The BTC Football Trading Thread
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Chesterfield 0-0
The run is over this time.
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Laying Doncaster Rovers and Colchester utd
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LCS Dulwich 2-0
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
LCS Chesterfield 0-0
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
Villareal 2 -0 thanks Keith
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LCS Hoffenheim 1-1
Trading Spreadsheet linked below
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/3gnk1vku1krkoyfcq37y6/Trading-Bible.xlsx?rlkey=01eqhp8u73s61iy2s814sqfll&dl=0 -
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
Big day of potentials:
Not league 2 yet. Not enough data.
Just realised I accidentally added Ger regionalliga west. That one is a watch league. Also Union Berlin has way too low SHG ave.
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@keith-anderson said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
3% Club - Friday, 21st January 2022 (Day 16)
Closing Balance: £209.70
Bankroll doubled what 14 days left to spare - Hope it stays that way
unreal mate well done!
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Red card, will that affect the trade in your eyes?
To add context of course the later a red the less miinutes there are to score anyway so if I'm honest I don't think it has a massive amount of bearing on my stuff.
I just looked at reds from 60minutes on as this was and it's still a 90% s/r even for that.
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3% Club - Saturday, 22nd January 2022 - (Day 17)
Day 17 Target: £165.20
Opening Balance: £209.70
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@kevyn-clark said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
@richard-latimer Red card, will that affect the trade in your eyes?
Could have done but luckily it didn't haha!
I find the later the red card the more it can affect.
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@richard-latimer said in The BTC Football Trading Thread:
LCS Samut Prakan (formerly Pattaya) 0-1
1-1
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3% Club - Friday, 21st January 2022 (Day 16)
Closing Balance: £209.70
Bankroll doubled what 14 days left to spare - Hope it stays that way
le jeu avant tout
Am Yisrael Chai
When you got skin in the game, you stay in the game
But you don’t get a win unless you play in the game... -
@richard-latimer Red card, will that affect the trade in your eyes?
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@richard-latimer it's weird at the moment my filters seem to be hitting the nail on the head consistently, I am kind of waiting for the other shoe to drop and being overly cautious possibly. I think I will keep the stakes low and carry on for now, I seem to be making profit overall so hopefully I am on the right path.
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3% Club - Saurday, 22nd January 2022
I'll update everything ASAP
Lay Under 1.5 Goals (Expect a SHG):
15:00 - Leeds United v Newcastle United
15:15 - Villarreal v Mallorca
16:00 - Brest v Lille -
Big filters list but lots of red flags for me to day so will be a cautious days trading:
O2.5 in early and out by 60 mins regardless drip stake:
Theres a long list of borderline but where starting odds are too close or stats are borderline, so will just list the games where stats are stronger:
Hoffenheim vs Dortmund
Projected Score 2-2, 02.5 66% (1.63) 01.5 87% (1.24) FHG 94%(1.14)
Caution here surrounds starting odds - which I have as 2.58/2.51 close game but FHG and 01.5 stats decent so will trade and monitor in playRotherham vs Cheltenham
Score 3-1 , O2.5 72% (1.49) O1.5 90% (1.2) FHG 97% (1.1)
Decent stats, something in my head about Cheltenham form will check but good arguments to trade - home odds add to this (1.4)Tondela vs Vizela
Score 2-1 O2.5 65% (1.65) O1.5 86%(1.25) FHG 94% (1.15)
Decent stats - one concern is I have found Portugal unreliable so will stake cautiouslyAZ Almaar vs Cambuur
Score 4-1 O2.5 79% (1.35) O1.5 93% (1.15) FHG 98% (1.1)
Home odds 1.44 for me. Likely to trade stronglyLazio vs Atalanta
Score 2-3 O2.5 72% (1.5) O1.5 90%(1.2) FHG 96% (1.11)
Once concern here is Atalanta stuffed me with 0-0 last week
Otherwise stats very goodO1.5
Several but strongest per centage wise are;
NB I wait for odds of over 1.3 before placing trade.
Villareal 92%
Hoffenheim 87%
St Truiden 82%
Borussia Moenchengladbach 82%Hope for a good days trading for all on here.
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@kevyn-clark I can only trade with strong rules that assuage any fears I may have. Risk averse is good but but you can't trade scared either in my opinion. Some can read games and make great objective decisions. For me something has to fit and I plough in without hesitation. If it doesn't fit I move on.
My rules aren't always the best and I analyse everything after the fact to see where I could have improved the situation but in the middle never. Its on plan and fits what I said I'd do I do it. It's not on the plan I move on.
Wasn't always the case but it's the only way that works for me.
