The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@john-hurst Yeah I'm the same mate, would always asses what's going on in the game, I just noticed that a lot seem to just walk away and move onto the next one which obviously is fine if that's what suits their trading but my own figures suggest it would be unwise to discount every game because a goal went in early.
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@ben-dobie said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman I think that's a good idea with the leagues, I'm looking to cut some out based upon value...a mate of mine sent me a sheet with average goals for every league around the world makes sense that the ones with the high figures offer poor value. Dutch 2nd for example goals galore but very rarely get involved as value is poor.
What's your thought's on not trading a game if a goal has already been scored in the 2nd half ? Do you ever get involved ?
I wouldn’t avoid it because there has been a goal already but sometimes if I get in on say 60’ and then there’s a goal on 66’ I won’t get involved again at 70’ but if the goal came BEFORE I got involved then I would be happy to get involved. Your stats suggest you shouldn’t write off LCS if there’s been a goal already
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@ben-dobie for me mate i would look at how the game has played out/who is involved and also how the game was before the first sh goal was scored
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Would be interested on people's thoughts on LCS strategy....
Do you always walk away if a goal has come in the 2nd half before your desired entry point i.e. before 60 mins ?
From what I've read on here it appears most people leave it alone but I'm finding that very often at least one more goes in afterwards and a lot of potential is missed out on. -
@martin-walker plenty of games on at the weekend. Whether they hit your filters idk
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Are we not seeing much because of the stats updating or is there really nothing this weekend
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Is anyone doing Gary's SHG picks? changed the filter to remove the odds filter so I can get a list of games. Then I've added the odds filter to BFbot and let that sort it out. I think I've created a true LCS at HT bot as well. Giving it all a road test this weekend. It booted out a few games yesterday on the overround which was a shame but it is working if the reports are anything to go by.
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@martin-futter I’ll post my figures up when I get chance and show both grades
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@martin-futter said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@lee-woodman like that grading system for leagues idea, maybe we should do a document for members like that!
Well my thinking that quality leagues being more competitive means every game matters, so in that final 10-15 minutes the mentality is ‘keep going, we need something from this’ but in poorer leagues it’s ‘oh well, there’s next week which should be easy’. Plus there’s extra quality from players in the last 15, also better squads give more options to change things.
It may only be relevant to certain types of trades but LCS would be one of those.
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@lee-woodman I think that's a good idea with the leagues, I'm looking to cut some out based upon value...a mate of mine sent me a sheet with average goals for every league around the world makes sense that the ones with the high figures offer poor value. Dutch 2nd for example goals galore but very rarely get involved as value is poor.
What's your thought's on not trading a game if a goal has already been scored in the 2nd half ? Do you ever get involved ?
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Only one for me today
18/09/2020 14:30:00
Smolevichi STI vs Rukh Brest - Late GoalSmolevichi conceded in 9/10 home matches.
Rukh Brest 9/9 unbeaten away
Rukh Brest won to nil 18% -
@ben-dobie they’re some decent figures!
It’s going ok, same as you had a bit of a dodgy start to September but picked up again now. I’m trading a lot fewer leagues this month, I split leagues into ‘grade A’ and ‘grade B’ if you like and whilst I’m tracking both I’m only trading the grade A. I’ve not done it based on results, just on quality of the league, liquidity etc but it does improve the results quite a lot
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@lee-woodman hello mate, it's going well, poor start to the month based upon how August went but it's really picked up again.
LCS @ 60 is running @ 80% if no H2 goal already & 77% regardless of a goal or not
LCS @ 70 is 70% if no H2 goal already & 65% regardless220 Games sample
How's your's going ? I do download your games daily as I think it's a cracking filter but haven't had time to update for a while.
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@ben-dobie How’s your filter going? It’s a LCS filter isn’t it?
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
The football is a bit s**t for a Friday!
Glad it's not just my filter ... weekend isn't great on mine either though by the looks of it
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@richard-latimer Hi mate I find the "Goal Live" app is good for quick notifications... Sometimes run along side Sofascore if it's mega important to act quick after a goal
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
The football is a bit s**t for a Friday!
I thought yesterday was bad lol... At least I managed to get some decent green in the Denmark game... But today, not seeing anything as yet
