The BTC Football Trading Thread
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3% Club - Day 7 (12th January 2021)
I won't be about much tomorrow. It's my birthday so I'm heading out!
Anyway heading to bed here!
Layla tov!
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@keith-anderson nice one Mr Keith. All four hit!!!
Now standing at £137.Keep up the astounding work sir.
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You are just too good Keith
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3% Club - Day 6
Happy with that:
**Day 6 Target: £119.38
Closing Balance: £148.30**
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@alan-steward
Yes agreed - i ended up scalping the first half -
@thomas-larsen said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
But Im really tempted by the over 1.5 Price in the Sudan game
Looking at the prices if you feel the need maybe stake low keeping some stake back for over 0.5 goals???
IPS doesn't look too inviting but you never know.
Personally I'd rather trade the Saints & Cagliari matches
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But Im really tempted by the over 1.5 Price in the Sudan game
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@keith-anderson
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@alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
AFCON tournament has been really disappointing. Quality players at the tournament, but it’s full of individuals. The amount of shots from impossible angles is ridiculous
Worse than watching Norwich this season???
Possibly! -
@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
AFCON tournament has been really disappointing. Quality players at the tournament, but it’s full of individuals. The amount of shots from impossible angles is ridiculous
Worse than watching Norwich this season???
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@keith-anderson i planned to trade over 1.5 on it and did for a few games but have binned it right off
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@keith-anderson that’s like watching Marseille at home
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AFCON tournament has been really disappointing. Quality players at the tournament, but it’s full of individuals. The amount of shots from impossible angles is ridiculous
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@mick-mcmahon said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
... the people on here are just some of the nicest people. It's almost like i'm not actually on the internet at large
This is a perfect summation of this community
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Thanks Dave - I worked through the Academy on here when I first signed up, and I understood everything and it all made sense. Then I was on my own... with the filter... and a gazillion options...
As an aside - I've been here about two months and have have to say the people on here are just some of the nicest people. It's almost like i'm not actually on the internet at large
This is really good feedback, I'm working on a course at the moment that I hope will bridge that gap where you finish the intro one and then have a little too much choice as of what to do next. Do you have any ideas on what we could do to improve this?
I'm glad you say that about this place too, that's always been a big goal for us, so much toxicity on the net!
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@dave-hayes said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@mick-mcmahon Keith experience is invaluable for definite. If it helps and I am far from Pro on this, but just what I have learned since being here and to Coin Keiths "Want it ove long before" expression, I have paper traded dozens of games in the LTD/ Match Odds market and found the trade I am most comfortable with is the the one where the favourite has a good record of scoring first in the first half, that way it eliminates the need for that SHG.
As keith says and possibly we all do there is an element of 'panic', will it won't it happen, but I found setting myself up a filter works nicely and I back that up with other Pre Game Stats to confirm my own thinking.
So far it has worked well and certainly before coming to BTC, i would never have done that at all, so all the info absorbed here pays off for sure
Thanks Dave - I worked through the Academy on here when I first signed up, and I understood everything and it all made sense. Then I was on my own... with the filter... and a gazillion options... So I started paper trading some of the member filters to get into the feel of it, but was overly keen and games weren't coming around fast enough so I was looking at all the filters and ended up more getting a feel for this place than the filters/trading itself.
So Keith coming along doing his 3% club is a god send for me. I'm logging all my trades and earning a bit. A some point when I a good chunk of trades on there I'll hope fully have a feel for what I like/dislike and then be able to back that up with the data.
As an aside - I've been here about two months and have have to say the people on here are just some of the nicest people. It's almost like i'm not actually on the internet at large
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@andy-donnelly said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@dave-hayes Along similar lines I’ve done some analysis of my own O1.5 goal filter and perhaps unsurprisingly if there is a goal in the first half the SR of winning the trade is 92 percent. If the game is 0-0 at HT the SR is 47 percent. That is over a sample size of over 600 games. I expected a jump but not to those extremes. Has made me add another stat to my filter (percentage of games with O0.5 goals in first half) and will track this to see if there is a threshold or trend I can use that leads to a better long term return
Good one Andy.
Yes, the first stat i have on my O1.5 filter is first half goals, and i tend to look at the game intently should it be 0-0 at HT, and look to maybe bail out on 60 should it be the same, all dependant on game stats and the way the game is going, for example, the Lens v Rennes game over the weekend, both teams didnt seem to be showing much intent to go forward, and therefore i bailed out on 60 (game ended 1-0). -
Cheers nothing gained yet, but for anyone tracking O1.5 goals strategies I do think it’s worth tracking likelihood of goal in first half to see if there is a trend there which will boost returns in the long term
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@dave-hayes said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@andy-donnelly nice one that's pretty impressive well done
and very helpful information indeed Andy, thanks for doing this.
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@andy-donnelly nice one that's pretty impressive well done
