The BTC Football Trading Thread

Richard Latimer

@mark-maguire Excelsior cancelled. Was on mine too.

Stuart Wallace

Interesting 2nd pick on Keiths list... Metz v Strasbourg - its a local derby and lots of 'spice' normally in that game.

Mark Maguire

Slow posting this today but already green on the Volendam and the 01.5 Venzia

Volendam vs Telstar
02.5 63%(1.17) O 1.5 85% (1.27) FHG 94% (1.15)
Good home odds and FHG/O1.5 so will trade semi aggressively keeping eye on stats will look at correct score market too projected 3-1.

Empoli vs Sassulo
O2.5 81%(1.33) O1.5 94% (1.14) FHG 98% 1.1
Projected score 2-3
Only thing with this is the starting odds but otherwise everything in line to trade aggressively and the correct score market. I have Sassulo as stronger favourites (1.95 vs 2.5 and Emploi at 4 (2.55))

Excelsior vs Den Hag
O2.5 66% (1.62) O1.5 87% (1.24) FHG 96% 1.12
Score 2-2
Starting odds a bit close and low O2.5 % means a bit of caution but trade based on FHG and O1.5 Cautious staking because of start odds

Genoa vs Spezia
O2.5 44% (2.42) O1.5 72% (1.5) FHG 87% 1.23
Score 1-1
Either extreme caution on this or will trade purely based on in play stats as all the stats are against

Braga vs Famaliaco
O2.5 69% (1.56) O1.5 88% (1.22) FHG96% 1.12
Score 3-1
Will trade this strongly because of FHG and O1.5 . may also trade correct score

Verona vs Salanitana
O2.5 64% (1.69) O 1.5 85% 1.29 FHG 94% (1.14)
Score 3-1
Will trade quite strongly based on home odds, FHG and O1.5 and possibly correct score

Inter vs Lazio
O2.5 74% (1.45) O1.5 90% (1.19) FHG 98% (1.10)
Score 4-1
All strong stats with home odds of 1.36 so will trade strongly and being Italy cautious in play,

Villareal vs Atl Madrid
O2.5 73% 1.47, O1.5 90% (1.19) FHG 96% (1.12)
Score 3 2
I have Villareal as Fav at 2.1 so value to be had I think .. Will trade based on strong stats. Atl Madrid going through funny patch so interesting game in play

Also have O1.5
Venezia 90% (1.19)
Empoli 94% (1.14)
Metz 86% (1.25)
Genoa 72% (1.5)
Verona 85% (1.29)
Inter 90% (1.19)
Villareal 90% (1.19)
Will trade the games over 90% but look to green up on goals because of volume of trades – watch in play stats for the other games.

Richard Latimer

LCS Volendam 2-1

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Question for those of you that trade using a FHG strategy...

Do you limit yourselves strictly to what your filters throw up or do you trade on other games that were not on your list if you see favourable action in the first twenty minutes?

Thanks.

Richard Latimer

@mathew-gates said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@chris-osborne maybe I will just bet on all of them with tiny stakes on my bot and then just pull back if bet won or loss. May be easier than tracking exact scores etc.

Then after 100 or so selections I can review the stats on the report

You should keep exact results anyway so I know it's time consuming but I really wouldn't try and shortcut it.

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@chris-osborne maybe I will just bet on all of them with tiny stakes on my bot and then just pull back if bet won or loss. May be easier than tracking exact scores etc.

Then after 100 or so selections I can review the stats on the report

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

LCS Erzurumspor

1-1

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@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

AC Milan 1 up after 3 mins !

They could have waited 10 mins until I got matched - onto the next

Stuart Wallace

AC Milan 1 up after 3 mins !

Empoli big price for under 1.5

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@mathew-gates I'm updating manually which is fine at the minute when not much happening but busy weekends takes a while

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@chris-osborne guess I was dreaming as only had 1 coffee.

Looking on bfbot the market screen shows results but you extract that and it doesn't show results

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@mathew-gates unfortunately not if you find something let us all know make life so much easier

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Is there a simple place i can go to, to download every footie result from yesterday in one go?
I can then look up results onto by download from here to work out if I need to tweak filters.

I have been just chucking whatever the results from my systems give into a bot but now I think I need to reverse check results to see if I should fine tune a few of the filters.

Thanks in advance

Richard Latimer

LCS Erzurumspor

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@alastair-todd said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Predictably it looks like the last trade of the day will undo all my good work for the rest of the day. Lens and Rennes need to get their skates on!

That last minute goal was orgasmic!

I've said too much...

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I'll be trading in the Correct Score market in the following games today;

Empoli v Sassuolo

I'll be dutching the following target scorelines for 0.1pts

3-1, 2-2 & 1-3 (queued plus 2 ticks on each target score, will take best odds @ KO)

I will lay u2.5 goals in Empoli match to cover red (queued Lay @ 2.96, will take best odds @ KO)

Total liability circa 0.3pts

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Lyon v PSG

I'll be dutching the following target scorelines for 0.1pts

3-1, 2-2 & 1-3

I will lay u2.5 goals in Lyon match to cover red

Total liability circa 0.28pts

ross love

@keith-anderson I though that was the case but wanted to check. Thanks mate.

Akiva Anderson

@ross-love said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@keith-anderson with the games you put as watching, are they part of the list you will be betting on or is it just list of 4 at the bottom that are part of the 3%?

That’s the list I’ll be doing.

Lay Under 1.5 Goals (Expect a SHG):

11:30 - Venezia v Milan
14:00 - Metz v Strasbourg
14:30 - Hertha BSC v Köln
17:30 - Roma v Juventus

The televised games I’ll only be looking for opportunities. If I find anything I’ll post them in here. These will generally be in-play

ross love

@keith-anderson with the games you put as watching, are they part of the list you will be betting on or is it just list of 4 at the bottom that are part of the 3%?