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The BTC Football Trading Thread

Scheduled Pinned Locked Moved Football Trading
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #9721

    @richard-latimer lay odds of 5 is a bit rich for me atm 😄 i am using 50p stakes

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    replied to A Former User on last edited by Richard Latimer
    #9722

    @kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @richard-latimer do you back Over 1.5 goals in this case?

    I just laid under 1.5

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #9723

    @richard-latimer do you back Over 1.5 goals in this case?

    Richard LatimerR 1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #9724

    LCS Milan 1-0

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    ? Richard LatimerR 3 Replies Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by A Former User
    #9725

    @matt-ayles when he missed the penalty I was cursing at the monitor 😆 2 seconds later they scored anyway

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9726

    @kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    possible penalty??

    Somewhat dramatic end to that half ay? Goal came in the end though.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9727
    This post is deleted!
    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9728

    possible penalty??

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9729

    I wish AC Milan would score

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard LatimerR Offline
    Richard Latimer
    wrote on last edited by
    #9730

    And speaking of Italy:

    0_1642442112626_a5f0a93f-873e-4603-800a-2f4589fd69c3-image.png

    Todays potentials.

    Trading Spreadsheet linked below
    https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • MartinM Offline
    MartinM Offline
    Martin btc team
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9731

    @james-rome yeah I agree Serie A is a decent scoring league now, still wish refs added the correct time on though

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9732

    @james-rome I had the Premium version of Footy Stats, which I just cancelled. I use SoccerStats free version as its better laid out

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9733

    @Alan-Steward footystats mate its free so ill share you it

    https://footystats.org/italy/serie-a

    dont worry I understand

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9734

    @james-rome Interesting Heatmap... Where is the source for that one... My data is from another product so unfortunately I can't share that

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9735

    @alan-steward said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    For EPL & Serie A goal stats I have

    EPL avg 2.9 goals per game & 81% SHG

    Serie A avg 3.1 goals per game & 83% SHG

    Serie A doesn't tend to hit my SHG filter (post 60mins) so can only presume most Italian SHG are quite early in the SH.

    if you look below the post i did the more red the section is show when goals are scored so if its green means less goals

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by A Former User
    #9736

    Lots of gold in Serie A... All about knowing when goals are scored how many per game? Average BTTS, Average FHG & Average SHG and work out your angle from there... Reverse engineer it 👍👍👍

    Average FHG 77%
    Average BTTS 58%

    League is very good for my correct score trades but they can't all be winners 👍👍👍

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    wrote on last edited by
    #9737

    For EPL & Serie A goal stats I have

    EPL avg 2.9 goals per game & 81% SHG

    Serie A avg 3.1 goals per game & 83% SHG

    Serie A doesn't tend to hit my SHG filter (post 60mins) so can only presume most Italian SHG are quite early in the SH.

    ? 1 Reply Last reply
    1
  • Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart WallaceS Offline
    Stuart Wallace
    replied to A Former User on last edited by
    #9738

    @james-rome Ok, thanks James. Maybe it was because i had 'won' on everything yesterday, and was on a roll and very bullish, and on watching the Roma and Inter games, it just seemed a continuous passing around at the back, falling over at every touch, and kicking out for injuries, both games very uninspring tbh.
    I'll keep an eye on it for time being.

    1 Reply Last reply
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  • ? Offline
    ? Offline
    A Former User
    replied to Stuart Wallace on last edited by
    #9739

    @stuart-wallace said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:

    @martin-walker what annoys me in Serie A is that there are always 3 mins added on at the end. There were about 10 subs used yesterday, in the Prem they would have added on about 6-7 mins

    I agree. Timekeeping should be taken away from the referee. So many interruptions. The Roma match was a disgrace too. So many subs and the amount of times the ball was kicked out for an 'injured player'? Disrupts the flow of the game

    Ha, its not just me then ! - I had a big day yesterday, and only 'lost' on Roma and Inter games, and was thinking to myself during both, 'just get on with it' - so much so, that i am thinking of not trading Italian games again, there just doesnt seem an intensity and desire to go forward once a team goes 1 up - the usual Italian trait of just hanging out for a 1-0 just comes out. So, i will likely give Italian games a miss for now.

    hey excuse me for butting in could be wrong i watch alot of serie A it historical does have that reputation but this season has been different they average on of the highest goal per match see below. Jan is traditionally a bad month as just getting back from winter break plus covid calling a few games off. Maybe worth sticking with even if you just paper trade them keep a eye on. See below the stats compared to prem where most people say that is very goal strong

    0_1642425107152_205d1c19-41c4-4619-b16a-8630760f1d0e-image.png

    0_1642425137325_cc47dfee-b164-4415-990a-5cf958a1d000-image.png

    Stuart WallaceS MartinM 2 Replies Last reply
    1
  • A Offline
    A Offline
    Andy Donnelly
    replied to Richard Latimer on last edited by
    #9740

    @richard-latimer Yeh I’m the same as Richard. Serie A remains a profitable league for me, wouldn’t be hasty to dismiss it too soon

    1 Reply Last reply
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