you have your staking plan is right so you’re not exposing yourself more than your comfortable with on a day.Again if you’ve thoroughly tested the strategy and your comfortable with it I’d only be modifying your selections based on further refining of the strategy that is also supported by testing.
And thank you for sharing your blog. I’ve started following along with interest. Cheers
-
@daniel-cooper said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan said in My Trading diary:
Another question.
Liability for 1 point or lay to win 1 point? whats the views on this?
I’m eager to hear opinions on this too
I have NEVER known!Something I've often wandered about I guess it depends on what odds your laying at and the liability- in tennis when the odds are usually less than 1.5 I'm laying at 1pt liability to hopefully win more. However in football such as Stuart's LTD at KO strategy, I'm laying to win 1pt as the the liability is far higher
-
@daniel-cooper said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan said in My Trading diary:
Another question.
Liability for 1 point or lay to win 1 point? whats the views on this?
I’m eager to hear opinions on this too
I have NEVER known!I guess it comes down to personal pref. Might be a bit fiddly laying for a liability of 1pt without software. Easier to lay for a win of 1pt and take the varied liability for me.
-
@eamonn-hogan said in My Trading diary:
Another question.
Liability for 1 point or lay to win 1 point? whats the views on this?
I’m eager to hear opinions on this too
I have NEVER known! -
Another question.
Liability for 1 point or lay to win 1 point? whats the views on this?
-
@matt-wood said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan I am pondering this exact same thing with something I am testing at the moment. It is a set and forget plan and is profitable so far. Wondering if I should just back everything and forget it or try to assess each game to try and reduce the number of losers.
Being really helpful to you though, I have not come up with any answer yet
Im tempted to just let the strategies take care of themselves and will work out profitable at the end of the week/month but its just annoying to be up 6 points and end down 4.5.
The same thing applies if I had of been down 4 points and I decided to stop for the day and then seen that the next 5/6 trades won I would be even more annoyed.Just like to hear others view on it
-
@eamonn-hogan I am pondering this exact same thing with something I am testing at the moment. It is a set and forget plan and is profitable so far. Wondering if I should just back everything and forget it or try to assess each game to try and reduce the number of losers.
Being really helpful to you though, I have not come up with any answer yet
-
Yesterday was a very up and then down day.
I was up around 6 points at one stage and ended up down 4.5 at the end of the day. Most of my strategies are set and forget which is why all trades were done. If they had not of been set and forget I may have well stopped and been happy with my profit.
The question is as they are set and forget and most are done the night before do I just face it and take whatever profit/loss I have at end of day knowing that the strategies I have are successful long term or do I maybe take my green at say 3 points or take a loss at 3 points?
would be interested to hear your thoughts guys?
-
My trades for today:
My Lay the draw in half time market
Colombia Primera A 03/04/2021 1:40 Santa Fe Pereira 0-1
Italy Serie A 03/04/2021 14:00 Napoli Crotone 3-1
Germany Bundesliga 03/04/2021 14:30 Bayer Leverkusen Schalke 1-0
Northern Ireland Nifl Premiership 03/04/2021 15:00 Glentoran Portadown (didnt reach 3.0)
Czech Republic 1. Liga 03/04/2021 17:30 Sparta Prague Teplice (was out and forgot about it) 4-1
Portugal Primeira Liga 03/04/2021 20:30 FC Porto Santa Clara
Ecuador Liga Pro 03/04/2021 23:00 LDU Quito Mushuc RunaStuarts LTD
Japan J1 League 03/04/2021 6:00 Avispa Fukuoka Sapporo 1-2
Japan J1 League 03/04/2021 7:00 Urawa Kashima 2-1
Japan J2 League 03/04/2021 6:00 Giravanz Kitakyushu Montedio Yamagata 0-0
Italy Serie A 03/04/2021 14:00 Sassuolo AS Roma 2-2
Italy Serie A 03/04/2021 17:00 Torino Juventus
Italy Serie A 03/04/2021 19:45 Bologna Inter
Russia Premier League 03/04/2021 12:00 R. Volgograd Lokomotiv Moscow 0-2
Turkey Super Lig 03/04/2021 17:00 Hatayspor Galatasaray
England Premier League 03/04/2021 17:30 Leicester Manchester City
France Ligue 1 03/04/2021 20:00 Lens Lyon -
@eamonn-hogan love it!
-
1st April
A great end to a great month.
Current strategies:
Unders. I back under 1.5 before kick off and get out with one tick. I started of with a stake of £50 and took my green after the odds decreased by one tick and then hedged the outcome. After a few episodes of this I increased it to £100 ( 10%) of my bank and done the same this time compounding the winnings. 15 winners in a row and a profit of £35 by doing this and a total for the month £51.90. 5.1 points
Stuarts LTD. Laying the draw for one point profit. After a couple of early losers this strategy really took of in the last few weeks £159 profit.
15.9 pointsLTD in half time market. I have a filter for this and I lay the draw when the odds get to a max of 3.0. I currently have done 117 trades and have had 82 winners with a strike rate of 70% This has been the best month so far with it bringing up £77. 7.7 points
LCS/LTD. These trades are normally done when its 0-0 or 1-1 and price averaging 2.8 but could be done anywhere up to 4.5. This is the strategy I use when Im watching a game or keeping an eye out for the live stats. The first two are set and forgets which dont need any monitoring which allows me to focus on this one. Monthly profit in this was 1.8 points
I have the occasional trade on the cricket and golf where I lay the draw in the tests matches and in the golf I lay somebody who I feel is too short going into the final round. Cricket one trade 0.4 points and the golf 12
pointsI have since ditched the compounding of the unders, will keep it at a steady 10% from now on.
Normally not a big lover of international football but it certainly helped with the bank building this week.
As I was changing my staking in line with my bank its hard to put a definite number on how many points it was in total but my bank increased by 26% from last month. Going forward I will change my stake each month rather than after I hit certain targets.
-
@matt-wood said in My Trading diary:
You seem to be smashing it at the moment mate
I will admit to being jealous... and then I remember who you support and I feel better again
Cheers mate, surely thats another reason to be jealous!
-
@ryan-carruthers said in My Trading diary:
@eamonn-hogan It's really exciting to see your progress buddy!
Thanks Ryan
-
@eamonn-hogan It's really exciting to see your progress buddy!
