The BTC Football Trading Thread

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@mick-mcmahon not been good for me either Saturdays tend to be good or bad 3pm games I usually avoid remembered why today still no big deal all part of the process

mick mcmahon

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@mick-mcmahon Are these your own selections?

No.... All a learning curve

Richard Latimer

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not sure whats going on , but the Stockport Larkhall game has been suspended on Betfair since 14.50.
It took my trade of 2 pounds though before that, and Stockport are 2 up after 30 mins.
Any ideas?

Anybody got any ideas on this?
Betfair showing as matching my original bet, and game went to 3-0 a long time ago, but it still remains Suspended and not paid out yet.

It happens on Saturdays sometimes as there are so many games. Tweet them later if it's not sorted. Or tweet them now. That's my preferred method of contact as they tend to reply quickly.

Mark Maguire

@stuart-wallace pretty sure it will sort itself out later on Stuart .. should pay out no problem, will de probably due to unusual betting patterns .. BTC community lumping on

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

And after 7 FHG, LCS Fulham

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

And after 7 FHG, LCS Fulham

6-2

Stuart Wallace

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Not sure whats going on , but the Stockport Larkhall game has been suspended on Betfair since 14.50.
It took my trade of 2 pounds though before that, and Stockport are 2 up after 30 mins.
Any ideas?

Anybody got any ideas on this?
Betfair showing as matching my original bet, and game went to 3-0 a long time ago, but it still remains Suspended and not paid out yet.

Richard Latimer

@mick-mcmahon Are these your own selections?

mick mcmahon

Started with £141.11 today... Not going well.

Richard Latimer

@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Finally!!

LCS Accrington 0-0

0-1

Richard Latimer

@stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

It must be amazing to be a Fulham fan, score 7 away from home during week, and now scored 5 by Half Time. !

As long as they make it 6 or lose a 3rd I don't care haha!

Richard Latimer

And after 7 FHG, LCS Fulham

Stuart Wallace

It must be amazing to be a Fulham fan, score 7 away from home during week, and now scored 5 by Half Time. !

Richard Latimer

Finally!!

LCS Accrington 0-0

Stuart Wallace

Not sure whats going on , but the Stockport Larkhall game has been suspended on Betfair since 14.50.
It took my trade of 2 pounds though before that, and Stockport are 2 up after 30 mins.
Any ideas?

Mark Maguire

@alan-steward yeah I just checked and saw that, took 1.63, likewise the 3.5 has come in from 2.52 to 1.9.. but now drifting back out .. strange, but guess its the lack of liquidity .

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@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Here's one - caution because its a cup competition and maybe team changes.. however .. Stockport vs Larkhall in the FA Trophy .. odds of 1.63 on 02.5 Stockport games average over 4 a game since Dave Challinor went in and he will want to win the Trophy . Big game for Larkhall but Stockport squad ridiculous for the level. Has to be value

See where you're coming from with this and whilst it isn't on my agenda for today I couldn't help but notice o2.5 odds have moved into 1.39... Hope you all got on early with this one, clearly seems value was to be had @ 1.63

Mark Maguire

@stuart-wallace Don't thank me yet .. Fingers crossed though hope it goes green. Always worry about posting these ones but its got to be value.

Stuart Wallace

@mark-maguire said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

Here's one - caution because its a cup competition and maybe team changes.. however .. Stockport vs Larkhall in the FA Trophy .. odds of 1.63 on 02.5 Stockport games average over 4 a game since Dave Challinor went in and he will want to win the Trophy . Big game for Larkhall but Stockport squad ridiculous for the level. Has to be value

Thanks Mark

Mark Maguire

Here's one - caution because its a cup competition and maybe team changes.. however .. Stockport vs Larkhall in the FA Trophy .. odds of 1.63 on 02.5 Stockport games average over 4 a game since Dave Challinor went in and he will want to win the Trophy . Big game for Larkhall but Stockport squad ridiculous for the level. Has to be value

Mark Maguire

A shortlist of some trades today

02.5 in early split stake and out by 60 mins regardless

St Pauli vs Aue 02.5 70% (2.33) 01.5 89%(1.21) FHG 97% (1.1)
Projected score 4-0
Will trade semi aggressively - think about correct score but prefer that when it includes both teams to score as always monitor in play stats for 3rd and 4th drip
I think St Pauli should be 1.29 (1.44) and Aue way out at 27 (6.5)
So value in laying Aue?

Darmstadt vs Karls O2.5 62% (1.73) O1.5 84% (1.28) FHG 96% (1.13)
Score 3-1
A bit more conservative but will trade based on FHG % and probably correct score trade Darmstadt should be 1.53 (1.83) which strengthens the case to trade

Koln vs Bayern 02.5 76% (1.42) O1.5 92% (1.17) FHG 96% (1.12)
Score 1-3
Will trade but wary odds on O2.5 wont be great value so will adjust stakes as game develops. Slight caution with Bayern away and Cologne on reasonable form .. poss correct score trade.

AFC Wimbledon vs Morecambe O2.5 74% (1.45) O1.5 91% (1.18) FHG 96% (1.12)
Score 3-2
Good stats will trade and correct score

Borrusia M vs Leverkusen O2.5 74% (1.46) O1.5 91% (1.19) FHG 98% (1.09)
Score 1-3
Will trade based on strong stats but concern is odds are close.. albeit I have Leverkusen at 1.88 and Borussia at 4.34 - currently 2.5/2.5 .. so maybe value in laying BM? Even so danger zone on odds for overs trade so third and fourth drip on in play stats

Braga vs Maritimo O2.5 65% (1.65) O1.5 86% (1.26) FHG 96% (1.12)
Score 3-1
Trade based on stats and strong home favourite (1.35 on mine (1.4) vs 9.9(8)

Some O1.5 trades of which the highest % are

St Pauli 89%
Koln 92% (but odds will be poor)
Borussia M 91%
Fulham 87%
Karagmurk 83%

A few others where odds and percentages make trading in play. I'm posting to hold myself to it so fingers crossed, upping stakes today so beware anyone following the "upping stakes curse"