The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Ltd Lech Poznan 2 on 69mins here
Laid @ 1.81 and out @ 7.4.
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Laid U2.5 at Alcoron at 1.21. 0-0 32mins.
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Laid U2.5 at SonderjyskE at 1.52. 0-0 30 mins.
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@john-hurst said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
not convinced with nejmegen- seems like a 50/50 trade. Leaving alone.
I had this as a potential but the 2-2 scoreline hasn't fared well so like you, I left it alone.
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Ltd Lech Poznan 2 on 69mins here
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
not convinced with nejmegen- seems like a 50/50 trade. Leaving alone.
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@gary-brown probably going to leave feyenoord mate- no wins in 3 apparently. Not good so far either. Looking at den bosch match now.
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@gary-brown would like to think feyenoord will come on strong H2
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Not convinced enough in the Feyenoord game yet.
Inplay stats with SHots on target are pretty generous to be honest as i would say only 1 of the shots actually looked likely it was going to be a goal.
The others were long shots or nothing that would trouble a 10 year old keeper.I guess SH will be better. Well if its not going to be 0-0 it needs to improve.
So now i am going to monitor the game in France.
its on Darri's list and you would expect two decent top teams in france may score goals if they are up for it and they dont cancel each other out. -
njemegen losing away at den bosch- keeping an eye on this in the 2h. Njemegen in good form away- bosh not so good.
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@gary-brown also monitoring this one for late goal mate. Depends on the scoreline at that point though
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Feyenoord game im going to watch.
Its on Gary SHG filter but i expect goals according to pre match research.But i think not 100% sure that the home favs are resting a few players. I maybe wrong so its worth watching to see how things look.
If watching the game i would want to see the home favs look like scoring and maybe a decent tempo to the game. Not just backs against the wall from the away team.
Maybe the away team to attack as well to open up the game, creating space and more chances.
Its worth watching to see how it goes i guess based on pre match going into the game.
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Bumper day today on the games front and some leagues I really enjoy.
All come from my filter - which more than happy to share should anybody want, just get in touch.
Looking for goals in the SH
in the below 
Country League Date Home Away
Belgium Jupiler League 06/12/2020 12:30:00 Genk Antwerp
Sweden Allsvenskan 06/12/2020 13:30:00 Falkenbergs Mjallby
Sweden Allsvenskan 06/12/2020 13:30:00 Norrkoping Helsingborg
Sweden Allsvenskan 06/12/2020 13:30:00 Orebro Hammarby
France Ligue 1 06/12/2020 14:00:00 Nantes Strasbourg
Belgium Jupiler League 06/12/2020 15:00:00 Beerschot Wilrijk Eupen -
Busy day yesterday, 9 trades in the end which is probably too many but as they are all looking for late goals it simplifies things a lot. +6.1pts so good outcome, just maybe need to dial it down. Anyway ive got quite a decent list today. Ill probably trade only a few of these today. The Swedish matches are the last of the season but the home teams both need a win so ill be wary of that fact. Norway is close to the end of the season, again ive removed any games where both teams have nothing to play
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@chris-osborne said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
My SHG list for today: -
Pretty decent day in the end for a Saturday, Fleetwood game was the only loser from the games I posted this morning although there wasn't any value in the Frankfurt game so left it alone.
Couple of later in play trades improved the closing positon for the day, made it a decent Saturday which doesn't happen that often.
Not around much tomorrow so unlikely to be much if any trading going on There are a couple of games on my filters so will be tracking the results.
Good luck tomorrow.
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Porto now winning 4-2 which was another I posted this morning. Despite the Man City and Liefering blip it's looking like a good day. Not been able to say that for a while and on a Saturday as well.
Not only that but I feel I've learnt more about my strats a work in progress to rule a couple of things out in future.
Also had a few LTD's from 69mins onwards (posted on my thread). It's great at that point as liability not much more than a point and sometimes less. At present, touch wood, I'm combining it with a very healthy strike rate too so best of both worlds.
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well barca losing to cadiz, likely they will get the equalizer but im calling it a day there, 0.75pts up for the day which im happy with.
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A sweet 2H goal at 77' in the PSG match - managed to end the day just in the green, after a shocking start. Happy days.
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I’ve got the Brugge one on the radar too. Not going to risk much as I’ve had a great day so hate to end on a loss!
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@darri The prices compress so much that by about 80’ there is little difference on percentage terms between the slower games and the real lively ones. There’s some good value to be had in being patient during the time you said of 75-80 if the goal is likely
