The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@richard-latimer Nice man, new here- looking to learn, contribute and hopefully become a successful trader. Have traded(?) in the past but with a less stats based approach- needless to say my ‘hunches’ didn’t really do much for the bank balance haha.
Using the stats the last month or so i am seeing how satisfying it is when games line up with pre match research. It all is so interesting to me.
Ps. Hello everyone
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A bit to consider for Tuesday:
Kalju looks a bit of a shoe in for an away win. They've scored in all 10 of their last away games and the home side of hit the net in only 3 of theirs. Price quite low at the moment but if it hits 1.51 I think I'll pull the trigger on a back bet there.
Levadia looks like a ridiculous number of goals should be scored so this one is 0-10 or 0-0 haha!! Average goals score 8, overall ave goals 5!!!
0x 0-0 FT, 100%, home team scored in 10/10, away team scored in 10/10. O1.5 = 95%, O2.5 80%, H2 O1.5 65%. H2 O0.5 = 85%
You name it, the stats are strong on this game.
Stats on Paide are good too. 4.3 ave goals scored, 3.65 overall ave goals.H2 O0.5 = 85%. Home scored in 9/10 matches and 9/10 H2, away in 7/10 matches and 5/10 H2. 90% O1.5, 75% O2.5, again 65% O1.5 H2.
Dinamo Brest Res and the match in Turkmenistan there are less stats for but what I can find make decent reading for at least 1 goal.
0x 0-0 in Belarus and 1/20 in Turkmenistan. Home score 10/10 and away 08/10 in Belarus while in Turkmenistan both have scored in 9/10. Stats aren't good for multiple goals but there should be at least 1.
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ Werder Bremen have dutched following correct scores, 2-2 & 1-3 for 0.25pts
If still 0-0 on 15/20mins with decent attacking intent will dutch another 0.25pts on same scores
Will look to remove red on 3 goals or LCS @ 1.98 to cover red if stats show decent attacking intent... Will post all moves on here but at times decisions need to be made quickly
Won't be adding another 0,25pts... will wait another 15mins or leave it
Will wait until HT or take green if 4th goal
Removed red & left just over 0.5pts green on target score & 0.25pts green on any other score.
So either 100% or 200% R.O.I. locked in
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@gary-brown said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Hi guys
wow just checked the scoreline nice FHG winner here.
who scored first? when I was watching first 10-12mins it looked likeour away favs were dominating at it was only a matter on time before they scored which is basically what the lads were saying below.Leverkusen scored first, pegged back and scored almost immediately. Should have backed them as stats showed only one winner.
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Hi guys
wow just checked the scoreline nice FHG winner here.
who scored first? when I was watching first 10-12mins it looked likeour away favs were dominating at it was only a matter on time before they scored which is basically what the lads were saying below. -
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ Werder Bremen have dutched following correct scores, 2-2 & 1-3 for 0.25pts
If still 0-0 on 15/20mins with decent attacking intent will dutch another 0.25pts on same scores
Will look to remove red on 3 goals or LCS @ 1.98 to cover red if stats show decent attacking intent... Will post all moves on here but at times decisions need to be made quickly
Won't be adding another 0,25pts... will wait another 15mins or leave it
Will wait until HT or take green if 4th goal
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Stay like this be a good potential HT LTD maybe.
Or possibly back Leverkusen
Or perhaps not haha!
I might just watch the game.
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Stay like this be a good potential HT LTD maybe.
Or possibly back Leverkusen
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
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Get in there... The dog scores!!!
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@ryan-carruthers said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Bayer L taken the lead.
I waited too long to back Leverkusen. But it bodes well.
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Free header there lol
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@ Werder Bremen have dutched following correct scores, 2-2 & 1-3 for 0.25pts
If still 0-0 on 15/20mins with decent attacking intent will dutch another 0.25pts on same scores
Will look to remove red on 3 goals or LCS @ 1.98 to cover red if stats show decent attacking intent... Will post all moves on here but at times decisions need to be made quickly
Won't be adding another 0,25pts... will wait another 15mins or leave it
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Wasn't going to bother with Bremen as I don't like the fact home team not scored in last 5 so all relying on Leverkusen. That said, and for those reasons, I really can't see anything other than an away win here.
Home goalless last 5, Leverkusen scored in 4/5 last 5 away. May wait for odds to rise a bit and back Leverkusen.
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Normally seems like they have goals in this league, it is on the stats page which is good and it shows 65% of the matches in the league was over 2.5 goals
I looked last night and there's a few in my filters. But like I've said many times before,, either it's 0-0 or 10-0 haha!
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@james-everard said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Normally seems like they have goals in this league, it is on the stats page which is good and it shows 65% of the matches in the league was over 2.5 goals
65% o2.5 goals for the league is decent
Soccerstats.com show Estonia with 60% o2.5 but a fairly credible 60% with BTTS
